Germany vs Denmark prediction, odds & betting tips – 29/06/2024

🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS - Yes

BTTS landed in two of Germany’s and two of Denmark’s three matches in the Group Stage

Hosts Germany test their mettle against a strong Denmark outfit in the Last 16 of Euro 2024 at the BVB Stadion in Dortmund on Saturday, 29 June. Can Die Mannschaft live up to their billing when they face the Danes? Find out in our expert Euro 2024 predictions for the game below.

Germany vs Denmark prediction: Danes to provide a tricky test

Key Stats

  • Denmark conceded just two goals across three games against Slovenia, England and Serbia in Group C.
  • Two of Germany’s and two of Denmark’s three group stage fixtures featured goals at both ends.
  • Germany had their noses in front at half time in two of their three matches in Group A.
  • Jamal Musiala found the net in two of Germany’s three Group A assignments.

Correct score prediction: Germany 1-1 Denmark

Germany toiled in the final third against Switzerland in their final group game and needed an injury time intervention to rescue a draw (1-1). All three of Denmark’s group tests finished all square, while two of the same matches finished level at 1-1. The Danes are robust enough defensively to frustrate the hosts here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Denmark a massive price

  • HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Germany pocketed seven points from a possible nine in Group A, though they weren’t completely convincing in their work against Hungary and Switzerland. With home advantage to enjoy, Die Mannschaft have been installed as 4/7 to maintain their pursuit of glory at Euro 2024 with a win on Saturday, though the Danes won’t make life easy for their hosts.

Undefeated Denmark have been draw specialists this summer, though their display against England on matchday two was impressive and they have the ability to turn it on against high-profile opponents. The Danes are a massive 5/1 to win this weekend, though they also represent serious value at 13/10 in the double chance stakes. Head on over to our football tips page for more free Euro 2024 predictions.

Last five H2Hs: First competitive meeting in 12 years

Germany and Denmark last met in a friendly fixture in the summer of 2021, sharing the spoils on that occasion in a 1-1 draw. Their last competitive bout took place in 2012 in the Group Stage of the European Championships. The Germans won that clash 2-1.

International Match 02/06/21

Germany

Germany

1
Denmark

Denmark

1

International Match 06/06/17

Denmark

Denmark

1
Germany

Germany

1

Germany preview: Tah’s absence a blow

The booking that Jonathan Tah picked up against Switzerland was his second of the tournament, triggering a ban that rules the defender out of Saturday's clash. Nico Schlotterbeck is likely to be Tah's replacement.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Kimmich, Rudiger, Schlotterbeck, Mittelstadt, Andrich, Kroos, Musiala, Gundogan, Wirtz, Havertz

Euro 2024 05/07/24

L

Spain

Spain

2

Germany

Germany

1

Euro 2024 29/06/24

W

Denmark

Denmark

0

Germany

Germany

2

Euro 2024 23/06/24

D

Switzerland

Switzerland

1

Germany

Germany

1

Euro 2024 19/06/24

W

Hungary

Hungary

0

Germany

Germany

2

Euro 2024 14/06/24

W

Scotland

Scotland

1

Germany

Germany

5

Denmark preview: Hjulmand suspended

Morten Hjulmand, who has been a reliable performer in midfield for Denmark, is suspended having collected two yellow cards. The experienced Thomas Delaney could come into the engine room in his place.

Predicted lineup: Schmeichel (GK), Andersen, Vestergaard, Christensen, Bah, Delaney, Hojbjerg, Maehle, Eriksen, Wind, Hojlund

Euro 2024 29/06/24

L

Germany

Germany

2

Denmark

Denmark

0

Euro 2024 25/06/24

D

Serbia

Serbia

0

Denmark

Denmark

0

Euro 2024 20/06/24

D

England

England

1

Denmark

Denmark

1

Euro 2024 16/06/24

D

Slovenia

Slovenia

1

Denmark

Denmark

1

International Match 08/06/24

W

Norway

Norway

1

Denmark

Denmark

3

Key duels

Robert Andrich vs Christian Eriksen

German destroyer Robert Andrich has been making an average of 3.30 tackles per game at Euro 2024 and the 29-year-old should have more work to do in his attempts to shackle Christian Eriksen’s creativity.

Jamal Musiala vs Andreas Christensen

Jamal Musiala is Germany’s joint-leading scorer at the Euros with two goals and his intelligent movement and close control should ask big questions of Andreas Christensen’s defensive accumen.

Nico Schlotterbeck vs Rasmus Hojlund

Nico Schlotterbeck has only completed 29 minutes of action at the Euros this summer and if he replaces the suspended Jonathan Tah, he could be a little ring rusty. Striker Rasmus Hojlund has had just two shots in total for Denmark so far and he will hope to be more involved on Saturday.

Player to watch – Florian Wirtz

Wonderkid Florian Wirtz was at his dynamic best when he scored in Germany’s thumping 5-1 win over Scotland in Die Mannschaft’s tournament opener, though the silky attacking midfielder has struggled to match those heights since.

Germany vs Denmark prediction
Florian Wirtz will be eager to recapture his form from matchday one – Photo by Icon Sport

Wirtz must become less peripheral

21-year-old Wirtz has talent to burn, however, he drifted in and out of the action far too often on matchdays two and three in Group A and the Bayer Leverkusen starlet will be eager to take on a more central role on Saturday.

Winner’s next potential opponents

The hosts Germany and the semi-finalists of the previous European Championship Denmark find themselves on the tougher side of the bracket and the winner of this duel could meet with either Spain or Georgia in the quarter-finals. Of course, Spain are huge favourites in this matchup, so how would Germany or Denmark fare against them?

Germany and Spain have met many times before and no team has a particular advantage with their overall H2H record currently at 9-9-8 for Germany. Meanwhile, Denmark don't have such a great record against Spain since they've lost 12 times to them and only won twice, along with three draws.

If either of these teams can get past Spain, further down the line in the semi-final they could meet with France or Portugal, or perhaps even Belgium. From the other side of the bracket, England and Netherlands are the main favourites to get to the final.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Germany

Denmark


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.