Fluminense will host Alianza Lima at the Estádio do Maracanã, as both teams battle for supremacy. View our free Fluminense vs Alianza Lima predictions below.
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Fluminense vs Alianza Lima predictions: A low-scoring affair
With Alianza Lima struggling to score goals in recent games, we can see the hosts keeping a clean sheet and likely winning the match.
Key stats
- Fluminense opened the scoring in their last six matches.
- The hosts also led at half-time in four of their last five home games.
- Alianza Lima failed to score in four of their last five matches away from home.
- Six of Alianza Lima's last eight games featured less than three goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Fluminense favoured by the bookmakers
- Fluminense: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
- Draw: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- Alianza Lima: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As it stands, Fluminense are already guaranteed a place in the knockout stages of the Copa Libertadores, as they are six points clear at the top of the table with one game left to play.
On the other hand, Alianza Lima will need all three points if they intend to play in the next round.
All things considered, Fluminense are the expected winners at 4/9 (1.44). Teams with these odds generally have a 69.2% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Fluminense vs Alianza Lima predictions.
Additionally, six of Alianza Lima's last eight games went south of the 2.5-goal marker. Considering this was also the case when these teams clashed last month, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.
Last five H2Hs: Can Alianza Lima avoid a last-place finish?
Fluminense and Alianza Lima will clash for the second time on Thursday. The reverse fixture of this clash was a 1-1 stalemate.
Copa Libertadores 04/04/24
Alianza Lima
Fluminense
Team news and form guide
Fluminense: Poised to go through the group stages without a loss
Fluminense will have to do without former Bayern Munich and Juventus star Douglas Costa. The 33-year-old is recovering from a thigh injury, and is expected to return next week.
There are other absentees for the hosts, including Samuel Xavier, Marlon Santos and André Trindade.
Predicted lineup: Fabio (GK), Guga, Carlos, Melo, Marcelo, Martinelli, Alexsander, Arias, Ganso, Keno & Cano.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
L
Atletico Mineiro
3
Fluminense
2
Copa Sudamericana 09/05/25
L
San Jose de Oruro
1
Fluminense
0
Brazil Serie A 03/05/25
W
Sport Recife
1
Fluminense
2
Copa do Brasil 30/04/25
W
Aparecidense
0
Fluminense
1
Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
L
Botafogo
2
Fluminense
0
Alianza Lima: Hoping to get their first win of the tournament
Unlike their opponents, there are no new players sidelined for the visitors.
Predicted lineup: Saravia (GK), Freytes, Zambrano, Garces, Arregui, Lagos, Rodriguez, Castillo, Huaman, Barcos & Waterman.
Peru Liga 1 10/05/25
D
Atletico Grau
1
Alianza Lima
1
Copa Libertadores 06/05/25
L
Sao Paulo
2
Alianza Lima
0
Peru Liga 1 03/05/25
L
Cienciano
1
Alianza Lima
0
Copa Libertadores 22/04/25
W
CA Talleres de Cu00f3rdoba
2
Alianza Lima
3
Peru Liga 1 19/04/25
W
CD Los Chankas
0
Alianza Lima
1
Player to watch: Marquinhos
Marquinhos put Fluminense back on level terms in the reverse fixture, salvaging a point for the Brazilian outfit. He has contributed to three of his team's six goals at this tournament, scoring twice with one assist. It'll be interesting to see how the 21-year-old—who is on loan from Arsenal—will fare against Alianza Lima's defence.