Genk vs Club Brugge prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/04/2024

28/04/24 - 12:30

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Genk - Club Brugge

Belgium First Division A - Cegeka Arena

Club Brugge looked out of the title race at one point this season but the Belgian giants have recovered well and are now Anderlecht's closest competitors heading into the final few games of the campaign. Hosts Genk lost 4-0 to Club Brugge just a few days ago but will they have learned any lessons from that heavy defeat?

Genk vs Club Brugge predictions: Away win on the cards

Key Stats

• Club Brugge are unbeaten against Genk this season, picking up two wins and a draw, which includes a 4-0 demolition in midweek. The visitors head into this game on the back of six straight wins in all competitions and have really found their form again.
• The visitors have scored at least two goals in five of their last six matches, keeping four clean sheets during that period, so we're backing a 2-0 win for Club Brugge this weekend.
• Thiago has been sensational for Club Brugge this season netting 17 league goals and despite going through a goal drought in recent weeks, the Brazilian returned to his scoring ways in midweek against Genk.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The odds favour Club Brugge

• HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
• DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
• AWAY: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Club Brugge are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 43.5%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this pick.

Due to the way the Belgian First Division A works at this stage of the season these two sides played one another in midweek, their third meeting of the season, and then hosts Club Brugge scored four goals without replay.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. If you want to back under 2.5 goals in this game the odds stand at 27/20 (2.35) with a probability of 42.6%, while a bet on over 2.5 goals has odds of 13/20 (1.65) which has a probability of 60.6%.

Last five H2Hs: The visitor have a healthy lead

Belgium First Division A 24/04/24

Club Brugge

4

Genk

0

Belgium First Division A 03/03/24

Genk

0

Club Brugge

3

Belgium First Division A 28/09/23

Club Brugge

1

Genk

1

Belgium First Division A 27/08/23

Club Brugge

0

Genk

0

Belgium First Division A 28/05/23

Club Brugge

1

Genk

3

Club Brugge have won 50, drawn 22 and lost 33 of their last 105 encounters with Genk in all competitions, winning 4-0 in the pair's reverse fixture on Wednesday night.

Team news and form guide

Genk: Struggled against Club Brugge this season

Bryan Heynen, Yira Sor, Luca Oyen and Ouattara Mohammed make up the three main injury concerns for Genk ahead of Sunday's tough game against Club Brugge.

Predicted lineup: Vandevoordt (GK), Cuesta, McKenzie, Sadick, El Ouahdi, Hrošovský, Ait El Hadj, El Khannouss, Galarza, Arokodare & Fadera 

Belgium First Division A 30/08/24

W

Westerlo

0

Genk

1

Club Friendly List 23/08/24

W

Fortuna Sittard

0

Genk

2

Belgium First Division A 17/08/24

W

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

3

Genk

4

Belgium First Division A 11/08/24

W

Club Brugge

2

Genk

3

Belgium First Division A 03/08/24

L

OH Leuven

3

Genk

1

Club Brugge: Won last six in all comps

The visitors could be without Casper Nielsen, Andreas Skov Olsen and Simon Mignolet for this weekend's trip to Genk but the latter two are expected back in action very soon.

Predicted lineup: Jackers (GK), Odoi, Mechele, De Cuyper, Sabbe, Ordoñez, Vanaken, Onyedika, Skóraś, Jutglà & Thiago 

Belgium First Division A 01/09/24

W

Cercle Brugge

0

Club Brugge

3

Belgium First Division A 25/08/24

W

FCV Dender EH

1

Club Brugge

2

Belgium First Division A 18/08/24

W

Antwerp

0

Club Brugge

1

Belgium First Division A 11/08/24

L

Genk

3

Club Brugge

2

Belgium First Division A 04/08/24

L

Standard Liege

1

Club Brugge

0

Player to watch – Thiago

Club Brugge's Brazilian forward was in fantastic form for most of the season but once his summer move to Brentford was announced, the goals dried up.

However, Thiago returned to his familiar scoring ways in midweek when Club Brugge played host to this weekend's opponents Genk, where the Belgian giants ran out comfortable 4-0 winners.

Earned his move to the Premier League

With Thiago back amongst the goals and Club Brugge challenging for the league title, were expecting the Brazilian to score a few more goals before he bids farewell to the fans and moves to England to see if he can make the step up to English football.