There’s Brasileiro action in Porto Alegre on Thursday night. Our Gremio vs Corinthians prediction considers whether either side can improve on their current mid-table position by winning the game.
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Gremio vs Corinthians prediction: Braithwaite to fire the hosts to victory
Key stats
- Our Gremio vs Corinthians betting tips take into account that the visitors have only managed two goals in five away games so far this term in the league.
- 91% of Gremio’s league games have produced under 3.5 goals.
- They’ve been much stronger at home, with 73% of their points coming in front of their own fans.
Correct score prediction: Gremio 1-0 Corinthians
This has the makings of a tight game, with Corinthians coming into it after a couple of goalless draws, while Gremio have kept clean sheets in their last two matches.
They won them both which points towards an upturn in their fortunes, and given the poor away record of their opponents so far, a narrow home victory looks likely here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Gremio
- HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Gremio vs Corinthians odds, with an implied probability of 41.7% that they win this match.
They head into the game following a 2-0 win at Juventude thanks to goals from Martin Braithwaite and Cristian Olivera.
As for Corinthians, their last match ended 0-0 at home to Vitoria, with both sides last in action nearly a fortnight ago given the recent international break.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: A feisty rivalry
Our Gremio vs Corinthians prediction suggests we’ll see the home team nick this one, although nine of the last 12 meetings have actually finished level, excluding games that went to extra time.
There have also been plenty of red cards, with six shown in the last five meetings, three for each team.
Brazil Serie A 08/12/24
Gremio
Corinthians
Copa do Brasil 08/08/24
Gremio
Corinthians
Copa do Brasil 01/08/24
Corinthians
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 26/07/24
Corinthians
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 12/11/23
Gremio
Corinthians
Gremio preview: Injury problems for Menezes
There are some significant injury issues for Mano Menezes to deal with, and he’s expected to be missing Joao Pedro, Gustavo Cuellar, Rodrigo Ely, Edenilson and Joao Lucas here.
Predicted Lineup: Volpi (GK), Martins, Kannemann, Leonardo, Marlon, Villasanti, Dodi, Olivera, Amuzu, Alysson & Braithwaite
Copa Sudamericana 13/05/25
D Godoy Cruz 1 Gremio 1 Brazil Serie A 10/05/25
D Bragantino 1 Gremio 1 Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25
D Atletico Grau 0 Gremio 0 Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
W Santos 0 Gremio 1 Copa do Brasil 01/05/25
L CSA 3 Gremio 2
Corinthians preview: Depay unlikely to feature
This game is likely to come too soon for Memphis Depay who has been involved with the Netherlands in World Cup qualifying this week. Yuri Alberto and Gustavo Henrique are out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Souza (GK), Matheuzinho, Ramalho, Caca, Bidu, Hector, Raniele, Maycon, Bidon, Magno & Inacio
Brazil Serie A 10/05/25
L Mirassol 2 Corinthians 1 Copa Sudamericana 07/05/25
D America de Cali 1 Corinthians 1 Brazil Serie A 03/05/25
W Internacional 2 Corinthians 4 Copa do Brasil 01/05/25
W Gremio Novorizontino 0 Corinthians 1 Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
L Flamengo 4 Corinthians 0
Player to watch – Martin Braithwaite
While the visitors are set to be missing their star European striker, Gremio can rely on Braithwaite who has netted three goals in nine appearances in the league so far this term.
Braithwaite striking early
The Danish forward has found some form in recent weeks. He has scored the opening goal in Gremio’s last two league games and is averaging 2.0 shots per game.