Genoa host Cagliari at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on Monday as both sides look to pick up valuable points in their push for mid-table stability. This clash brings together two teams coming off disappointing results last weekend.
The host will be looking to end a frustrating run in Serie A, having gone five games without a win after a 1-1 draw at AC Milan.
The Grifone sit just three points above the relegation zone and home form remains a concern, with only one victory all season and just one win in their last 13 league matches.
Their record against fellow bottom-seven teams has seen more draws than wins, making another stalemate a realistic outcome.
Cagliari, meanwhile, have been unpredictable but resilient, with their 2-2 draw at Cremonese marking seven straight league games with a different result to the previous one.
The Sardinians enjoy a six-point cushion above the drop zone and have lost only once in nine matches against teams in the bottom half this season.
A 2-1 win at Torino in late December gives them the chance to secure consecutive away victories for the first time since September 2019, making them a tricky opponent for Genoa.
Read our Genoa vs Cagliari predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Genoa vs Cagliari prediction: Full-time draw expected
Key statistics
- BTTS has been played in four of their last five encounters.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of their last five meetings.
- Their last three clashes have ended in a full-time draw.
Correct score prediction: Genoa 2-2 Cagliari
A tight battle is expected in Liguria, with neither side likely to gain a clear upper hand over the other. This game has a habit of producing draws and another draw looks a strong possibility.
A 2-2 scoreline appears the most realistic outcome, especially given the pattern of recent meetings between these two teams, where shared points have been a common theme in previous meetings.
Genoa’s ongoing difficulties at the back, highlighted by their inability to keep a clean sheet across their last eleven outings, suggest they are unlikely to shut Cagliari out completely. However, the visitors have also struggled defensively away from home and may lack the cutting edge to fully capitalise.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Genoa are slight favourites
- Home: 11/10 (2.10) – 45.7%
- Draw: 2/1 (3.00) – 28.6%
- Away: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Genoa are slight favourites at 2.10, implying a 45.7% chance of winning at home. Cagliari are priced at 3.90 (25.6%) to win, while the draw is available at 3.00 (28.6%), reflecting Genoa’s home advantage but also Cagliari’s potential to upset.
Most recent head-to-head: A history of stalemates
A review of recent meetings between these sides underlines how evenly balanced their record has been, with encounters often tight and unpredictable. Across their last five clashes in all competitions, three have ended level, while each team has managed just a single victory.
The latest meeting, played in 2025, delivered a thrilling 3-3 draw at the Unipol Domus, coming after a 1-1 stalemate earlier that year. That sequence followed another share of the spoils in late 2024, when the teams played out a 2-2 draw at this venue.
Italy Serie A 22/11/25
Cagliari
Genoa
Italy Serie A 07/03/25
Cagliari
Genoa
Italy Serie A 24/11/24
Genoa
Cagliari
Italy Serie A 29/04/24
Genoa
Cagliari
Italy Serie A 05/11/23
Cagliari
Genoa
After reviewing our key Genoa vs Cagliari predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
The Genoa manager could stick with the side that held Milan to a draw, as Sebastian Otoa has recovered from a muscular problem. Jean Onana returns from international duty following Cameroon’s AFCON exit.
Albert Gronbaek, Benjamin Siegrist, Maxwel Cornet, and Junior Messias remain sidelined, while Alessandro Deiola, Andrea Belotti, Mattia Felici, and Michael Folorunsho are also out due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Marcandalli, Ostigard, Vazquez, Norton-Cuffy, Malinovskyi, Frendrup, Thorsby, Martin, Vitinha & Colombo
Last five fixtures
- 08.01.26 – AC Milan 1–1 Genoa
- 03.01.26 – Genoa 1–1 Pisa
- 29.12.25 – AS Roma 3–1 Genoa
- 21.12.25 – Genoa 0–1 Atalanta
- 14.12.25 – Genoa 1–2 Inter
Cagliari preview: Key absences continue
Cagliari’s injury crisis continues and the team will again be without Alessandro Deiola, Andrea Belotti, Mattia Felici, and Michael Folorunsho, all of whom are sidelined through injury.
Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Rodriguez, Mina, Luperto, Palestra, Adopo, Prati, Mazzitelli, Obert, Esposito & Kilicsoy
Last five fixtures
- 08.01.26 – Cremonese 2–2 Cagliari
- 02.01.26 – Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
- 27.12.25 – Torino 1–2 Cagliari
- 21.12.25 – Cagliari 2–2 Pisa
- 13.12.25 – Atalanta 2–1 Cagliari
Player to watch: Lorenzo Colombo
The Genoa attack is more dependent on Lorenzo Colombo, who has been important in the Grifone’s recent attacking efforts, including a standout long-range goal in their draw against Pisa.
Having already scored three times this season and provided one assist, Colombo's eye for goal makes him a constant threat to any defence. Genoa will be looking to him to create chances and potentially decide this tightly contested encounter.