napoli vs genoa prediction
🔥 Our Hot tip

Napoli to win to nil

Napoli's last four matches have been won to nil

Napoli will take on Genoa in Serie A on Sunday, 11 May, in a match that could take the hosts to the brink of the Scudetto.

Napoli come into the match three points clear of Inter Milan at the top of the league table, and with Inter facing a tricky test away at Torino this weekend, it could be a monumental few days in the title race.

Genoa, meanwhile, come into the match in 13th position and with the safety secured, they can play without any pressure on Sunday.

As part of this week's round of Serie A betting tips, check out our Napoli vs Genoa prediction below.

Genoa vs Napoli prediction: The visitors to cruise to victory

Key stats

  • Napoli are unbeaten in their last nine league matches.
  • Napoli have conceded just two goals in their last seven matches combined.
  • Genoa have lost three in a row in Serie A.
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in four of Napoli's last five matches.

Correct score prediction: Napoli 2-0 Genoa

Genoa have well and truly taken their eye of the ball since securing their Serie A status last month and have failed to win any of their last four matches. Goalscoring has been a particular problem, and they have blanked in four of their last six outings.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Napoli start as big favourites

  • HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
  • DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
  • AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Napoli vs Genoa odds are heavily weighted in favour of the hosts, and it would be considered a big shock if they don't come out on top on Sunday. Ladbrokes have given Napoli a 76.9% chance of victory while Genoa have been given just a 9.1% chance of walking away with the three points.

Also, feel free to check out our expert predicitons and football betting tips today.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Napoli

This is a fixture that Napoli have performed well in in recent years, and they are unbeaten in their last five matches against Genoa (three wins, two draws). Those two draws have come in the last three meetings between the two clubs, though, which indicates that Napoli shouldn't consider this match as an automatic victory.

Italy Serie A 21/12/24

Genoa

Genoa

1
Napoli

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 17/02/24

Napoli

Napoli

1
Genoa

Genoa

1

Italy Serie A 16/09/23

Genoa

Genoa

2
Napoli

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 15/05/22

Napoli

Napoli

3
Genoa

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 29/08/21

Genoa

Genoa

1
Napoli

Napoli

2

Napoli preview: Gilmour to earn a start?

Billy Gilmour could be in line for a rare start this weekend with the Scotland international primed to replace Stanislav Lobotka in the heart of the midfield due to the Slovakian's injury. Other unavailable players for Napoli include defensive duo, Alessandro Buongiorno and Juan Jesus.

Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Olivera, Spinazzola, Politano, Anguissa, Gilmour, McTominay, Lukaku, Raspadori

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

D

Genoa

Genoa

2

Napoli

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

W

Lecce

Lecce

0

Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Torino

Torino

0

Napoli

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

W

Monza

Monza

0

Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 14/04/25

W

Empoli

Empoli

0

Napoli

Napoli

3

Genoa preview: A string of players to return

Genoa's form of late may be poor, but their fortunes could be about to change as three first-team players – Caleb Ekuban, Jean Onana and Hugo Cuenca – are all back in training following injury layoffs. That means the only players missing for this one are Fabio Miretti, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Maxwel Cornet and Morten Thorsby.

Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Sabelli, De Winter, Vasquez, Martin, Masini, Frendrup, Norton-Cuffy, Messias, Vitinha, Pinamonti

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

D

Napoli

Napoli

2

Genoa

Genoa

2

Italy Serie A 05/05/25

L

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Genoa

Genoa

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

L

Como

Como

1

Genoa

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 23/04/25

L

Lazio

Lazio

2

Genoa

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Verona

Verona

0

Genoa

Genoa

0

Player to watch: Giacomo Raspadori

Giacomo Raspadori
Photo by Imago

Giacomo Raspadori is far from the best or most prolific attacking player in the Napoli squad, but he proved his worth to the squad last week, scoring the only goal in the club's 1-0 win over Lecce. Often in title races, it is the unsung heroes who come up trumps, and Raspadori could quite easily turn out to be that player for Napoli.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.