Empoli vs Frosinone prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/05/2024

05/05/24 - 14:00

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Empoli - Frosinone

Italy Serie A - Carlo Castellani

Empoli and Frosinone meet in a huge game at the bottom of Serie A. Our Empoli vs Frosinone prediction considers whether either side can claim a vital win in the pursuit of safety.

Empoli vs Frosinone prediction: Tense game to end goalless

Key Stats

• Our Empoli vs Frosinone betting tips take into account the much improved form of the visitors who are unbeaten in five matches in Serie A.
• Despite that, Frosinone are still winless away from home this season, drawing their last three road fixtures.
• 71% of Empoli home Serie A games have produced under 2.5 goals while just 24% have seen both teams score.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Not much to choose between the teams

• HOME: 27/20 (2.35) – 42.6%
• DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
• AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the slight favourites according to the Empoli vs Frosinone odds with an implied probability of 42.6% that they win this, but the improving visitors are not ruled out.

Frosinone were impressive last weekend, winning 3-0 at home to Salernitana thanks to goals from Matias Soule, Marco Brescianini and Nadir Zortea. Empoli meanwhile, slipped to a sixth defeat in eight matches, going down 2-0 at Atalanta.

For more analysis of the weekend action, today’s free football betting tips will guide you around some of the best picks.

Last five H2Hs: Home advantage usually key

Italy Serie A 06/11/23

Frosinone

2

Empoli

1

Italy Serie B 30/01/21

Empoli

3

Frosinone

1

Italy Serie B 26/09/20

Frosinone

0

Empoli

2

Italy Serie B 10/07/20

Empoli

2

Frosinone

0

Italy Serie B 30/11/19

Frosinone

4

Empoli

0

Our Empoli vs Frosinone prediction of a draw goes against the recent history with all of the last six meetings producing a clear winner, usually in favour of the team playing at home. However most of those matches were in Serie B between 2019 and 2021.

Empoli Preview: Defensive injuries for hosts

There are defensive problems for Empoli with Sebastian Walukiewicz, Alberto Cerri, Etrit Berisha, Tyronne Ebuehi and Ardian Ismajli carrying injuries.

Predicted Lineup: Caprile (GK), Pezzella, Luperto, Bereszynski, Gyasi, Grassi, Maleh, Cacace, Cambiaghi, Fazzini, Niang

Italy Serie A 10/05/25

W

Parma

1

Empoli

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

L

Lazio

1

Empoli

0

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

L

Fiorentina

2

Empoli

1

Coppa Italia 24/04/25

L

Bologna

2

Empoli

1

Italy Serie A 20/04/25

D

Venezia

2

Empoli

2

Frosinone Preview: Momentum with the visitors

The visitors will take confidence from a five game unbeaten streak but they have suffered a fresh blow with Caleb Okoli picking up an injury. Abdou Harroui and Anthony Oyono are also out.

Predicted Lineup: Cerofolini (GK), Bonifazi, Monterisi, Romagnoli, Valeri, Barrenechea, Mazzitelli, Zortea, Soule, Brescianini, Cheddira

Italy Serie B 13/05/25

W

Sassuolo

0

Frosinone

1

Italy Serie B 09/05/25

L

Palermo

2

Frosinone

0

Italy Serie B 04/05/25

D

Cittadella

1

Frosinone

1

Italy Serie B 01/05/25

L

Pisa

1

Frosinone

0

Italy Serie B 25/04/25

D

Spezia

2

Frosinone

2

Player to watch – Matias Soule

The big danger man for Frosinone is Matias Soule. The 21 year old has been one of the outstanding young players in Serie A this season with 11 goals and he was on target again last weekend.

Firing in the middle of the Second Half

By far Matias Soule’s favourite time to score this term has been in the middle of the Second Half. 36% of his goals have come between the 61st and 75th minutes with the most recent being a direct free kick.