Inter Milan could find themselves top of the Serie A table this weekend if they manage to beat Genoa at the San Siro on Saturday and Napoli drop points on Sunday away at Como.
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Inter Milan vs Genoa prediction: A home win and at least three goals?
Key Stats
- Inter Milan score an average of 2.33 and concede an average of 1.17 goals at home in the league this season.
- Genoa have lost each of their last ten trips to the San Siro against Inter Milan.
- Inter Milan's home games have produced an average of 10.42 corners this season.
Correct score prediction: Inter Milan 2-1 Genoa
Inter Milan averages 2.25 points per home game in Serie A this season and we're backing the home side to secure another three points against a Genoa side they have beaten in each of their last ten meetings at the San Siro. The visitors have only failed to score in 33% of their away games and score an average of 0.83 goals per game on their travels, which is why we've backed a 2-1 win for an Inter side that scores an average of 2.33 goals per home game.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Inter the overwhelming favourite
- HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
- DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
- AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Inter Milan are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 77.8% and we can only see this game ending in victory for the hosts.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Inter in front
Saturday's hosts have won two and drawn three of their last five meetings with Genoa, though, all of those stalemates have arrived away from the San Siro.
Italy Serie A 17/08/24
Genoa
Inter Milan
Italy Serie A 04/03/24
Inter Milan
Genoa
Italy Serie A 29/12/23
Genoa
Inter Milan
Italy Serie A 25/02/22
Genoa
Inter Milan
Italy Serie A 21/08/21
Inter Milan
Genoa
Inter Milan preview: Narrowly beaten at the Allianz Stadium
Inter Milan and Juventus played out a tight and tense 90 minutes in Turin last weekend where a solitary goal proved enough to decide the destination of all three points.
Francisco Conceicao, whose father Sergio used to play for Inter Milan in the early 2000s, scored in the 74th minute to win the game for Juventus.
Carlos Augusto, Filip Stankovic, Valentin Carboni, Raffaele Di Gennaro, Zinho Vanheusden, Valentin Carboni and Martin Satriano make up the long list of injury concerns for the home side this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Sommer (GK), Acerbi, Dimarco, Dumfries, Pavard, Bastoni, Mkhitaryan, Calhanoglu, Barella, Taremi & Martinez
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
W
Torino
0
Inter Milan
2
UEFA Champions League 06/05/25
W
Barcelona
3
Inter Milan
4
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
W
Verona
0
Inter Milan
1
UEFA Champions League 30/04/25
D
Barcelona
3
Inter Milan
3
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L
Roma
1
Inter Milan
0
Genoa preview: Left it late to beat Venezia
Genoa's home game against Venezia on Monday night looked like it was going to end all square heading into the final ten minutes.
However, Andrea Pinamonti fired the hosts in front in the 82nd minute and substitute Maxwell Cornet confirmed the win with an 86th-minute goal, his first in Serie A.
Vitor Oliveira, Albert Gudmundsson, Morten Thorsby, Milan Badelj, Mario Balotelli and Sebastian Otoa could all miss the trip to Milan on Saturday due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Bani, Martin, Vasquez, De Winter, Frendrup, Miretti, Masini, Pinamonti, Messias & Vitinha
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D
Napoli
2
Genoa
2
Italy Serie A 05/05/25
L
AC Milan
2
Genoa
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L
Como
1
Genoa
0
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
L
Lazio
2
Genoa
0
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
D
Verona
0
Genoa
0
Player to watch: Lautaro Martinez
Lautaro Martinez hasn't reached the high standards we have come to expect from him this season but the Argentine international striker has still chipped in with nine league goals for Inter Milan.
Martinez, who scored 24 goals in Serie A last season, has found the back of the net seven times in his last nine appearances across all competitions but has failed to score in each of his club's last four league games.
The Argentine international has nine Serie A goals
We're backing Martinez to come good in a fixture that Inter Milan have dominated over the years, helping to guide his team to an 11th successive victory over Genoa at the San Siro.