Two of the division’s top four side face off when Flamengo take on Palmeiras at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in Brazil’s Serie A on Sunday, 11 August. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the contest below.
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Flamengo vs Palmeiras prediction: Margins could be tight
Key Stats
- Four of the last five meetings between these clubs have featured under 2.5 goals.
- Palmeiras have failed to win each of their last five away games in Serie A.
- Palmeiras failed to score in three of their last five away assignments.
- Palmeiras lost 1-0 in two of their last three away matches in Serie A.
Correct score prediction: Flamengo 1-0 Palmeiras
Palmeiras are just three points behind Flamengo in the standings, however, they have gone five games without a win on the road and lost 1-0 in two of their last three away tussles. Flamengo can inflict a similar defeat to win for the seventh time in nine home fixtures.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Flamengo value at even money
- HOME: 1/1 (2.00) – 50%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Flamengo can claim top spot in Serie A if results go their way this weekend and they look like excellent value at 1/1 to secure the victory they need at Palmeiras’ expense to climb to the summit. The visitors are winless in five attempts on their travels and they have just a 25% chance of picking up three points on Sunday according to the market makers. You can find more of Brazilian football predictions on our football tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: History of low-scoring encounters
Four of the last five meetings between Flamengo and Palmeiras have produced under 2.5 goals. The away team hasn’t won an iteration of this fixture since 2021.
Copa do Brasil 08/08/24
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Copa do Brasil 01/08/24
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A 21/04/24
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Brazil Serie A 09/11/23
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A 09/07/23
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Flamengo preview: De La Cruz could miss out
Flamengo have few injury issues to trouble them at present though midfielder Nicolás De La Cruz is a slight doubt with a knee complaint. Flamengo lost 1-0 to Palmeiras in the Copa do Brasil in midweek, though they progressed 2-1 on aggerate to the next round.
Predicted lineup: Cunha (GK), Varla, Bruno, Pereira, Lucas, Pulgar, Allan, Gerson, de Arrascaeta, Araujo, Pedro
Copa do Brasil 13/09/24
W
EC Bahia
0
Flamengo
1
Brazil Serie A 01/09/24
L
Corinthians
2
Flamengo
1
Copa do Brasil 29/08/24
W
EC Bahia
0
Flamengo
1
Brazil Serie A 25/08/24
W
Bragantino
1
Flamengo
2
Copa Libertadores 23/08/24
L
Bolivar
1
Flamengo
0
Palmeiras preview: Trio sidelined for visitors
Estevao, Joaquin Piquerez and Bruno Rodrigues are out injured for Palmeiras. Head Coach Abel Ferreira could choose to stick with the same XI that earned a 1-0 victory over Flamengo in the cup in midweek.
Predicted lineup: Weverton (GK), Reis, Gomez, Murilo, Mayke, Moreno, Veiga, Paulista, Anderson, Rony, Lopez
Brazil Serie A 01/09/24
W
Athletico Paranaense
0
Palmeiras
2
Brazil Serie A 24/08/24
W
Cuiaba
0
Palmeiras
5
Copa Libertadores 22/08/24
D
Botafogo
2
Palmeiras
2
Brazil Serie A 18/08/24
W
Sao Paulo
1
Palmeiras
2
Copa Libertadores 15/08/24
L
Botafogo
2
Palmeiras
1
Player to watch – Pedro
Flamengo centre-forward Pedro has been in devastating form of late and the 27-year-old managed to rattle the net nine times in his last 11 appearances in all competitions for the Serie A title challengers.
Pedro to punish Palmeiras again?
Pedro opened the scoring for Flamengo when they beat Palmeiras 2-0 in the Copa do Brasil Last 16 first leg tie between the teams and the red-hot targetman will be one of the biggest goal-scoring threats again when the teams renew acquaintances on Sunday.
