Is Folarin Balogun joining Everton? Monaco transfer at risk of collapse after failed medical – Football Whispers Index score

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Is Folarin Balogun joining Everton? Monaco transfer at risk of collapse after failed medical – Football Whispers Index score
Folarin Balogun to Everton - Photo by Iconsport/Sylvain Thomas/FEP/SPI

Everton's move for Folarin Balogun has been thrown into serious doubt hours before the transfer window shuts.

Fabrizio Romano confirmed on Monday that the two clubs had reached a full agreement worth up to €50m, but RMC Sport's Fabrice Hawkins reports the striker has since failed his medical with Everton.

L'Equipe say Balogun could yet remain at Monaco, with Aston Villa and Barcelona reportedly monitoring his situation.

The Football Whispers Index scores every transfer rumour across five weighted factors. Read how it works here.

Folarin Balogun to Everton rated ‘Possible'

Folarin Balogun to Everton — Football Whispers Index
Football Whispers Index: Transfer predictor

Folarin Balogun to Everton

Possible
Everton had agreed a full €45m deal with Monaco, but Fabrice Hawkins reports Balogun has failed his medical, leaving the move at risk of collapse on deadline day.
Updated
Financial viability16 / 25
Buying club need18 / 20
Player motivation10 / 15
Selling club incentive17 / 20
Market momentum0 / 20
Financial viability16 / 25
  • Everton and Monaco agreed a fee of €45m, with a further €5m available in add-ons, according to Fabrizio Romano.
  • Balogun has two years left on the contract he signed at Monaco in August 2023, running to 30 June 2028.
  • The proposed transfer would be the second-most expensive signing in Everton's history.
  • Everton's books remain well clear of the Premier League's Squad Cost Ratio limits, though the agreed fee is a significantly bigger outlay than Everton's opening offer.
Buying club need18 / 20
  • Thierno Barry's hat-trick this season came in the EFL Cup against Preston, and in the Premier League he has one goal from two starts.
  • Beto's exit to Fiorentina leaves David Moyes with a single senior recognised striker once that deal completes.
  • Balogun scored 19 goals in 43 appearances for Monaco last season, winning the club's Player of the Season award.
  • Balogun's rating of 7.03 in Ligue 1 last season outstrips Barry's 6.44 across the same 2025-26 campaign.
Player motivation10 / 15
  • Balogun has told Monaco he wants to leave and has earmarked Everton as his preferred destination.
  • The 25-year-old has not featured for Monaco this season through injury, though he was Filipe Luis' first-choice striker before he was sidelined.
  • Monaco are in the Conference League this season, their lowest level of European football in Balogun's time at the club.
  • Balogun has scored 12 times in 31 caps for the United States since switching his international allegiance from England.
Selling club incentive17 / 20
  • Monaco have signed Matthis Abline specifically as cover for Balogun's position, with Paris Brunner also emerging after a brace against Marseille on Sunday.
  • Balogun's departure would free up a non-EU registration slot Monaco need for new Mexican signing Erik Lira.
  • Thiago Scuro said Monaco were ready to maintain the quality of the squad if Balogun leaves, having already signed his replacement.
  • Balogun finished last season as Monaco's Player of the Season after a 19-goal campaign in all competitions.
Market momentum0 / 20
  • RMC Sport's Fabrice Hawkins reported on 1 September that Balogun has failed his medical with Everton, putting the move at risk of collapse.
  • L'Equipe reported that Balogun could now remain at Monaco despite Everton and Monaco having reached a full agreement.
  • Aston Villa and Barcelona are among the clubs reported to be monitoring Balogun's situation should the Everton move break down.
  • Everton and Monaco had already agreed personal terms on a four-year contract before the medical setback emerged.
The verdict59 / 100
Everton and Monaco agreed a full €45m deal with personal terms in place, but Fabrice Hawkins' report that Balogun has failed his medical has pulled this back into Possible territory on deadline day itself.
It happens if Everton and Monaco can resolve the medical concern, whether through a second opinion or a change to the terms, before Tuesday's window shuts.
It dies if the issue proves serious enough that Everton walk away, at which point Aston Villa and Barcelona are both reported ready to test Monaco's resolve instead.

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