valencia vs getafe prediction
Getafe lost a derby at Vallecas last time out - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Valencia & under 3.5 total goals

Valencia have won six out of eight at home in La Liga, with all of those games serving up under 3.5 goals.

Valencia are bidding to move into serious European contention by putting three more points on the board this weekend. Our Valencia vs Getafe prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they’ll have the edge at Mestalla on Saturday.

Valencia vs Getafe prediction: Hosts to win tight game

Key stats

  • Our Valencia vs Getafe betting tips take into account that Los Che have still not lost against a team outside the top three since Carlos Corberan took charge.
  • Getafe have suffered 1-0 defeats in each of their last three matches.
  • They’ve lost five of their last six matches in La Liga overall.

Correct score prediction: Valencia 1-0 Getafe

Getafe are still a tough team to break down, but the goals have completely dried up for them in recent weeks, and they are missing some key players here which will only add to the task that awaits them at Mestalla.

Corberan is doing a wonderful job at Valencia, and with a big crowd behind them here, Los Che should pick up another home victory.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Valencia

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Valencia vs Getafe odds, with an implied probability of 48.8% that they win this match.

They were 3-2 winners on the road at Las Palmas last time out, with Hugo Duro bagging a brace.

As for Getafe, they head into this game following a 1-0 defeat in a derby against Rayo Vallecano, and they may still need another point or two to secure safety.

For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: A fixture that serves up few goals

Our Valencia vs Getafe prediction suggests this will be quite tight, and each of the last four meetings have ended with two or fewer goals.

Valencia have won each of the last three meetings at Mestalla, while there have been six red cards in the last four meetings on this ground.

Spain La Liga 27/10/24

Getafe

Getafe

1
Valencia

Valencia

1

Spain La Liga 09/03/24

Valencia

Valencia

1
Getafe

Getafe

0

Spain La Liga 08/12/23

Getafe

Getafe

1
Valencia

Valencia

0

Spain La Liga 20/02/23

Getafe

Getafe

1
Valencia

Valencia

0

Spain La Liga 04/09/22

Valencia

Valencia

5
Getafe

Getafe

1

Valencia preview: Los Che close to full strength

Thierry Correia is expected to be the only injury absentee for the home team, as he continues his recovery from an ACL injury.

Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Gaya, Mosquera, Tarrega, Foulquier, Guerra, Barrenechea, D. Lopez, Almeida, Rioja & Duro

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Valencia

Valencia

3

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

2

Valencia

Valencia

3

Spain La Liga 22/04/25

D

Espanyol

Espanyol

1

Valencia

Valencia

1

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

D

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Valencia

Valencia

1

Spain La Liga 11/04/25

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Valencia

Valencia

1

Getafe preview: Three suspended for the visitors

The away team will have to cope without the suspended trio of Djene, Christantus Uche and Mauro Arambarri. Striker Juanmi is an injury doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Soria (GK), Rico, Duarte, Berrocal, Iglesias, Bernat, Alderete, Milla, Terrats, Mayoral & A. Rodriguez

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

L

Valencia

Valencia

3

Getafe

Getafe

0

Spain La Liga 02/05/25

L

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Getafe

Getafe

0

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Getafe

Getafe

0

Spain La Liga 18/04/25

L

Espanyol

Espanyol

1

Getafe

Getafe

0

Spain La Liga 12/04/25

L

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

3

Getafe

Getafe

1

Player to watch – Hugo Duro

There’s a Getafe reunion for Duro in this game, with the Valencia striker reaching 10 goals for the season in La Liga with his brace last time out, from 27 appearances.

valencia vs getafe predictions
Duro is in double figures for goals this season in La Liga – Photo by IMAGO.

Duro striking just after the break

40% of the forward’s goals this season in the league have come between the 46th and 60th minutes, including a 58th-minute header last weekend.

spanish la liga predictions

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.