Freiburg vs Hamburger SV prediction, odds & betting tips 10/01/2026

With hosts Freiburg aiming to push towards the Bundesliga‘s European spots, their home clash at Europa-Park Stadion against Hamburger SV on Saturday could be of vital importance.

Football in Germany was paused for a winter break, with Freiburg emerging out of the festive period in ninth place with 20 points, whereas their opponents are in 13th place with 16 points, and they will be looking over their shoulder at the relegation zone.

Freiburg vs Hamburger SV prediction: Goals galore for both?

Key stats

• Freiburg have scored as many goals in their last six league games (14) as they had in their prior 11 league fixtures.
• Hamburger SV have failed to keep a clean sheet in their past nine Bundesliga matches.
• The hosts have conceded more times (12) in their last five league outings than in their previous nine (11).

Correct score prediction: Freiburg 2-2 Hamburger SV

Neither team come into the weekend having excelled at the back in recent matches, and it would not be surprising if fans witnessed an entertaining yet frantic game of football.

Freiburg will be expected to win considering they are at home, but it remains to be seen if they can resolve their issues at the back on Saturday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Freiburg predicted to win by the bookmakers

• HOME: 4/5 (1.8) – 55.6%

• DRAW: 13/5 (3.6) – 27.8%

• AWAY: 17/5 (4.4) – 22.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Freiburg are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 55.6%, with the bookmakers giving the visitors given just a 22.7% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Freiburg looking for another win

A win for the hosts against Hamburger SV would be their third in a row, with the club emerging as 2-1 winners in the DFB-Pokal in October 2024 in the sides' last encounter.

The visitors have in fact only won one of their past nine clashes with Freiburg, though the teams did settle for stalemates five times in that period.

Freiburg preview: Positive form of late

Freiburg's performances of late have been positive, with the club winning four, drawing one and losing one of their six most recent matches.

Fans should expect striker Lucas Holer to be supported by attacking midfielder Johan Manzambi, with the pair set to be stationed between wide forwards Jan-Niklas Beste and Vincenzo Grifo.

Predicted lineup: Atubolu (GK), Kubler, Ginter, Lienhart, Gunter, Eggestein, Osterhage, Beste, Manzambi, Grifo & Holer

Last five results:

• Wolfsburg 3-4 Freiburg
• Freiburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
• Freiburg 1-0 RB Salzburg
• Heidenheim 2-1 Freiburg
• Freiburg 2-0 Darmstadt

Hamburger SV preview: Momentum in the Bundesliga?

Hamburger SV are four points in front of the 16th-placed relegation playoff spot, but they have collected seven points from the last 12 on offer in the league.

With forward Fabio Balde a doubt due to a knee issue, perhaps Fabio Vieira and Ransford Yeboah Konigsdörffer will support number nine Jean-Luc Dompe.

Predicted lineup: Fernandes (GK), Capaldo, Vuskovic, Elfadli, Mikelbrencis, Lokonga, Remberg, Muheim, Vieira, Konigsdorffer & Dompe

Last five results:

• Hamburger SV 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
• Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SV
• Hamburger SV 3-2 Werder Bremen
• Hamburger SV 1-2 Holstein Kiel
• Hamburger SV 2-1 Stuttgart

Player to watch: Vincenzo Grifo

If Freiburg are to get the better of Hamburger, they will need wide forward Vincenzo Grifo to be at the top of his game, particularly as he is the club's leading scorer in the Bundesliga (five).

The Italian has scored three times and provided one assist in his last six games for the club, though all three goals came from the penalty spot.

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