Three points will be at stake as Gremio and Flamengo square off against each other on Sunday, 22 September. View our free Gremio vs Flamengo predictions below.
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Gremio vs Flamengo predictions: A high-scoring affair
Key stats
- At least three goals were scored in four of the last six encounters between Gremio and Flamengo.
- Gremio's last five matches saw over three goals scored per game on average.
- Flamengo came out on top in four of their last five skirmishes with Gremio.
- Gremio conceded first in each of the last six clashes between these outfits.
Correct score prediction: Gremio 1-2 Flamengo
Flamengo won four of their last five clashes with Gremio. They scored two or more goals in five of the last six meetings between these sides.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Gremio are bookies’ favourites
- HOME:13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
- DRAW:21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY:7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Things have not gone swimmingly for Gremio in recent weeks. They are without a win in their last three games and have lost three of their last five matches.
Despite their recent struggles, Gremio are the expected winners at 13/10 (2.30). Teams with these odds generally have a 43.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Gremio vs Flamengo predictions.
We have also established that Flamengo drew first blood in each of the last six skirmishes between these teams. For this reason, Flamengo to score first has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Gremio's woes to continue?
Not only have Gremio struggled to win matches lately, but they also have a poor track record against Flamengo. In fact, Gremio suffered four defeats in the last six meetings between these teams.
Brazil Serie A 14/06/24
Flamengo
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 25/05/24
Flamengo
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 26/10/23
Gremio
Flamengo
Copa do Brasil 17/08/23
Flamengo
Gremio
Copa do Brasil 27/07/23
Gremio
Flamengo
Gremio preview: Hoping to improve their fortunes
Gremio are short on players ahead of this weekend's Brasileiro match, as the likes of Andre Henrique, Du Queiroz, Cristian Pavon, Fabio da Silva, and Nathan Fernandes have yet to recover from their injuries.
Predicted lineup: Marchesin (GK), Reinaldo, Jemerson, Caio, Pedro, Cristaldo, Dodi, Villasanti, Braithwaite, Soteldo & Monsalve.
Brazil Serie A 29/09/24
D
Botafogo
0
Gremio
0
Brazil Serie A 25/09/24
L
Criciuma
2
Gremio
1
Brazil Serie A 22/09/24
W
Flamengo
2
Gremio
3
Brazil Serie A 15/09/24
D
Bragantino
2
Gremio
2
Brazil Serie A 01/09/24
L
Atletico Mineiro
3
Gremio
2
Flamengo preview: Too late for Serie A title chase?
Due to their poor run of results, Flamengo have dropped to fourth on the Serie A table. They are eight points behind league leaders Botafogo with 13 games left to play.
On the injury front, Matias Vina, Everton and Pedro are ruled out for the rest of the season. Gabriel Barbosa should be back next week, while Michael and Luiz Araujo are expected back in October and November respectively.
Predicted lineup: Rossi (GK), Varela, Bruno, Sandro, Pereira, Pulgar, Ortiz, De Arrascaeta, Gerson, Plata & Henrique.
Copa do Brasil 03/10/24
W
Corinthians
0
Flamengo
1
Brazil Serie A 29/09/24
W
Athletico Paranaense
0
Flamengo
1
Copa Libertadores 26/09/24
D
Penarol
0
Flamengo
0
Brazil Serie A 22/09/24
L
Gremio
3
Flamengo
2
Copa Libertadores 19/09/24
L
Penarol
1
Flamengo
0
Player to watch: Luiz Araujo
Luiz Araujo put in a man-of-the-match performance in the reverse fixture, as his two goals helped Flamengo secure the victory. The former Lille midfielder has a solid track record against Gremio, having scored three times in the last two encounters between these teams. Interestingly, Araujo has no direct goal involvement in his last four appearances for Flamengo, so it will be interesting to see if he can extend his scoring run against Gremio this weekend.
