France and Spain battle it out for the ultimate prize in the gold medal match at the 2024 Paris Olympics at the Parc de Princes on Friday, 9 August. View our betting tips for the climactic contest in the French capital below.
Contents
- 1 France Olympic vs Spain Olympic prediction: Can hosts deliver gold?
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts are favourites
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: France and Spain have history
- 4 France Olympic preview: Les Blues could be unchanged
- 5 Spain Olympic preview: La Roja have a settled team
- 6 Player to watch – Jean-Philippe Mateta
France Olympic vs Spain Olympic prediction: Can hosts deliver gold?
Key Stats
- 100% of Spain’s fixtures at the Olympics have featured at least three goals.
- Jean-Philippe Mateta has scored four times in his last four runouts at the Olympics.
- France have home advantage in the final as the host nation.
- Both France and Spain have been averaging 2.20 goals per game at the Olympics.
Correct score prediction: France Olympic 2-1 Spain Olympic
Favourites France have been averaging 2.20 goals per 90 at the Olympics in Paris and they have conceded just one goal in five matches at the tournament so far. Spain, who’ve kept just a single clean sheet so far, have notched in 100% of their fixtures at the right end, though scoring more than once past this water-tight French rearguard might be difficult.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts are favourites
- HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
France came within seven minutes of losing to Egypt in the semi-finals before they mounted a late comeback in the game’s dying embers before completing the turnaround in extra time. That dramatic triumph should equip Les Blues with plenty of momentum ahead of the final and with home advantage to harness, they look like worthy 5/4 favourites. Read more of our latest football predictions on our football tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: France and Spain have history
Spain’s senior team knocked France out of the European Championship semi-finals earlier this summer, so Les Blues’ junior side have a chance to exact some revenge in the final of the Olympics.
France Olympic preview: Les Blues could be unchanged
France conceded their first goal at the Olympics in the semi-final against Egypt and the rock-solid defensive partnership of Loic Cade and Castello Lukeba has been behind their excellent defensive record. Overage Jean-Philippe Mateta and Michael Olise are the key players further forward.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), Sildillia, Bade, Lukeba, Truffert, Akliouche, Diouf, Chotard, Olise, Mateta, Lacazette
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 09/08/24
L
Spain Olympic
5
France Olympic
3
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 05/08/24
W
Egypt Olympic
1
France Olympic
3
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 02/08/24
W
Argentina Olympic
0
France Olympic
1
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 30/07/24
W
New Zealand Olympic
0
France Olympic
3
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 27/07/24
W
Guinea Olympic
0
France Olympic
1
Spain Olympic preview: La Roja have a settled team
Spain had to dig deep to see off Morocco in the semi-finals and La Roja needed an 85th-minute strike from Juanlu Sanchez to prevail. Spain's youthful defence could be troubled by a physically imposing French forward line in Paris.
Predicted lineup: Tenas (GK), Pubil, Garcia, Cubarsi, Miranda, Barrios, Baena, Oroz, Lopez, Gomez, Ruiz
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 09/08/24
W
France Olympic
3
Spain Olympic
5
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 05/08/24
W
Morocco Olympic
1
Spain Olympic
2
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 02/08/24
W
Japan Olympic
0
Spain Olympic
3
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 30/07/24
L
Egypt Olympic
2
Spain Olympic
1
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 27/07/24
W
Dominican Republic Olympic
1
Spain Olympic
3
Player to watch – Jean-Philippe Mateta
French striker Jean-Philippe Mateta will be one of the oldest players on the pitch in this week’s Olympic final at 27, and the Crystal Palace forward has been wielding his extra experience and physical prowess in Paris.
Mateta could be difficult to stop
Mateta bagged two crucial goals in the semi-final to help France triumph over Egypt in midweek, taking his tally at the Olympics up to four goals overall. Mateta will back himself to do more damage against a Spanish defence manned by youngsters at the Parc de Princes.
