Napoli vs Genoa prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/02/2024

17/02/24 - 14:00

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Napoli - Genoa

Italy Serie A - Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Can Napoli shake off their inconsistent form to beat a dogged Genoa outfit in Serie A on Saturday? Check out our free Napoli vs Genoa betting tips below.

Napoli vs Genoa predictions: Napoli have been sinking towards midtable

Napoli limped to a 1-0 defeat at home to AC Milan last time out, though they could muster an instant response at home to poor travellers Genoa.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Genoa major outsiders

• HOME: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
• DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
• AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Napoli have been blowing hot and cold at home this season and have won less than half of their 11 games in Naples. Genoa have lost only once in nine games and should provide a test.

Last five H2Hs: Napoli have scored plenty against Genoa

Italy Serie A 16/09/23

Genoa

2

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 15/05/22

Napoli

3

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 29/08/21

Genoa

1

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 06/02/21

Genoa

2

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 27/09/20

Napoli

6

Genoa

0

Napoli and Genoa traded blows in a 2-2 draw back in September, though the champions won three of the last four meetings between the teams before that.

Team news and form guide

Napoli: Hosts have taken ten points from 12 at home

Victor Osimhen is unavailable for selection for Napoli at present while centre-half Juan Jesus is suspended and will be missing at the back.

Predicted lineup: Gollini – Natan, Ostigard, Rrahmani – Di Lorenzo, Anguissa, Lobotka, Zielinski, Mazzocchi – Kvaratskhelia, Simeone

Italy Serie A 31/08/24

W

Parma

1

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 25/08/24

W

Bologna

0

Napoli

3

Italy Serie A 18/08/24

L

Verona

3

Napoli

0

Coppa Italia 10/08/24

W

Modena

0 (3)

Napoli

0 (4)

Elite Club Friendlies 03/08/24

L

Girona

2

Napoli

0

Genoa: Visitors unbeaten in four on the road

Genoa have few injury issues to contend with though Ridgeciano Haps is in the treatment room and Alan Matturro is considered a slight doubt.

Predicted lineup: Martinez – Vogliacco, Bani, Vasquez – Sabelli, Malinovskyi, Badelj, Strootman, Frendrup – Retegui, Gudmundsson

Italy Serie A 01/09/24

L

Verona

2

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 24/08/24

W

Monza

0

Genoa

1

Italy Serie A 17/08/24

D

Inter Milan

2

Genoa

2

Coppa Italia 09/08/24

W

AC Reggiana

0

Genoa

1

Elite Club Friendlies 04/08/24

W

Monaco

1

Genoa

2

Our free expert picks: Napoli to carve out 2-1 win

We’ve got reams of more top betting tips over on our dedicated page if you’re on the lookout for more football predictions for the weekend.

Our top three predictions for Saturday’s game are listed below, though other markets that appeal include the draw in the half time market at 12/5 (3.40). That avenue comes equipped with a 29.4% probability of success.

Hot tip – Napoli to Win

• Napoli have won three and drawn one of their last four home games in Serie A.
• Genoa have lost four of their last six meetings with Napoli.

Other tips

Napoli 2-1 Genoa

• Napoli won 2-1 in three of their last four home matches in Serie A.
• Genoa conceded twice in two of their last three tussles with Napoli.

Over 2.5 Goals

• 80% of Napoli’s last ten home games in Serie A have produced over 2.5 goals.
• Each of the last six skirmishes between these sides have featured at least three goals.

Player to watch – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia was a superstar for Napoli during their title-winning campaign last year, though the Georgian has only been showing his quality in flashes this term and he will be determined to shine on Saturday.

Kvaratskhelia to make his mark?

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia hasn’t scored against Genoa before, though the 23-year-old has notched six goals in the league this season and he has enough quality to be considered as a viable Serie A first goal scorer candidate.