Fortaleza vs Gremio prediction, odds & betting tips 20/06/2024

Fortaleza and Gremio will go head-to-head at Estádio Castelão on Thursday. View our free Fortaleza vs Gremio predictions below.

Fortaleza vs Gremio predictions: Spoils to be shared

Key stats

  • Gremio lost their last four league matches, while Fortaleza are on a three-match losing run across all competitions.
  • The spoils were shared in three of Fortaleza's four home games played so far.
  • Five of the last six meetings between these teams ended in stalemates.
  • Nine of the last 10 encounters between Fortaleza and Gremio produced less than three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour the hosts

  • Fortaleza: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
  • Draw: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • Gremio: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

To be fair, both teams have not particularly enjoyed their best form at the moment, as they've both lost their last two respective league matches.

Given that they have the advantage of playing at home, Fortaleza are the expected winners at 11/10 (1.91). Teams with these odds generally have a 52.4% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Fortaleza vs Gremio predictions.

Also, meetings between these teams have mostly been one-sided when it comes to goals, as one team blanked in four of their last five matches.

Given that Fortaleza did not score a single goal in their last three matches, BTTS – no has an appealing look at 5/6 (1.83). That one has a 54.5% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: Gremio's struggled set to continue?

It's important to note that the last time Gremio defeated Fortaleza was in June 2019, and their last victory at this stadium was in May 2012. As it stands, Fortaleza have no losses in their last seven skirmishes with Gremio (W2, D5).

Brazil Serie A 30/09/23

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1
Gremio

Gremio

1

Brazil Serie A 14/05/23

Gremio

Gremio

0
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0

Brazil Serie A 14/10/21

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1
Gremio

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie A 28/06/21

Gremio

Gremio

0
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0

Brazil Serie A 10/01/21

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0
Gremio

Gremio

0

Team news and form guide

Fortaleza: Hoping to snap a three-match losing streak

Fortaleza had to finish their previous game with nine men, after Emanuel Britez and Renato Kayzer were both sent off within three minutes of each other. Both players will serve a one-game suspension. Meanwhile, Kervin Andrade and Benjamin Kuscevic are away on international duty, while Moises and Calebe are ruled out with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Ricardo (GK), Pacheco, Cardona, Hercules, Tinga, Rossetto, Welison, Lopes, Pochettino, Pikachu & Lucero.

Brazil Serie A 11/07/24

W

Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

W

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 03/07/24

L

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

W

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2

Brazil Serie A 27/06/24

W

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

0

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

3

Gremio: Looking to avoid a fifth consecutive loss in the Serie A

Diego Costa is recovering from a muscle injury, and is sidelined alongside Andre Henrique, Lucas Milla and Jhonata Robert. The visitors will also have to do without Gustavo Nunes, who has accumulated maximum yellow cards, while Yeferson Soteldo and Mathias Villasanti are away on international duty.

Predicted lineup: Caique (GK), Fabio, Geromel, Martins, Silva, Pavon, Dodi, Carballo, Nunes, Cristaldo & Galvão.

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

L

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2

Gremio

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

3

Gremio

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

D

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

Gremio

Gremio

2

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

W

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Gremio

Gremio

1

Brazil Serie A 26/06/24

D

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

1

Gremio

Gremio

1

Player to watch: Juan Martin Lucero

Fortaleza vs Gremio predictions
Juan Martin Lucero scored two of Fortaleza's last four goals. (Photo by Icon Sport)

To be fair, Fortaleza did not score any goals in their last three matches. However, Juan Martin Lucero has been one of the bright spots on the team, scoring two of their last four goals in all competitions. The 32-year-old Argentine forward will hope to put an end to his team's goal drought as these teams go toe-to-toe with each other.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives