Fluminense vs Vitoria prediction, odds & betting tips – 27/06/2024

Bottom-club Fluminense take on fellow strugglers Vitoria at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in Brazil’s Serie A on Thursday, 27 June. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the game below.

Fluminense vs Vitoria prediction: Vitoria to avoid defeat?

Key Stats

  • Fluminense have failed to win ten of their first 11 fixtures of the new Brazilian Serie A campaign.
  • Vitoria have lost just one of their last five matches in the division.
  • 100% of Vitoria’s last four league assignments featured goals at both ends.
  • Fluminense scored once in three of their last five Serie A contests.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Vitoria major underdogs

  • HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Fluminense have lost four fixtures on the bounce and are rooted to the foot of the Serie A table, and having started the new campaign so poorly, it’s a bit of a surprise to see them installed as 4/6 favourites to win this week.

Vitoria lost at RB Bragantino last time out, though they seemed to have turned a corner before that, collecting eight points from a possible 12 to catapult themselves up the standings. They have just an 18.2% chance of returning to winning ways on Thursday according to the latest probability figures, though they do look undercooked in the match result markets. If you’re searching for more Brazilian football predictions, check out our betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: First meeting in four years

Fluminense and Vitoria haven’t locked horns since 2018, though Fluminense haven’t lost against Thursday’s opponents since 2014.

Brazil Serie A 06/09/18

Fluminense

Fluminense

0
Vitoria

Vitoria

0

Brazil Serie A 06/05/18

Vitoria

Vitoria

1
Fluminense

Fluminense

2

Brazil Serie A 10/09/17

Vitoria

Vitoria

2
Fluminense

Fluminense

2

Brazil Serie A 03/06/17

Fluminense

Fluminense

2
Vitoria

Vitoria

1

Brazil Serie A 28/10/16

Fluminense

Fluminense

2
Vitoria

Vitoria

2

Fluminense preview: Lima serving a ban

Jhon Arias is away on international duty for Fluminense while Vinicius Lima is suspended following his dismissal in the Flu-Fla derby against Flamengo. Marquinhos and Andre Trindade are injured while Isaac and Marcelo are doubtful.

Predicted lineup: Favio (GK), Xavier, Carlos, Martinelli, Barbosa, Ganso, Pires, Santos, Augusto, Kennedy, Cano

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

W

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

0

Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 11/07/24

D

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

D

Internacional

Internacional

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

L

Gremio

Gremio

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Vitoria preview: Esteves ruled out through suspension

Lucas Esteves is serving a short ban and won't be available this week while Camutanga, Dudu, Iury Castilho, Bruno Uvini and Evealdo are in the treatment room. Janderson, Leo Gamalho and Mateus Goncalves are doubtful.

Predicted lineup: Arcanjo (GK), Lepo, Andrade, Leonardo, Reynaldo, Zeca, Mota, Naldi, Oliveria, Adriano, Castillo

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

L

Gremio

Gremio

2

Vitoria

Vitoria

0

Brazil Serie A 18/07/24

L

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

3

Vitoria

Vitoria

1

Brazil Serie A 12/07/24

L

Botafogo

Botafogo

1

Vitoria

Vitoria

0

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

W

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Vitoria

Vitoria

2

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

L

Corinthians

Corinthians

3

Vitoria

Vitoria

2

Player to watch – Willian Oliveira

Willian Oliveira was on the periphery of the action in Vitoria’s 2-1 loss to RB Bragantino last time out, though he hit an impressive purple patch before that, netting four times in three fixtures for his club.

Fluminense vs Vitoria prediction
Willian Oliveira has been a reliable source of goals for Vitoria – Photo by Icon Sport

Oliveira making a positive impact

31-year-old Oliveira is a new face at Vitoria having joined the club from Goias in January and his haul of five goals in Serie A has been built up over just ten appearances for his new employers. The versatile forward has been doing damage from deep of late and he could provide a significant threat again on Thursday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.