Genk vs Malmo prediction, odds & betting tips – 29/01/2026
Photo by IMAGO / Belga.
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Under 2.5 goals

Genk have scored nine goals and Malmo have scored just three in seven league-phase games each.

Genk will welcome Malmo to Belgium on Thursday in the final round of Europa League league-phase fixtures.

The visitors are out of contention having failed to win any of their seven games so far, while the hosts sit 10th and may still be able to seal a top-eight finish and automatic round-of-16 place with a victory.

Genk vs Malmo prediction: Genk to sneak top-eight spot?

Key stats

  • Genk have won three of their last four Europa League games.
  • Genk are winless in their last four home matches in all competitions.
  • Malmo have picked up just one point from their seven league-phase games so far.

Correct score prediction: Genk 2-0 Malmo

Needing a victory to stand a chance of progressing straight to the Europa League round of 16, Genk should get over the line against a Malmo side winless in the league phase.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts given major edge in final league-phase match

  • HOME: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%
  • DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
  • AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, bookmakers see Genk as clear favourites with a 73.3% chance on home turf.

A draw can be backed at 20%, while Malmo are given just a 12.5% chance to secure a first win of the league phase this season. Also, feel free to check out our Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Europa League predictions & betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Third ever meeting

The two sides have met twice previously in the 2018-19 Europa League group stage.

Malmo's home game ended in a 2-2 draw, while their only ever trip to Genk before Thursday's clash ended in a 2-0 victory for the Belgian hosts.

Genk preview: Round-of-16 space or settle for a playoff?

Genk head into the final round of league-phase game in 10th spot, guaranteed a playoff place at least and one point outside of the top eight, which would see them earn automatic progression to the round of 16 and avoid a playoff tie.

They may be unchanged from a 2-0 win away at Utrecht in their last continental game, but top scorer Hyeon-gyu Oh will hope to come in from the start.

Predicted lineup: Lawal (GK); El Ouahdi, Sadick, Smets, Medina; Heynen; Ito, Heymans, Karetsas, Sor & Oh

Last five results:

  • Genk 1-1 Cercle Brugge
  • Utrecht 0-2 Genk
  • Waregem 2-1 Genk
  • Genk 3-5 Club Brugge
  • Charleroi 2-2 Genk

Malmo preview: Seeking first Europa League win

Malmo finish their Europa League campaign on Thursday aiming to record a first victory, having only managed one draw and six losses so far.

Defender Busanello is suspended, having reached three yellow cards for the league phase in their home loss to Crvena Zvezda last week, while Otto Rosengren, Ricardo Friedrich and Jens Stryger are out injured.

Predicted lineup: Ellborg; Karlsson, Jansson, Rosler, Djuric; Bolin, Lundbergh, Busuladzic, Haksabanovic; Botheim & Ali

Last five results:

  • Malmo 0-1 Crvena Zvezda
  • Porto 2-1 Malmo
  • Nottingham Forest 3-0 Malmo
  • Malmo 2-1 GAIS
  • Malmo 0-1 Panathinaikos
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Sam is a sports reporter with over four years of experience covering football across the world. He is a long-suffering Sheffield United fan and lover of most sports, primarily focusing on football and golf.