Even a win on the final day of the season is unlikely to be enough for Union Saint-Gilloise to reclaim the league title as Club Brugge are three points clear at the top with a vastly superior goal difference.
Union SG play host to Genk on Sunday and we're predicting a close and competitive 90 minutes between the two clubs in their final game of the 2023/24 campaign.
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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk predictions: Home win on the cards?
The hosts enter the final round of the season looking for a win that might bring them Champions League football next season and we don't see them giving up on that chance.
Key Stats
- Union SG have won three of their last six league meetings with Genk and head into Sunday's match on the back of four wins from their last six matches in all competitions, while the visitors have lost four of their last five in the league.
- Sunday's hosts have scored at least two goals in four of their last six matches and Genk have only failed to score in two of their last seven outings, which is why we're backing a 2-1 win for Union SG.
- Mohamed Amoura leads the way for Union SG this season with 18 league goals and the Algerian international is due another goal this weekend after failing to score in his last four First Division A games.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Union SG the clear favourite
- HOME: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- AWAY: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Union Saint-Gilloise are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 58.8%, and we're expecting the hosts to claim all three points in this game.
Sunday's hosts won 2-1 away against Cercle Brugge in their last game, while Genk claimed a 1-0 win at home against Antwerp.
For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. You can back BTTS in this game at 8/13 (1.62) which has a probability of 61.9%, or you could go the other way and back BTTS – No at 11/8 (2.38) with a probability of 42.1%.
Last five H2Hs: All square
Belgium First Division A 01/04/24
Genk
Union Saint Gilloise
Belgium First Division A 03/02/24
Genk
Union Saint Gilloise
Belgium First Division A 16/09/23
Union Saint Gilloise
Genk
Belgium First Division A 21/05/23
Genk
Union Saint Gilloise
Belgium First Division A 14/05/23
Union Saint Gilloise
Genk
With two wins, two defeats and one draw apiece, the last five meetings between Union SG and Genk have been shared equally.
Team news and form guide
Union SG: Unbeaten in last six
The hosts have a clean bill of health and no suspended players for Sunday's final game of the 2023/24 season, so should go with the same starting lineup that faced Cercle Brugge.
Predicted lineup: Moris (GK), Burgess, Mac Allister, Sykes, Rasmussen, Castro-Montes, Puertas, Vanhoutte, Teklab, Nilsson & Amoura
Belgium First Division A 10/05/25
W
Anderlecht
0
Union Saint Gilloise
1
Belgium First Division A 03/05/25
W
Genk
0
Union Saint Gilloise
1
Belgium First Division A 27/04/25
D
Club Brugge
0
Union Saint Gilloise
0
Belgium First Division A 24/04/25
W
Club Brugge
0
Union Saint Gilloise
1
Belgium First Division A 20/04/25
W
Genk
1
Union Saint Gilloise
2
Genk: Lost last three on the road
The visitors are expected to be without the likes of Bryan Heynen, Yira Sor, Luca Oyen and Ouattara Mohammed for the final game of the season.
Predicted lineup: Vandevoordt (GK), Kayembe, Cuesta, McKenzie, Sadick, El Ouahdi, Hrošovský, Galarza, Karetsas, Zeqiri & Arokodare
Belgium First Division A 11/05/25
L
Club Brugge
2
Genk
0
Belgium First Division A 03/05/25
L
Union Saint Gilloise
1
Genk
0
Belgium First Division A 27/04/25
L
Antwerp
1
Genk
0
Belgium First Division A 23/04/25
D
Antwerp
1
Genk
1
Belgium First Division A 20/04/25
L
Union Saint Gilloise
2
Genk
1
Player to watch – Cameron Puertas
Union SG's Swiss-born Spanish midfielder Cameron Puertas has had an amazing season for the title-challengers.
The 25-year-old is the club's chief playmaker and has provided 17 assists in the First Division A this season as well as chipping in with 11 goals, three of which have arrived in the form or penalties.
Union SG's assist machine has been phenomenal this season
We're expecting another big performance from Union SG's best player this season, one that should help guide his club to a win against Antwerp.