Genoa will face Bologna in a crucial Serie A encounter at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris this Sunday, with the home side aiming to move further away from the relegation zone.
The Grifone enter this fixture following a hard-fought 0-0 draw away at Parma last weekend. Daniele De Rossi’s team has shown signs of stability in early 2026, though they still struggle to find consistent scoring form in front of their home supporters.
They are struggling to rack up wins, but have managed to stay unbeaten in their last four league games, with three draws and one loss. Following last weekend’s draw, they will hope they can get back to winning ways against Bologna.
Bologna, meanwhile, travel to Genoa after failing to bounce back from a disappointing 2-2 home draw against Celtic in the UEFA Europa League. Before the draw, the Rossoblu suffered a 2-1 loss to Fiorentina, but their inconsistency continues to hinder their push for a European spot.
The visitors have been productive in attack but remain vulnerable at the back, having failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five league games. This match represents a significant opportunity for the visitors to regain momentum against a side that has struggled this season.
Read our Genoa vs Bologna predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Genoa vs Bologna prediction: Expect a draw
Key statistics
- BTTS has been played in four of their last five meetings.
- Bologna have held Genoa to a full-time draw in two of their last five away visits.
- A first-half draw was played in their previous meeting.
Correct score prediction: Genoa 1-1 Bologna
Based on the recent defensive performance of the home side and the tendency for this fixture to end in a stalemate, we expect a very tight contest. We predict a 1-1 draw between Genoa and Bologna because both teams have shown a high frequency of shared points in their previous encounters.
While the Rossoblu possess superior individual quality in the final third, their defensive lapses suggest that the Grifone will find at least one opening to score. Consequently, we anticipate that the teams will cancel each other out.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Bologna slightly favoured
- Home: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- Draw: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- Away: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.0%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Bookmakers give Bologna a slight edge in this matchup, with odds of 2.50 suggesting a 40.0% chance of an away victory. Genoa are close behind at 3.00, reflecting a 33.3% probability of claiming the win on home soil, while the draw is priced at 3.10 (32.3%).
The tight spread of the odds points towards a finely balanced contest, with Bologna’s marginal advantage highlighting expectations of a closely fought encounter.
Most recent head-to-head: Competitive history between the two teams
In their last five competitive meetings, it shows that their encounters have been very tight, with Genoa edging it out. They have won two and Bologna have one win, with the two remaining games ending in a draw.
The most recent clash took place in 2025 and ended in a 2-1 victory for Bologna at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, which followed a 3-1 away win for Genoa in May of that same year. Overall, these games illustrate how difficult it is to separate these two sides.
Italy Serie A 20/09/25
Bologna
Genoa
Italy Serie A 24/05/25
Bologna
Genoa
Italy Serie A 19/10/24
Genoa
Bologna
Italy Serie A 24/05/24
Genoa
Bologna
Italy Serie A 05/01/24
Bologna
Genoa
After reviewing our key Genoa vs Bologna predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Genoa preview: Injury and suspension concerns for the host
Stefano Sabelli is a doubt after being forced off with an apparent injury against Parma and could join Caleb Ekuban, Albert Gronbaek and Benjamin Siegrist on the sidelines.
The host are also without goalscoring centre-back Leo Ostigard, whose booking at Parma means the four-goal defender is suspended for Sunday’s clash.
With the club’s second-highest scorer unavailable, added attacking responsibility is likely to fall on Lorenzo Colombo, who will be tasked with leading the line and providing the cutting edge for the hosts.
Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Marcandalli, Otoa, Vasquez, Norton-Cuffy, Frendrup, Malinovskyi, Ellertsson, Martin, Vitinha & Colombo
Last five fixtures
- 18.01.26 – Parma 0–0 Genoa
- 12.01.26 – Genoa 3–0 Cagliari
- 08.01.26 – AC Milan 1–1 Genoa
- 03.01.26 – Genoa 1–1 Pisa
- 29.12.25 – AS Roma 3–1 Genoa
Bologna preview: Fitness issue and confirmed absentees
Santiago Castro remains a doubt for this game after missing Thursday’s draw through illness, with his availability set to be assessed closer to kick-off. Bologna are already without several players, as Juan Miranda is suspended, while Jhon Lucumi and Martin Vitik are sidelined with hamstring injuries, and Federico Bernardeschi continues his recovery from a collarbone issue.
Predicted lineup: Ravaglia (GK), Holm, Casale, Heggem, Lykogiannis, Freuler, Ferguson, Orsolini, Odgaard, Cambiaghi & Dallinga
Last five fixtures
- 22.01.26 – Bologna 2–2 Celtic
- 18.01.26 – Bologna 1–2 Fiorentina
- 15.01.26 – Verona 2–3 Bologna
- 10.01.26 – Como 1–1 Bologna
- 07.01.26 – Bologna 0–2 Atalanta
Player to watch: Riccardo Orsolini
Riccardo Orsolini is the most dangerous attacking threat for the visiting side and will be the focal point of their offensive efforts on Sunday. The talented Italian winger has already netted seven goals in the league this season and has provided a consistent source of creativity from the right flank.
He has managed to maintain a high level of performance and possesses a clinical left foot and a keen eye for goal from distance, making him the most likely player to break the deadlock in a tight encounter.