Freiburg vs St Pauli prediction, odds & betting tips – 09/11/2025
Julian Schuster celebrates victory with fans - IMAGO / STEINSIEK.CH
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Match result: Freiburg to win

St Pauli have lost their last six Bundesliga games. Freiburg have lost just once in their last seven Bundesliga games.

Fresh from beating Nice 3-1 away from home in the Europa League, Freiburg will look to pick up another win in the Bundesliga when they face St Pauli on Sunday at the Europa-Park Stadium.

St Pauli have not won a game since beating Augsburg 2-1 in mid-September, and are going through a wretched run of form.

View our free Freiburg vs St Pauli predictions below.

Freiburg vs St Pauli prediction: Home side domination

Key statistics:

  • Freiburg have been scoring in the first half in three of their last five games.
  • St Pauli have failed to score in their last four Bundesliga matches.
  • The visitors have conceded two or more goals in five of their last six matches.

Correct score prediction: Freiburg 2-0 St Pauli

Julian Schuster needs to find a way to pick up wins in the Bundesliga, as they have been drawing too many games at the moment.

Since beating Werder Bremen 3-0 back in September, they have drawn five out of their next six games, losing the other one.

St Pauli are 15th in the Bundesliga table, and have lost their last six league games, which is why we back the home team to pick up all three points on Sunday.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Freiburg slight favourites

  • Home: 5/6 (1.83) – 54.6%
  • Draw: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • Away: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%  

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Freiburg have made a strong start to their Europa League campaign, sitting second in the table with three wins and a draw from four games.

However, they need to start winning games in the league as well and climb up the table. As we can see, Freiburg are the expected winners at 5/6 (1.83) with a 54.6% chance of winning.

St Pauli, on the other hand, have lost three of their four away games this season. They are priced at 10/3 (4.33), with a 23.1% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Freiburg vs St Pauli predictions.

Most recent head-to-head: No clear favourites

In 2024-25, Freiburg lost 3-0 at home against St Pauli, but won 1-0 away from home.

In seven meetings between the two sides, each team has won three times.

Germany Bundesliga I 15/02/25

St Pauli

St Pauli

0
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0
St Pauli

St Pauli

3

Germany DFB Pokal 19/10/22

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2
St Pauli

St Pauli

1

Europe Friendlies 07/10/21

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

3
St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga II 10/04/16

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

4
St Pauli

St Pauli

3

Freiburg preview: Can they avoid another draw?

In their previous Bundesliga game, Freiburg failed to penetrate a resolute Union Berlin defence as they were held to a 0-0 draw. Before that, they lost 2-0 against Bayer Leverkusen.

The game on Sunday provided a perfect opportunity for them to produce a strong result and head into the international break with loads of confidence.

Predicted lineup: Atubolu (GK), Treu, Ginter, Lienhart, Makengo, Eggestein, Manzambi, Beste, Hofler, Grifo & Adamu

Last five matches

  • Nice 1-3 Freiburg
  • Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg
  • Dusseldorf 1-3 Freiburg 
  • Leverkusen 2-0 Freiburg
  • Freiburg 2-0 Utrecht

St Pauli preview: Badly need wins

With six defeats in a row in the Bundesliga and finding it difficult to score at the moment, things are not looking pretty for St Pauli.

Defensive duo David Nemeth and Arkadiusz Pyrka are both set to miss Sunday's clash, but Martijn Kaars could return to the side.

Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Smith, Mets, Saliakas, Sands, Fujita, Oppie, Sinani, Kaars & Pereira

Last five matches

  • St Pauli 0-4 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • St Pauli 2-2 Hoffenheim
  • Frankfurt 2-0 St Pauli
  • St Pauli 0-3 Hoffenheim
  • Werder Bremen 1-0 St Pauli

Player to watch: Vincenzo Grifo

The 32-year-old Italian attacking midfielder has been in good form for Freiburg this season and has scored four goals in his last six games.

Grifo has scored six goals and provided two assists in all competitions so far, and he will look to improve his goal tally on Sunday.

Freiburg vs St Pauli
Vincenzo Grifo in action for Freiburg – IMAGO / STEINSIEK.CH

Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.