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Under 2.5 total goals

Three of Machida Zelvia's last four games went below the 2.5-goal threshold

Gamba Osaka will welcome league leaders Machida Zelvia to the Panasonic Stadium Suita this weekend, as both teams battle for three points. View our free Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia predictions below.

Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia predictions: Spoils to be shared

Key stats

  • Gamba Osaka's last game ended in a draw, while Machida Zelvia are coming off back-to-back stalemates.
  • The spoils were shared in the reverse fixture of this clash.
  • Gamba Osaka are currently on a 10-match unbeaten run across all competitions.
  • Three of Machida Zelvia's last four games featured less than three goals.

Correct score prediction: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Machida Zelvia

Four of Machida Zelvia's last five matches were tied at the end of regulation time. Also, the reverse fixture of this clash was a 1-1 draw.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Machida Zelvia

  • Gamba Osaka: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • Draw: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • Machida Zelvia: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite this being their debut season in Japan's top flight, Machida Zelvia have been the best team in the J1 League this season, accumulating 40 points from a possible 60. They will square off against third-placed Gamba Osaka, who are undefeated in their previous 10 matches.

With that in mind, Machida Zelvia are the expected winners at 6/5 (2.20). Teams with these odds usually have a 45.5% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia predictions.

Moreover, both teams were on the scoresheet in six of Machida Zelvia's last eight matches. Given that the previous two skirmishes between these teams featured goals at both ends, BTTS – yes has an appealing look at 10/11 (1.91). That one has a 52.4% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: Third encounter between the sides

Machida Zelvia are playing in the J1 League for the first time in history, so it's no surprise that these teams will meet for the third time this weekend. Gamba Osaka won one of their previous encounters, while the other ended in a stalemate.

Japan J-League 24/02/24

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

1
Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

1

Team news and form guide

Gamba Osaka: Sights set on an 11-match unbeaten run

Kota Yamada remains the only absentee for Gamba Osaka. He was injured in their 2-1 victory against Vissel Kobe last weekend.

Predicted lineup: Ichimori (GK), Kurokawa, Fukuoka, Nakatani, Handa, Suzuki, Lavi, Welton, Sakamoto, Yamashita & Usami.

Japan J-League 11/05/25

L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

0

Japan J-League 06/05/25

W

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

0

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

1

Japan J-League 03/05/25

W

Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare

0

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

4

Japan J-League 29/04/25

W

Kyoto Sanga FC

Kyoto Sanga FC

1

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

2

Japan J-League 25/04/25

L

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

3

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

0

Machida Zelvia: Looking to maintain the top spot

Unlike their opponents, there are no injured or suspended players for Machida Zelvia ahead of this clash.

Predicted lineup: Tani (GK), Hayashi, Shoji, Dresevic, Mochizuki, Fujimoto, Shimoda, Shibato, Hirakawa, Erik & Fujio.

Japan J-League 11/05/25

D

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

2

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

2

Japan J-League 07/05/25

L

Kyoto Sanga FC

Kyoto Sanga FC

2

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

1

Japan J-League 03/05/25

L

Kashima Antlers

Kashima Antlers

1

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

0

Japan J-League 29/04/25

W

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

1

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

2

Japan J-League 25/04/25

L

Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare

1

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

0

Player to watch: Shota Fujio

Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia predictions
Shota Fujio scored five times in his last eight games. (Photo by Imago)

Machida Zelvia are coming off back-to-back goalless draws, but it is worth mentioning that Shota Fujio has scored in three consecutive matches before that. The 23-year-old has put up some decent numbers in recent weeks, scoring five times in his last eight appearances for club and country. It'll be interesting to see how he matches up against Gamba Osaka's defence.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed