Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/07/2024

Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo prediction
Can Sao Paulo improve their fortunes on the road when they visit Fortaleza? (Photo: IMAGO / Mariana Tolentino Goias)
🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS - Yes

Three of Sao Paulo’s last four away matches have featured goals at both ends

Fortaleza and Sao Paulo lock horns at the Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo in Brazil’s Serie A on Sunday, 28 July. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the match below.

Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo prediction: Action at both ends anticipated

Key Stats

  • Three of Sao Paulo’s last four away games in the league have featured goals at both ends.
  • Fortaleza conceded one goal in three of their last four assignments on home soil.
  • Fortaleza have won 100% of their last seven tests on home soil in Serie A.
  • Juan Lucero scored four times in Fortaleza’s last five home fixtures.

Correct score prediction: Fortaleza 2-1 Sao Paulo

Fortaleza are in the midst of a seven-game winning streak on home turf, though they did concede exactly one consolation goal in three of their last four matches at the Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sao Paulo are underdogs

  • HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Fortaleza and Sao Paulo are separated by just a single point in fourth and sixth position, though the hosts – who have won seven home games on the spin – have been favoured in the markets and have a 44.4% chance of success according to the latest probability figures. Sao Paulo meanwhile, who are 12/5 underdogs, have dropped points in four of their last five away matches. Check out more of our top Brazilian football tips on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: History favours Fortaleza

Fortaleza have come out on top in three of the last four tussles between the clubs. Sao Paulo haven’t tasted victory in this fixture since November 2020.

Brazil Serie A 14/04/24

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2

Brazil Serie A 21/09/23

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2

Brazil Serie A 12/05/23

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Brazil Serie A 28/08/22

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 08/05/22

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Fortaleza preview: Martinez absent through injury

Emmanuel Martinez has a sprained knee and is unavailable for Fortaleza though Calebe will hope to shake off a minor muscle issue in time to feature. The hosts drew 1-1 with Criciuma in their last test.

Predicted lineup: Ricardo (GK), Tinga, Britez, Titi, Jonatan, Sasha, Augusto, Pikachu, Machuca, Moises, Lucero

Copa Sudamericana 21/08/24

W

Rosario Central

Rosario Central

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

3

Copa Sudamericana 14/08/24

D

Rosario Central

Rosario Central

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 28/07/24

W

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 24/07/24

D

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

W

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

3

Sao Paulo preview: Moura suspended

Alisson and Pablo Maia are in the treatment room with injuries while winger Lucas Moura is suspended having accumulated too many bookings. Sao Paulo rescued a point at home to Botafogo (2-2) in their last Serie A assignment.

Predicted lineup: Rafael (GK), Vinicius, Arboleda, Franco, Welington, Bobadilla, Gustavo, Erick, Luciano, Ferreira, Silva

Copa do Brasil 13/09/24

D

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Brazil Serie A 01/09/24

L

Fluminense

Fluminense

2

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Copa do Brasil 29/08/24

L

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Brazil Serie A 25/08/24

W

Vitoria

Vitoria

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Copa Libertadores 22/08/24

W

Nacional De Football

Nacional De Football

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Player to watch – Juan Lucero

Argentinean striker Juan Lucero has been in blistering form for Fortaleza of late and the 32-year-old bagged his latest effort in his club’s 1-1 draw at Criciuma in midweek.

Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo prediction
Juan Lucero has been in devastating form in recent weeks. (Photo: xRuanoxCarneirox/Imago)

Lucero in the midst of a purple patch

Juan Lucero has had a golden touch in the final third in recent weeks and the veteran frontman has bagged seven goals in his last nine appearances or Fortaleza. The centre-forward, who is in red-hot form, could be one to watch in the anytime goalscorer market again this weekend.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.