Gremio and Bahia will square off against each other at Arena do Gremio this weekend, as both teams battle for three valuable points. View our free Gremio vs Bahia predictions below.
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Gremio vs Bahia predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Six of the last seven encounters between Gremio and Bahia went south of the 2.5-goal marker.
- Each of Bahia's last seven matches, and four of Gremio's last six games featured less than three goals.
- Bahia have no wins in their last five trips to this stadium.
- At least one team blanked in four of Gremio's last six matches, and in each of Bahia's last three games.
Correct score prediction: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Gremio won four of their last five league games and did not concede in three of those victories.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Gremio are bookies’ favourites
- HOME:6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
- DRAW:21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY:19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It is important to note that Gremio have won their last three league matches. They have also put up some solid results at home, winning four of their last five home games across all competitions.
With that in mind, Gremio are the expected winners at 6/5 (2.20). Teams with these odds generally have a 45.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Gremio vs Bahia predictions.
It is also worth mentioning that Gremio did not concede in four of their last six games in all competitions. On that note, BTTS – No has an appealing look at 5/6 (1.83). That one has a 54.5% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Can Bahia complete the sweep?
Although Bahia came out on top the last time these teams clashed, they have only one win in their last seven encounters with Gremio. In those seven skirmishes, Bahia have a 1-3-3 win-draw-loss record.
Brazil Serie A 28/04/24
EC Bahia
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 04/11/23
Gremio
EC Bahia
Copa do Brasil 12/07/23
Gremio
EC Bahia
Copa do Brasil 05/07/23
EC Bahia
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 01/07/23
EC Bahia
Gremio
Gremio preview: Eyeing their fourth consecutive Serie A victory
There are a few absentees for the hosts, including Diego Costa (groin), Mayk (muscle), Andre Henrique (ankle), and Jhonatan Robert (knee).
Predicted lineup: Marchesin (GK), Guilherme, Nata, Martins, Pedro, Pepe, Villasanti, Nunes, Monsalve, Soteldo & Braithwaite.
Copa Sudamericana 13/05/25
D
Godoy Cruz
1
Gremio
1
Brazil Serie A 10/05/25
D
Bragantino
1
Gremio
1
Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25
D
Atletico Grau
0
Gremio
0
Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
W
Santos
0
Gremio
1
Copa do Brasil 01/05/25
L
CSA
3
Gremio
2
Bahia preview: Hoping to snap their winless run away from home
Coach Rogerio Ceni will not be able to call upon the services of Everton Ribeiro, Gilberto and Ademir Santos. These players are sidelined with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Felipe (GK), Arias, Xavier, Kanu, Juba, Alexandre, Biel, Cauly, Lucas, Thaciano & Everaldo.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
L
Flamengo
1
EC Bahia
0
Copa Libertadores 07/05/25
L
Nacional De Football
3
EC Bahia
1
Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
W
Botafogo
0
EC Bahia
1
Copa do Brasil 01/05/25
W
Paysandu
0
EC Bahia
1
Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
W
Palmeiras
0
EC Bahia
1
Player to watch: Everaldo
To be fair, Everaldo has been going through a rough patch, as he has not scored in his last seven appearances for Bahia across all competitions. However, the 33-year-old is Bahia's top scorer in the Serie A this season.
It is important to note that Everaldo will be going up against his former club, as he started his career with Gremio. Interestingly, he was on the scoresheet in three of the last four encounters between these teams.