Fluminense vs Sao Paulo prediction, odds & betting tips 01/09/2024
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Fluminense to win

Fluminense won the last three meetings between these teams at the Maracana stadium

An interesting fixture is on the cards as Fluminense and Sao Paulo battle for three valuable points on Sunday 1 September. View our free Fluminense vs Sao Paulo predictions below.

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo predictions: A low-scoring game

Key stats

  • Each of Fluminense's last 14 Serie A games featured less than three goals.
  • Eight of Sao Paulo's last 10 matches across all competitions went below the 2.5-goal line.
  • Fluminense have no losses in their last five home games.
  • This is in contrast to Sao Paulo, who have no wins in their last six matches away from home.

Correct score prediction: Fluminense 1-0 Sao Paulo

Fluminense have won five of their last seven league matches, and four of those victories were by a 1-0 scoreline. Additionally, Sao Paulo failed to score in four of their last six road games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fluminense are favourites

  • HOME:6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
  • DRAW:19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
  • AWAY:21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Sao Paulo are not particularly enjoying their best form at the moment, especially on the road. They are without a win in their last six matches away from home, and have failed to score in four of those games.

On that note, Fluminense are the expected winners at 6/5 (2.20). Teams with these odds generally have a 45.5% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Fluminense vs Sao Paulo predictions.

Additionally, at least one team blanked in each of Fluminense's last seven league matches. Considering Sao Paulo have struggled to score on the road, BTTS – No has an appealing look at 8/13 (1.62). That one has a 61.9% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: An evenly contested fixture

In the last eight skirmishes between Fluminense and Sao Paulo, both teams have three wins apiece with two draws between them. However, it is important to point out that Sao Paulo have lost three consecutive trips to this stadium.

Brazil Serie A 14/05/24

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2
Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 23/11/23

Fluminense

Fluminense

1
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Brazil Serie A 01/07/23

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1
Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Brazil Serie A 05/11/22

Fluminense

Fluminense

3
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 17/07/22

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2
Fluminense

Fluminense

2

Fluminense preview: Looking to extend their unbeaten run

Matheus Martinelli has accumulated maximum yellows, and is serving a one-game suspension. Diogo Barbosa, German Cano, Renato Augusto, Marcelo and Ignacio are all in the recovery room.

Predicted lineup: Fabio (GK), Santos, Melo, Silva, Guga, Bernal, Andre, Serna, Ganso, Arias & Elias.

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

L

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

3

Fluminense

Fluminense

2

Copa Sudamericana 09/05/25

L

San Jose de Oruro

San Jose de Oruro

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Brazil Serie A 03/05/25

W

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

2

Copa do Brasil 30/04/25

W

Aparecidense

Aparecidense

0

Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 27/04/25

L

Botafogo

Botafogo

2

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Sao Paulo preview: Hoping to halt their winless streak away from home

Like their opponents, Sao Paulo have a long list of injured players ahead of this encounter. This list includes Philippe Coutinho, Guilherme Estrella, Paulinho Paula, and Adson.

Predicted lineup: Jandrei (GK), Ferraresi, Arboleda, Sabino, Araujo, Antonio, Gustavo, Moura, Erick, Calleri & Welington.

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

L

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Copa Libertadores 06/05/25

W

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Brazil Serie A 03/05/25

D

Fortaleza

Fortaleza

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Copa do Brasil 30/04/25

W

Nautico

Nautico

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Brazil Serie A 26/04/25

D

Ceara

Ceara

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Player to watch: Ganso

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo predictions
Photo by IMAGO

As it stands, no player has been booked more times than Ganso in the Serie A this season. The former Sevilla midfielder has received 10 yellow cards in Brazil's top flight and has been suspended twice in the process. In fact, Ganso was booked in each of his last four appearances across all competitions. It is also important to note that the 34-year-old midfielder has more direct goal involvements than any other Fluminense player in the Serie A this season.

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Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed