Fluminense vs Alianza Lima prediction, odds & betting tips 30/05/2024

Fluminense will host Alianza Lima at the Estádio do Maracanã, as both teams battle for supremacy. View our free Fluminense vs Alianza Lima predictions below.

Fluminense vs Alianza Lima predictions
Fluminense and Alianza Lima played out a 1-1 draw when they met last month. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Fluminense vs Alianza Lima predictions: A low-scoring affair

With Alianza Lima struggling to score goals in recent games, we can see the hosts keeping a clean sheet and likely winning the match.

Key stats

  • Fluminense opened the scoring in their last six matches.
  • The hosts also led at half-time in four of their last five home games.
  • Alianza Lima failed to score in four of their last five matches away from home.
  • Six of Alianza Lima's last eight games featured less than three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fluminense favoured by the bookmakers

  • Fluminense: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • Draw: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • Alianza Lima: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As it stands, Fluminense are already guaranteed a place in the knockout stages of the Copa Libertadores, as they are six points clear at the top of the table with one game left to play.

On the other hand, Alianza Lima will need all three points if they intend to play in the next round.

All things considered, Fluminense are the expected winners at 4/9 (1.44). Teams with these odds generally have a 69.2% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Fluminense vs Alianza Lima predictions.

Additionally, six of Alianza Lima's last eight games went south of the 2.5-goal marker. Considering this was also the case when these teams clashed last month, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: Can Alianza Lima avoid a last-place finish?

Fluminense and Alianza Lima will clash for the second time on Thursday. The reverse fixture of this clash was a 1-1 stalemate.

Copa Libertadores 04/04/24

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

1
Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Team news and form guide

Fluminense: Poised to go through the group stages without a loss

Fluminense will have to do without former Bayern Munich and Juventus star Douglas Costa. The 33-year-old is recovering from a thigh injury, and is expected to return next week.

There are other absentees for the hosts, including Samuel Xavier, Marlon Santos and André Trindade.

Predicted lineup: Fabio (GK), Guga, Carlos, Melo, Marcelo, Martinelli, Alexsander, Arias, Ganso, Keno & Cano.

Brazil Serie A 16/06/24

L

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

2

Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 11/06/24

L

Botafogo

Botafogo

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Brazil Serie A 01/06/24

D

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Copa Libertadores 30/05/24

W

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

2

Fluminense

Fluminense

3

Copa do Brasil 22/05/24

W

Sampaio Correa

Sampaio Correa

0

Fluminense

Fluminense

2

Alianza Lima: Hoping to get their first win of the tournament

Unlike their opponents, there are no new players sidelined for the visitors.

Predicted lineup: Saravia (GK), Freytes, Zambrano, Garces, Arregui, Lagos, Rodriguez, Castillo, Huaman, Barcos & Waterman.

Copa Libertadores 30/05/24

L

Fluminense

Fluminense

3

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

2

Peru Liga 1 24/05/24

L

Cusco FC

Cusco FC

3

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

0

Peru Liga 1 20/05/24

W

Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

2

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

3

Copa Libertadores 16/05/24

D

Colo Colo

Colo Colo

1

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

1

Peru Liga 1 11/05/24

W

pe

Sport Huancayo

0

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

2

Fluminense vs Alianza Lima predictions
Marquinhos was on the scoresheet when these teams met last month. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Player to watch: Marquinhos

Marquinhos put Fluminense back on level terms in the reverse fixture, salvaging a point for the Brazilian outfit. He has contributed to three of his team's six goals at this tournament, scoring twice with one assist. It'll be interesting to see how the 21-year-old—who is on loan from Arsenal—will fare against Alianza Lima's defence.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives