The Stadio Luigi Ferraris will host the Serie A game between Genoa and Fiorentina on Sunday, as both teams try to fight their way out of the relegation zone.
The Grifone have had a bad run of form in their last five games, having failed to win any game, with three losses and just one draw. However, despite their poor results, they returned to winning ways, following a 2-1 victory over Sassuolo last weekend.
The Viola, meanwhile, have also faced a similar situation in Serie A this season, having failed to get a win. Although they have a good form in the UEFA Europa League, it has failed to translate to their league performance. They are currently on a three-game losing streak and lost their European outing 2-1 against Mainz 05.
Read our Genoa vs Fiorentina predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
Contents
Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction: Visitors to claim first win of the season
Key statistics
- Fiorentina have won four of their last five clashes with Genoa.
- Three of their last five meetings have ended with over 2.5 goals being scored.
- Their last encounter ended in a 2-1 win for Fiorentina.
Correct score prediction: Genoa 1-2 Fiorentina
Both teams have had a poor performance since the start of the season and have struggled to escape the relegation zone. However, despite their struggles, we believe that Fiorentina have a chance to get their first win of the season.
The Grifone's issues at the back and lack of confidence make them vulnerable. While both teams have had defensive lapses, the Viola could take inspiration from their Europa League form, which is why we predict a final scoreline of Genoa 1-2 Fiorentina.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Evenly balanced encounter expected
- Home: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%
- Draw: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- Away: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Both sides enter the match with similar odds, suggesting a tight game is expected. Fiorentina are very slight favourites at 2.70 odds, reflecting a 37.0% chance of victory, while Genoa follow closely with a 36.4% probability. The draw, priced at 3.00, carries a 33.3% likelihood, making this a matchup that could go either way.
Most recent head-to-head: Fiorentina's recent dominance over the Grifone
Fiorentina might not be at their best this season, but they have a dominant record against Genoa in previous games. In their last five meetings, the Viola have secured four victories, with only one game ending in a draw, meaning Genoa has failed to record a single win.
The last six encounters include a recent Fiorentina 2-1 home win in February 2025 and a 1-0 away victory in 2024, showing how superior they have been in these encounters.
Italy Serie A 02/02/25
Fiorentina
Genoa
Italy Serie A 31/10/24
Genoa
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 15/04/24
Fiorentina
Genoa
Italy Serie A 19/08/23
Genoa
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 17/01/22
Fiorentina
Genoa
After reviewing our key Genoa vs Fiorentina predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Genoa preview: No new injuries in the squad
Roberto Murgita has a full squad at his disposal for this clash, with only Ruslan Malinovsky missing this match through suspension after accumulating several yellow cards this season.
Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Marcandalli, Ostigard, Vasquez, Norton-Cuffy, Frendrup, Malinovsky, Thorsby, Caricol, Vitinha & Colombo
Last five fixtures
- 03.11.25 – Sassuolo 1 – 2 Genoa
- 29.10.25 – Genoa 0 – 2 Cremonese
- 26.10.25 – Torino 2 – 1 Genoa
- 19.10.25 – Genoa 0 – 0 Parma
- 05.10.25 – Napoli 2 – 1 Genoa
Fiorentina preview: No new injury update
On the other hand, the visitors will be without Abdelhamid Sabiri, Robin Gosens and Tariq Lamptey, who are all sidelined with muscle, thigh and knee injuries, respectively.
Forward Christian Kouame remains doubtful as he continues recovery from a cruciate ligament injury, while Albert Gudmundsson is temporarily unavailable due to personal reasons but is expected to return soon.
Predicted lineup: Martinelli (GK), Dodo, Ranieri, Mari, Pongracic, Sohm, Caviglia, Ndour, Fazzini, Fortini & Piccoli
Last five fixtures
- 06.11.25 – Mainz 2 – 1 Fiorentina
- 02.11.25 – Fiorentina 0 – 1 Lecce
- 29.10.25 – Inter 3 – 0 Fiorentina
- 26.10.25 – Fiorentina 2 – 2 Bologna
- 23.10.25 – SK Rapid 0 – 3 Fiorentina
Player to watch: Edin Dzeko
Edin Dzeko is set to play a key role in Fiorentina’s clash with Genoa, as they look for their first Serie A win of the season. The experienced forward delivered a standout performance in the Europa League against Rapid Wien, scoring once and providing an assist.
He will be eager to build on that momentum, help his side secure their first league win of the season and possibly get a goal for himself when they take on the Grifone.