Genoa host AC Milan at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Sunday, 8 November, with the visitors looking to recover from a painful 2-0 Europa League loss to Ferencvaros.
Ruben Amorim's team beat Inter 3-1 in the derby but have struggled for consistency, particularly at the back, during a demanding schedule of matches every three days.
Daniele De Rossi's Genoa have won three league games in a row and could exploit Milan's fatigue in the final fixture before the international break.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
Genoa vs Milan key stats
- Genoa have won their last three Serie A matches, scoring five goals and conceding only one.
- Milan have scored 11 goals and conceded eight across their last five league fixtures.
- Milan lost 2-0 at home to Ferencvaros on Thursday, their third defeat in four Europa League games.
- The Rossoneri are unbeaten in five away league matches this season, with two wins and three draws.
- Milan have not lost any of their last ten Serie A meetings with Genoa (W6, D4).
Genoa vs Milan preview: Can Genoa profit from a tired Milan side?
Genoa vs Milan – Tale of the Tape
| Genoa | vs | Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 11th | Position | 5th |
| 13 | Points | 21 |
| 10 | Goals For | 21 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 9th (H) | Home / Away Rank | 5th (A) |
Genoa head into this fixture with growing confidence after consecutive league victories over Venezia, Juventus and Lecce lifted them to 11th place.
De Rossi's side have collected 12 points from their last five Serie A outings, a stronger recent return than Milan's ten points.
The hosts also kept back-to-back clean sheets against Venezia and Juventus before conceding once in their 2-1 victory at Lecce.
Genoa have collected ten of their 13 league points at the Ferraris, where their recent improvement provides reason to believe they can trouble the favourites.
Milan arrive following a disappointing 2-0 home defeat to Ferencvaros, which left them with just three points from four Europa League matches.
The Rossoneri conceded twice in the second half and failed to capitalise when their opponents were reduced to ten men late on.
Amorim has had little time to recover his players after a congested period that also included a 4-2 defeat to Bologna and a 3-1 derby victory over Inter.
The inconsistency is especially concerning defensively, with eight goals conceded in five league matches and another two shipped against Ferencvaros.
Milan still possess considerable firepower, however, having scored 21 Serie A goals in ten rounds and 11 across their last five league matches.
Maignan should return in goal after serving a European suspension, while Gabbia, Tomori, Saelemaekers and Loftus-Cheek are among the expected absentees.
The visitors are unbeaten on the road in Serie A this season, and four consecutive league victories at Genoa underline their ability to respond in this fixture.
The international break comes immediately afterwards, adding to the incentive for both sides to finish the demanding run on a positive note.
A lively encounter is plausible, with Genoa capable of an early lead before Milan's attacking options help Amorim's side fight back.
Genoa vs Milan form guide & betting tips
| Genoa | vs | Milan |
|---|---|---|
WLWWW | Form | DWWLW |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| 5th | Form Table | 8th |
| 7 | Goals For | 11 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 8 |
WLWWW | Form (All Comps) | LWLWL |
Whispers predicts: Genoa 2-2 Milan
Our Genoa 2-2 Milan score prediction reflects the home side's improving confidence and the visitors' goal threat, while also accounting for Milan's defensive frailties and tired legs.
Draw at 3.60 is our Hot Tip, with Genoa's recent momentum and Milan's hectic schedule potentially cancelling out the visitors' greater individual quality.
Both Teams to Score – Yes at 1.88 looks plausible after Milan scored 11 and conceded eight in their last five league matches, while Genoa scored in four of theirs.
HT/FT Genoa/Draw (1/X) at 16.50 is a particularly ambitious pick, requiring Genoa to lead at the interval before Milan fight back for a draw in the second half.
> Draw at 3.60 | Likelihood: Possible
> Both Teams to Score – Yes at 1.88 | Likelihood: Possible
> HT/FT Genoa/Draw (1/X) at 16.50 | Likelihood: Possible