Fluminense vs Bahia prediction, odds & betting tips 10/09/2025
Fluminense are unbeaten in their last four home games. - Photo by IMAGO
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Bahia to score first

Bahia opened the scoring in six of their last seven matches.

A place in the semi-final of the Copa do Brasil will be at stake when Fluminense host Bahia at Estadio do Maracana on Wednesday, 10 September 2025.

View our free Fluminense vs Bahia predictions below.

Fluminense vs Bahia predictions: A card fest

Key stats

  • At least five cards were awarded in five of the last seven clashes between these teams at this stadium.
  • Six of Bahia's last eight matches featured fewer than 11 corners.
  • Fluminense are currently on a three-game winless run.

Correct score prediction: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia

Fluminense have won five consecutive meetings between these teams at this stadium. They scored exactly two goals in three of those victories, and three of their last four wins against Bahia were by a one-goal margin.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bahia are up against it

  • HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

It is important to note that Bahia won the first leg of this tie by a single goal. Rogerio Ceni’s troops have enjoyed some fine form of late, winning six of their last seven games across all competitions.

On the other hand, Fluminense are coming off a run of three consecutive away games in which they failed to win. They have fared much better at home, with three wins and a draw in their last four matches at the Maracana Stadium.

Ahead of this skirmish, Fluminense are the expected winners at 19/20 (1.95). Teams with these odds generally have a 51.3% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Fluminense vs Bahia predictions.

Also, keeping in mind that Bahia's last three away games produced goals at both ends, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Can Bahia complete the sweep?

Bahia have the advantage heading into the second leg of this tie after their 1-0 victory against Fluminense a couple of weeks ago.

Interestingly, while Bahia have a 3-1-1 win-draw-loss record in their last five encounters with Flu, they have lost each of the last five H2Hs at this stadium.

Copa do Brasil 28/08/25

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1
Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Brazil Serie A 10/08/25

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

3
Fluminense

Fluminense

3

Brazil Serie A 04/08/24

Fluminense

Fluminense

1
EC Bahia

EC Bahia

0

Brazil Serie A 17/04/24

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

2
Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 31/10/23

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1
Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Fluminense preview: Looking to improve their fortunes

Fluminense will have to do without Samuel Xavier, as the 35-year-old right-back is recovering from a thigh injury. With this lone injury absence, the hosts should be in good spirits as they try to overturn a one-goal deficit.

Having been an unused substitute in the recent draw with Santos, it is expected that former Bahia forward Everaldo will be reinstated in the starting XI for Wednesday's fixture.

Predicted lineup: Fabio (GK), Ignacio, Silva, Freytes, Guga, Bernal, Martinelli, Rene, Lima, Canobbio & Everaldo.

Last five matches

  • Santos 0-0 Fluminense
  • Bahia 1-0 Fluminense
  • RB Bragantino 4-2 Fluminense
  • Fluminense 2-0 America
  • Fluminense 2-1 Fortaleza

Bahia preview: Plagued by injuries

Bahia are nursing a handful of injuries, with the likes of Kanu (muscle), Erick (hamstring), Caio Alexandre (hamstring), Ademir (hamstring), and Andre Dhominique (ACL) all ruled out of this contest.

Despite these health issues, the visitors will be determined to get the job done on the road this midweek, with a draw only needed to seal their place in the semifinals.

Predicted lineup: Ronaldo (GK), Arias, Duarte, Mingo, Juba, Acevedo, Lucas, Kayky, Ribeiro, Cauly & Jose.

Last five matches

  • Bahia 5-0 Confianca
  • Confianca 1-4 Bahia
  • Mirassol 5-1 Bahia
  • Bahia 1-0 Fluminense
  • Bahia 2-0 Santos

Player to watch: Luciano Juba

Luciano Juba player to watch
Luciano Juba the only goal in the first leg of this tie. – Photo by IMAGO

Luciano Juba has put in some solid performance in recent weeks, scoring twice in his last three appearances for Bahia. The former Sport Recife defender found the net in the last two clashes between these sides and will fancy his chances against Fluminense once again.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed