Gremio vs Botafogo prediction, odds & betting tips 16/06/2024

It's been a very slow start to the Brazilian Serie A season for Gremio who find themselves 13th and outside of the Copa Sudamericana group stages spots, so welcoming in an in-form Botafogo side wouldn't have been top of their list.

Gremio vs Botafogo prediction: Tough test for the hosts

Key stats

  • Botafogo have lost just one away game in the Brazilian Serie A
  • Gremio's two wins have come at home this season
  • Imortal Tricolor have kept two clean sheets in their three home matches

Pre-game odds and win probability: Botafogo tipped to win on the road

  • Home: 19/10 (2.9) – 34.5%
  • Draw: 21/10 (3.1) – 32.3%
  • Away: 6/5 (2.2) – 45.5%

Botafogo are flying high at the tight end of the Brazilian Serie A table and are clear favourites for this bout, however, they have only won two of their away games this season, so Gremio have a chance to get their season back on track.

We can see Botafogo just edging it in this affair but not in a convincing manner given their shacky away form. This is why we'd suggest a BTTS and Botafogo to win, although we have a lot more free betting tips for you to check out yourself.

Last five H2Hs: Gremio usually come out on top

Despite their poor start to the season, Gremio love this fixture having won four of the previous five meetings. However, the last time they welcomed Botafogo to their home ground, it was an embarrassing 2-0 defeat, so anything could happen this time around.

Brazil Serie A 09/11/23

Botafogo

Botafogo

3
Gremio

Gremio

4

Brazil Serie A 09/07/23

Gremio

Gremio

0
Botafogo

Botafogo

2

Brazil Serie A 08/02/21

Botafogo

Botafogo

2
Gremio

Gremio

5

Brazil Serie A 14/10/20

Gremio

Gremio

3
Botafogo

Botafogo

1

Brazil Serie A 27/10/19

Gremio

Gremio

3
Botafogo

Botafogo

0

Gremio preview: Time to kickstart the season

Gremio's spot near the bottom of the table is indeed slightly skewed given they've had two games postponed in the Brazilian Serie A already, so are having to play catch up. However, six defeats from four do point towards a struggle on the pitch.

Predicted lineup: Rafael Cabral (GK), Reinaldo, Kannemann, Ely, Joao Pedro, Fernandes, Pepe, Dodi, Edenilson, Nathan, Cristaldo

Copa do Brasil 14/07/24

W

Operario PR

Operario PR

1

Gremio

Gremio

3

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

L

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2

Gremio

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

3

Gremio

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

D

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

Gremio

Gremio

2

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

W

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Gremio

Gremio

1

Botafogo preview: Can't take anything for granted

It's three games unbeaten now for Botafogo but it's also five wins out of the last seven matches after losing their opening game. They are just one point off the top of the table, so a win and results going their way could see them leapfrog two sides.

Predicted lineup: John Victor (GK), Cuiabano, Barboza, Bastos, Suarez, Luiz Henrique, Marlon Freitas, Gregore, Tche Tche, Junior Santos, Oscar Romero

Player to watch: Junior Santos

Botafogo's Junior Santos
Junior Santos scored the winning goal in Botafogo's last away game – Photo by Icon Sport

It's already 21 goal involvements in 32 games across all competitions for Junior Santos and he looks to be carrying that form into the Brazilian Serie A with two goals and one assist.

Santos' goals usually bring about three points

Santos' two goals have both come in wins this season for Botafogo and crucially for this encounter, his last strike was away from home against Corinthians which turned out to be the winner.

His side will be hoping that history repeats itself when they go on the road once again this weekend to face a Gremio side who've already shipped seven goals in the Brazilain Serie A this campaign.


Aaron is a multi-skilled sports content writer and media professional. He is a specialist in both Men's and Women's football, along with golf.