Iceland will make the trip to Parc des Princes for their 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifier against France on Tuesday, 9 September 2025.
View our free France vs Iceland predictions below.
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France vs Iceland predictions: Goals expected to flow
Key stats
- At least three goals were scored in five of Iceland's last six matches.
- Five of the last six encounters between these teams went above the 3.5-goal line.
- France have never lost to Iceland (W11, D4).
Correct score prediction: France 3-1 Iceland
Although Iceland are coming off a comfortable 5-0 victory over Azerbaijan, they have had their fair share of struggles, losing four of their last six games across all competitions.
On the other hand, France have a 7-1-2 win-draw-loss record in their last 10 matches. They also have a solid track record against Iceland, having won five of the last six skirmishes between these outfits.
Taking everything into account, we are confident that France will claim all the spoils after 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: France are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 1/11 (1.09) – 91.7%
- DRAW: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
- AWAY: 25/1 (26.00) – 3.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
While France kicked off their 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying campaign with a 2-0 victory over Ukraine, Iceland won their opener against Azerbaijan by five unanswered goals.
Ahead of this skirmish, France are the expected winners at 1/11 (1.09). Teams with these odds usually have a 91.7% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our France vs Iceland predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that seven of the last nine meetings between these teams produced goals at both ends, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 29/20 (2.45). That one has a 40.8% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for France?
There have been 15 previous meetings between France and Iceland since June 1957, and Iceland have never beaten France (D4, L11).
Euro 2019 Qualifying 11/10/19
Iceland
France
Euro 2019 Qualifying 25/03/19
France
Iceland
International Match 11/10/18
France
Iceland
Euro 2016 03/07/16
France
Iceland
France preview: A couple of absentees
Didier Deschamps’ men kicked off their 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying campaign in style, as Michael Olise and Kylian Mbappe netted on either side of the half to hand France a 2-0 victory in Wroclaw over Ukraine. Les Bleus will now look to make it back-to-back wins as they host Iceland on Tuesday in Paris.
However, France will be without two of their key players for this game: Ballon d'Or favourite Ousmane Dembele and rising young star Desire Doue, as both players picked up hamstring and calf injuries, respectively, during the win over Ukraine.
Real Madrid midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni put in a man-of-the-match performance against Ukraine and is set to again partner Manu Kone as Deschamps' double pivots.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Digne, Upamecano, Konate, Kounde, Tchouameni, Kone, Olise, Barcola, Ekitike & Mbappe.
Last five matches
- Ukraine 0-2 France
- Germany 0-2 France
- Spain 5-4 France
- France 2-0 Croatia (5-4 AP)
- Croatia 2-0 France
Iceland preview: Eyeing back-to-back wins for the first time since March 2024
The Vikings put up a five-star performance against Azerbaijan in their qualifying opener, as Isak Bergmann Johannesson scored twice in the emphatic 5-0 victory in Reykjavik last Friday.
Top of the table and dreaming to keep things that way, Iceland will be eager to shock France on Tuesday and make their intentions known in Group D.
Albert Gudmundsson, who bagged a goal and an assist against Azerbaijan, and Victor Palsson both suffered injuries in that game at the 69th and 78th minutes and are expected to be sidelined for the visitors.
Predicted lineup: Olafsson (GK), Bjarkason, Ingason, Gretarsson, Porsteinsson, Pordasson, Johannesson, Ellertsson, Haraldsson, Hlynsson & Gudjohnsen.
Last five matches
- Iceland 5-0 Azerbaijan
- Northern Ireland 1-0 Iceland
- Scotland 1-3 Iceland
- Iceland 1-3 Kosovo
- Kosovo 2-1 Iceland
Player to watch: Kylian Mbappe
Kylian Mbappe has been unstoppable, scoring 18 goals and providing three assists in his last 15 appearances for club and country. With two goals and two assists in the last three clashes between these outfits, the Real Madrid forward will fancy his chances against Iceland once again.