Last season’s runners-up, Stuttgart, kick off the new Bundesliga campaign with tricky-looking test against Freiburg at the Europa-Park Stadion on Saturday, 24 August. Read our German football tips for the contest below.
Contents
- 1 Freiburg vs Stuttgart prediction: Goals at both ends likely
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors installed as favourites
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Stuttgart chasing more success
- 4 Freiburg preview: Doan, Sallai and Ginter hoping to be fit
- 5 Stuttgart preview: Still no Vagnoman for visitors
- 6 Player to watch – Deniz Undav
Freiburg vs Stuttgart prediction: Goals at both ends likely
Key Stats
- Two of the last three meetings between these clubs featured goals at both ends.
- Both teams managed to score in 76% of Freiburg’s home fixtures in the Bundesliga last season.
- Freiburg notched one goal in each of their last four home league assignments and once again when they last hosted Stuttgart in February.
- Deniz Undav, who scored in the Super Cup last weekend, also found the net when Stuttgart won 3-1 at Freiburg in February.
Correct score prediction: Freiburg 1-2 Stuttgart
Stuttgart, who averaged 1.67 goals per away game last term, scored twice in the German Super Cup last week against Leverkusen before they lost on penalties to the Bundesliga champions, and they have the firepower to notch another brace at Freiburg.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors installed as favourites
- HOME: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Stuttgart beat Freiburg twice last season and plundered eight goals in the process, so it’s easy to see why they have been backed into a price of 23/20 to start the new Bundesliga season with a bang.
Freiburg managed to win just five times in 17 attempts at home last season and finished the 2023/24 campaign with the fourth-worst home record in the Bundesliga. The have just a 30.3% chance of beating Stuttgart on Saturday according to the latest probability figures. View the rest of our latest football tips on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Stuttgart chasing more success
Stuttgart did the Bundesliga double of Freiburg last season, though they had lost four iterations of this fixture on the spin before their change in fortunes.
Germany Bundesliga I 03/02/24
SC Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
Germany Bundesliga I 02/09/23
VfB Stuttgart
SC Freiburg
Germany Bundesliga I 11/02/23
SC Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
Germany Bundesliga I 20/08/22
VfB Stuttgart
SC Freiburg
Germany Bundesliga I 22/01/22
SC Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
Freiburg preview: Doan, Sallai and Ginter hoping to be fit
Manuel Gulde, Kiliann Sildillia and Merlin Rohl are listed as injured for Freiburg while Ritsu Doan, Matthias Ginter, Roland Sallai and Eren Dincki have work to do to prove their fitness. Dincke is one of a handful of new faces in line to make their debuts.
Predicted lineup: Muller (GK), Ogbus, Rosenfelder, Lienhart, Gunter, Doan, Eggestein, Osterhage, Grifo, Holer, Adamu
Europe Friendlies 06/09/24
W
Basel
0
SC Freiburg
6
Germany Bundesliga I 01/09/24
L
Bayern Munich
2
SC Freiburg
0
Germany Bundesliga I 24/08/24
W
VfB Stuttgart
1
SC Freiburg
3
Germany DFB Pokal 17/08/24
W
VfL Osnabruck
0
SC Freiburg
4
Elite Club Friendlies 03/08/24
D
Strasbourg
2
SC Freiburg
2
Stuttgart preview: Still no Vagnoman for visitors
Leonidas Stergiou, Luca Pfeiffer, Josha Vagnoman, Dan Axel Zagadou, Thomas Kastanaras and Nikolas Nartey missed the Super Cup for Stuttgart and all six players remain doubtful ahead of Saturday's game. Big-money summer Ermedin Demirovic could start up front.
Predicted lineup: Nubel (GK), Stenzel, Rouault, Chabot, Mittelstadt, Karazor, Stiller, Leweling, Millot, Fuhrich, Demirovic
Europe Friendlies 05/09/24
W
Kaiserslautern
1
VfB Stuttgart
4
Germany Bundesliga I 31/08/24
D
Mainz
3
VfB Stuttgart
3
Germany DFB Pokal 27/08/24
W
SC Preussen Munster
0
VfB Stuttgart
5
Germany Bundesliga I 24/08/24
L
SC Freiburg
3
VfB Stuttgart
1
Germany Super Cup 17/08/24
L
Bayer Leverkusen
2 (4)
VfB Stuttgart
2 (3)
Player to watch – Deniz Undav
It took a little time to get the deal over the line, though Stuttgart eventually managed to turn Deniz Undav’s stay at the club from a temporary to a permanent one this summer. The €26m-man reannounced himself with a goal in last week’s German Super Cup.
Undav is a potential match winner
Versatile attacker Deniz Undav hit 18 goals in the Bundesliga for Stuttgart last season and the 28-year-old also lodged nine assists during an impactful campaign. With his immediate future finally settled, Undav is primed to be an attacking force in the German top tier again in 2024/25.
