Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig prediction, preview & betting tips – 16/05/2026
Christoph Baumgartner had never made it to double figures for goals until this season - By IMAGO
🔥 Our Hot tip

Christoph Baumgartner to score anytime

Baumgartner has scored 13 goals from midfield so far this season

Freiburg welcome RB Leipzig to the Europa-Park Stadion on Saturday, 16 May on what is the final day of the Bundesliga season.

Julian Schuster’s side suffered a 3-2 defeat away at Hamburg in their penultimate league match and can no longer finish higher than seventh in the table.

Ordinarily, that would leave them out of European contention for next season, but they face Aston Villa in the Europa League final next Wednesday, meaning victory there would secure Champions League football for 2026-27.

RB Leipzig secured a 2-1 home win over relegation threatened St Pauli last time out to confirm a third-placed finish, marking a strong improvement on last season’s seventh-placed finish.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig key stats

  • No side in the top half of the German Bundesliga has scored fewer than Freiburg's 47.
  • The Breisgau Brazilians have won just one of their last five home matches in the league.
  • A win for Leipzig on Saturday would see them finish the season with 17 more points than last year.
  • The Red Bulls also rank highly for both attack and defence, with the fifth best scoring record and third best defensive record in the division.

Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig preview: Hosts with bigger things in mind?

Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig — Tale of the Tape

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
7thPosition3rd
44Points65
47Goals For65
56Goals Against43
6Clean Sheets11
7th / 12thHome / Away Rank4th / 5th

Freiburg return to league action after a 3-2 defeat to Hamburg and are now without a win in three league matches, with Schuster’s side looking to regain momentum ahead of their European final next week.

They did show resilience in Europe by overturning a 2-1 first leg defeat to Braga with a 3-1 home win, securing their place in the Europa League final in Istanbul.

With no movement possible in the Bundesliga table, rotation is expected as Freiburg prioritise their biggest match in club history.

RB Leipzig, by contrast, have enjoyed a far more stable domestic campaign, with last season’s struggles replaced by consistent league form and Champions League qualification already secured with a game to spare.

Ole Werner’s side have benefited from a lighter schedule and have improved significantly, losing just once in their last eight matches while scoring 17 goals in that run.

Although they suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen earlier this month, Leipzig have otherwise finished the season strongly and arrive in confident form.

Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig — Last 5 Form Guide
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
WWLDL
Form
WWWLW
7Points12
10thForm Table2nd
8Goals For12
12Goals Against8
LLDWL
Form (All Comps)
WWWLW

Whispers predicts: Freiburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

With Freiburg expected to rotate heavily and their league form already fading, RB Leipzig look well placed to take advantage and secure their 21st win of the season. An away win is priced at 27/20.

Igor Matanovic has scored 10 goals for the hosts, he is priced at 6/4 to score anytime this weekend.

As previously mentioned, Leipzig have scored 17 times in their last eight outings so expect goals here. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 4/9, while the correct score of 1-2 is priced at 9/1.

📈 Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig — Whispers' Tips

> Both Teams to Score – Yes at 2/5 | Likelihood: Probable

> RB Leipzig to win at 27/20 | Likelihood: Probable

> Over 2.5 goals at 4/9 | Likelihood: Likely



Cal is a dedicated football journalist and lifelong Bristol City supporter, with professional experience working within club media environments and independent sports outlets. Having previously worked with Chesterfield FC and contributed as a journalist in the newsroom, he brings an informed, authentic voice to his coverage.