Freiburg vs Hoffenheim prediction, odds & betting tips 28/09/2025
Hoffenheim will hope to beat Freiburg - Image by IMAGO
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Over 3.5 goals

Freiburg have scored eight in three games, while Hoffenheim have scored at least two times in eight of their last 11 matches

Freiburg will hope to build upon their positive momentum with a victory against visitors Hoffenheim at Europa-Park Stadion on Sunday in their fifth Bundesliga match of the 2025-26 season.

The hosts ended matchweek four in seventh place with six points following their 3-0 win against Werder Bremen last Saturday, whereas Hoffenheim suffered a 4-1 loss at the hands of Bayern Munich on the same date and are in ninth place with six points.

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim prediction: Goals at both ends of the pitch

Key stats

  • Freiburg have managed to find the back of the net in each of their past 13 outings in the league, netting eight in their three most recent games, though they have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their past five.
  • In their last 11 matches in all competitions, Hoffenheim have scored at least two goals eight times.
  • The visitors have scored at least twice in each of their last six away games in domestic football, but they have conceded the most goals from set pieces (eight) of the teams in the Bundesliga, while the hosts have netted the third most goals (four) from dead-ball situations.

Correct score prediction: Freiburg 2-2 Hoffenheim

Freiburg should be expected to find their way onto the scoresheet considering their form in the final third is positive, though they have struggled to keep clean sheets, and perhaps Hoffenheim's firepower could help them leave with a point.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Freiburg predicted to win by the bookmakers

  • HOME: 6/5 (2.2) – 45.5%%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.6) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 2/1 (3) – 33.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Freiburg are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 45.5%, but the bookmakers have given Hoffenheim a sizable chance of avoiding defeat, and they have even been given a 33.3% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Freiburg dominate in recent meetings

If recent history is anything to go by, Hoffenheim will have their work cut out to earn a positive result given they are winless in eight encounters with Freiburg, suffering six defeats in that period.

In the 2024-25 season, Sunday's visitors drew 1-1 at home in December 2024, but lost 3-2 at Europa-Park Stadion in April 2025.

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

3
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Germany Bundesliga I 08/12/24

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

1
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 20/01/24

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

3
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Germany Bundesliga I 19/08/23

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

1
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2

Germany Bundesliga I 12/03/23

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

1

Freiburg preview: Improved form of late

Freiburg began their 2025-26 campaign with one win and two defeats – both losses were in their opening two Bundesliga fixtures – but they have since emerged as victors in three consecutive matches.

Attacking midfielder Johan Manzambi is still unavailable as he received a red card against Stuttgart earlier in September, so expect Lucas Holer to start as a number 10.

Predicted lineup: Atubolu (GK), Kubler, Ginter, Lienhart, Makengo, Eggestein, Osterhage, Beste, Holer, Grifo & Matanovic

Last five results:

  • Freiburg 2-1 Basel
  • Werder Bremen 0-3 Freiburg
  • Freiburg 3-1 Stuttgart
  • FC Koln 4-1 Freiburg
  • Freiburg 1-3 Augsburg

Hoffenheim preview: Goals galore

Hoffenheim have been beaten in two of their last three Bundesliga fixtures but they have won three of their five games this term, scoring 12 and conceding 10.

Key forward Adam Hlozek is not scheduled to make his comeback from a broken ankle until December, so perhaps the likes of Bazoumana Toure, Fisnik Asllani and Tim Lemperle will feature, while Andrej Kramaric could play in a withdrawn supportive role.

Predicted lineup: Baumann (GK), Coufal, Hranac, Hajdari, Bernardo, Burger, Avdullahu, Kramaric, Asllani, Lemperle & Toure

Last five results:

  • Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayern Munich
  • Union Berlin 2-4 Hoffenheim
  • Hoffenheim 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Hoffenheim
  • Hansa Rostock 0-4 Hoffenheim

Player to watch: Andrej Kramaric

Hoffenheim attacker Andrej Kramaric failed to net against Bayern, but he did score in each of his prior three fixtures, though two of them were for his national team Croatia.

Andrej Kramaric
Can Andrej Kramaric help Hoffenheim beat Freiburg? – Image by IMAGO

The 34-year-old ended 2024-25 as the team's leading scorer (11) and assist provider (eight) in the Bundesliga, and with Hlozek out injured, he will have to be at his best if his side hope to get three points.

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An avid writer and sport fan, Lewis has combined his interests to report on events within the football world. His time at Kings College London saw him earn a BA English degree, as well as a Masters Degree studying Digital Culture and Society. Lewis is a lifelong Liverpool fan - his first ever Anfield game was a 2-0 victory against Tottenham Hotspur - and he has previously contributed for fan websites. Follow Lewis on Twitter @LewisFN00.