Fluminense vs Flamengo prediction, odds & betting tips – 23/06/2024

Bottom meets top in Serie A when feuding neighbours Fluminense meet Flamengo in the Flu-Fla Derby at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filhoin on Sunday, 23 June. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the game below.

Fluminense vs Flamengo prediction: Flamengo’s class to tell

Key Stats

  • Bottom club Fluminense have lost six of their first ten matches of the new Serie A campaign.
  • In contrast, leaders Flamengo have won 60% of their first ten games in the division.
  • 100% of Fluminense’s first five home assignments of the new season produced goals at both ends.
  • Fluminense and Flamengo have met three times in 2024 and at least five cards were brandished on each occasion.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fluminense are clear underdogs

  • HOME: 31/10 (4.10) – 24.4%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • AWAY: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Fluminense’s 2-0 reverse to Cruzeiro on Thursday was their third defeat on the bounce in Serie A and their rotten form is keeping them rooted to the foot of the Serie A table. The host have just a 24.4% chance of turning their fortunes around on derby day, according to the bookmakers.

Flamengo clinched a 2-1 win over fellow highfliers Bahia in their last test to cement their position at the summit and they have lost only once in ten games since the new Serie A campaign in Brazil kicked off. Flamengo are 17/20 favourites to win this weekend and you can see more of our Brazilian football tips on our latest football predictions page.

Last five H2Hs: Flamengo have dominated

Flamengo have won two of their three meetings with Fluminense in 2024 and they haven’t lost a Flu-Fla derby encounter in seven previous editions of the fixture.

Brazil Campeonato Carioca 17/03/24

Flamengo

Flamengo

0
Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Brazil Campeonato Carioca 10/03/24

Fluminense

Fluminense

0
Flamengo

Flamengo

2

Brazil Campeonato Carioca 25/02/24

Flamengo

Flamengo

2
Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Brazil Serie A 11/11/23

Flamengo

Flamengo

1
Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 16/07/23

Fluminense

Fluminense

0
Flamengo

Flamengo

0

Fluminense preview: Trio need to prove their fitness

Jhon Arias is away on international duty while Andre Trindade is nursing a knee complaint and will also miss out. Isaac, Marcelo and Samuel Xaiver are slight doubts, though all three have time to prove their fitness.

Predicted lineup: Fabio (GK), Marquinhos, Carlos, Santos, Barboas, Martinelli, Lima, Costa, Augusto, Kennedy, Cano

UTR Pro Barcelona Women 20/09/23

D

de

Anastasiya Kuparev

0

fi

Nikita Liebkind

0

UTR Pro Barcelona Women 19/09/23

D

au

Madison Frahn

0

fi

Nikita Liebkind

0

UTR Pro Barcelona Women 18/09/23

D

de

Mina Hodzic

0

fi

Nikita Liebkind

0

UTR Pro Sofia Women 07/09/23

D

Ksenia Laskutova

0

fi

Nikita Liebkind

0

UTR Pro Sofia Women 06/09/23

D

lv

Marija Semenistaja

0

fi

Nikita Liebkind

0

Flamengo preview: Stars away at the Copa America

Erick Pulgar, Nicolas De La Cruz, Matias Vina, Guillermo Varela and Giorgian de Arrascaeta are away at the Copa America while Fabricio Bruno is suspended for Flamengo. Carlinhos and Igor Jesus are in the treatment room, meanwhile.

Predicted lineup: Rossi (GK), Wesley, Luiz, Pereria, Lucas, Ortiz, Gerson, Araujo, Lorran, Everton, Pedro

Brazil Serie A 24/07/24

W

Vitoria

Vitoria

1

Flamengo

Flamengo

2

Brazil Serie A 20/07/24

W

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Flamengo

Flamengo

2

Brazil Serie A 11/07/24

L

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2

Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 06/07/24

D

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

1

Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

W

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Flamengo

Flamengo

4

Player to watch – David Luiz

Veteran centre-half David Luiz is still performing at a high level in Brazil’s Serie A at the age of 37 and the defender showed his worth again when he netted a late winner for Flamengo against Bahia on Thursday.

Fluminense vs Flamengo prediction
David Luiz was a match-winner for Flamengo last time out – Photo by Icon Sport

Luiz can have an influence at both ends

David Luiz’s 94th-minute winner against Bahia was his second goal in just four league appearances for Flamengo so far this season and his ability to dominate aerially makes him a menacing presence in both penalty boxes.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.