Genoa vs Parma prediction, odds & betting tips 19/10/2025
Colombo made his professional Genoa debut in the match against Vicenza. (Photo by Imago)
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Over 2.5 Total Goals

Four of Genoa's last five league encounters recorded over 2.5 goals.

Two teams that have been struggling since the start of the current Serie A season will clash at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Sunday, 19 October 2025, as they look to stabilise their flickering campaigns.

Looking to recalibrate after the international, both sides will aim to get back on track, beginning with their gameweek seven encounter in the Italian top flight.

Genoa vs Parma is one of our Serie A predictions & betting tips put together by our team of experts ahead of the latest round of fixtures in the Italian top division.

Genoa vs Parma predictions: The hosts are favoured to win

Key stats

  • Four of Genoa's last five league encounters recorded over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams found the back of the net in four of Genoa's last five matches.
  • Two of Parma's last three fixtures returned at least three total strikes.
  • Genoa won three of their last five head-to-head meetings.

Correct score prediction: Genoa 2-1 Parma

Genoa enters this contest waiting to record their first win of the current campaign after six fixtures. Having finished 13th in the previous season, the Red and Blues would have aimed to start the season on a strong note in their quest to improve their final position in the standings.

However, that has not been the case, as Patrick Vieira is under pressure to turn the fortunes of his team around before the hierarchy at Genoa becomes apprehensive about their situation.

Parma, on the other hand, have fared a little better with a solitary win, two draws, and three losses in their first six encounters of the season. Given the need for the home side to start getting results, coupled with the vociferous support expected from the home fans, Genoa could be in line for their second win of the season.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts have been installed as favourites by the bookies

  • HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

For the home side, they are a long shot to earn maximum points, as they are priced at 9/5 (2.80), a 35.7% chance for the visitors to earn the victory this weekend.

Projections of bookmakers are often an indication of the likely outcomes across different markets, and as far as this match goes, the bookies have queued behind Genoa to claim all three points, having been priced at 11/10 (2.10), which translates to a 47.6% chance of the home side winning this contest.

For those who are inclined to back both sides to cancel each other out, the odds are fair at 21/10 (3.10), a 32.3% probability that the fixture will end all square.

For Parma, they are priced at 11/4 (3.75) to claim all three points, and that translates to a 26.7% chance of the visiting side earning all the spoils on Sunday.

Remember to have a look at our best betting tips collections for the Serie A and other leagues around the world.

Most recent H2Hs: Genoa have had the better of the visiting side

Although Genoa have struggled since the beginning of the season, they have dominated meetings with Parma, and the fans of the Crusaders will hope for their good run against the visitors.

While Werder Bremen have been the more illustrious in recent seasons, they have fared better against the visitors, and they will be keen to keep it that way when they clash on Saturday.

Italy Serie A 12/01/25

Genoa

Genoa

1
Parma

Parma

0

Italy Serie A 04/11/24

Parma

Parma

0
Genoa

Genoa

1

Italy Serie B 05/02/23

Parma

Parma

2
Genoa

Genoa

0

Italy Serie B 03/09/22

Genoa

Genoa

3
Parma

Parma

3

Italy Serie A 19/03/21

Parma

Parma

1
Genoa

Genoa

2

Genoa preview: The hosts are without a few players due to injury

Genoa have a few injury situations to deal with ahead of this fixture, with the likes of Maxwel Cornet and Junior Messias, both of whom are suffering from thigh issues.

Leo Ostigard (broken rib) and Nicolae Stanciu (thigh) are ruled out of this encounter, and Vieira will turn to other players to take their places within the team.

Other than those mentioned above, the home side will have other players available for selection as they chase their first victory of the season.

Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Martin, Vasquez, Caricol, Norton-Cuffy, Masini, Frendrup, Vitinha, Malinovsky, Ellertsson & Colombo.

Last five matches

  • Napoli 2-1 Genoa
  • Genoa 0-3 Lazio
  • Genoa 3-1 Empoli
  • Bologna 2-1 Genoa
  • Como 1-1 Genoa

Parma preview: The visitors have injury issues of their own

Matija Frigan is currently recovering from a knee injury, which rules him out this weekend, while Jacob Ondrejka is sidelined with a broken ankle.

In a similar vein, Valeri Emanuele has also been sidelined with an ankle injury, and he is not expected to be involved this weekend. That said, Brazilian midfielder Hernani is also recuperating from an ankle injury, and he is not expected to be listed for this weekend's fixture.

Predicted lineup: Suzuki (GK), Del Prato, Circati, Ndiaye, Britschgi, Keita, Garcia, Srensen, Lovik, Cutrone & Pellegrino.

Last five matches

  • Parma 0-1 Lecce
  • Parma 2-1 Torino
  • Parma 3-2 Spezia
  • Cremonese 0-0 Parma
  • Cagliari 2-0 Parma

Player to watch: Mateo Pellegrino

The Spanish-born Argentine forward has found the back of the net twice this season, and he will be looking to increase his tally this weekend.

Mateo Pellegrino
Mateo Pellegrino – Photo by IMAGO/Guissepe Maffia

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Ademola is a passionate sports writer and betting expert with a degree in Plant Science and a Masters degree in Plant Ecology.