Bahia vs Flamengo prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/10/2024

Bahia and Flamengo go head-to-head at the Arena Fonte Nova in Brazil’s Serie A on Saturday, 5 October. View our Brazilian football betting tips for the fixture below.

Bahia vs Flamengo prediction: League leaders on the ropes?

Key Stats

• Flamengo have lost each of their last four away games in Serie A.
• Bahia are unbeaten in five matches on home soil, conceding just one goal along the way.
• Six of Flamengo’s last seven away tussles in the league have featured goals at both ends.
• Four cards were brandished when Bahia and Flamengo last met in September.

Correct score prediction: Bahia 1-1 Flamengo

Flamengo have lost each of their last four away games in Serie A, so there is a chance they could drop more points at Bahia here. Five of Bahia’s last six home matches featured under 2.5 goals however, so expect margins to be slim.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Markets favour hosts

• HOME: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
• DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
• AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bahia have gone five games without defeat on home soil and they have been priced as 11/8 favourites to extend their excellent run when they host Flamengo.

Flamengo are still sitting at the summit of Serie A, though they have been dropping the ball on the road and the markets reflect that. The visitors have a 33.3% chance of resetting their away form with a win here. View more Brazilian tips on our latest football predictions page.

Most recent H2Hs: Margins have been slim

Three of the last four meetings between Bahia and Flamengo have featured under 2.5 goals. Flamengo are chasing their 11^th straight victory in this fixture.

Copa do Brasil 13/09/24

Flamengo

1

EC Bahia

0

Copa do Brasil 29/08/24

EC Bahia

0

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 21/06/24

Flamengo

2

EC Bahia

1

Brazil Serie A 30/09/23

Flamengo

1

EC Bahia

0

Brazil Serie A 13/05/23

EC Bahia

2

Flamengo

3

Bahia preview: Ribeiro suspended in defence

Rezende, Nicolas Avevedo, Kayky and Biel are out of action for Bahia while Everton Ribeiro is suspended and also misses out. Bahia carved out a 1-0 win at home to Criciuma last time out and moved up to 6th position in the table as a result.

Predicted lineup: Felipe (GK), Arias, Kanu, Xavier, Juba, Cauly, Thaciano, Lucas, Alexandre, Everaldo, Thaciano

Flamengo preview: Four injuries for visitors

Luiz Araujo, Pedro, Matias Vina and Everton are absent through injury while Michael is a doubt as he struggles to overcome a thigh issue. Flamengo beat Corinthians 1-0 in midweek in the Copa do Brasil semi-final first-leg.

Predicted lineup: Rossi (GK), Sandro, Pereira, Ortiz, Wesley, Pulgar, De Arrascaeta, Gerson, De La Cruz, Barbosa, Henrique

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

W

EC Bahia

0

Flamengo

1

Copa Libertadores 08/05/25

D

Central Cordoba

1

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 04/05/25

L

Cruzeiro

2

Flamengo

1

Copa do Brasil 01/05/25

W

Botafogo PB

0

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 27/04/25

W

Corinthians

0

Flamengo

4

Player to watch – Cauly

Versatile attacker Cauly scored the decisive goal in Bahia’s 1-0 win over Criciuma last week and the 29-year-old has a knack for chipping in with vital goals and moments for his team.

Cauly can catch the eye again

Cauly has lodged eight goal involvements (3G, 5A) in Serie A for Bahia this season making him one of the club’s most productive players in the division and the schemer claimed either a goal or assists in each of his last three appearances.