Fiorentina travel to Udinese on Sunday still with slim hope of qualifying for the Conference League again next season. Udinese's season is over, as they are languishing in mid-table, and on an uninspiring run of form.
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Udinese vs Fiorentina prediction: Visitors to take a routine three points
Key stats
- No team has won fewer points since the March international break in Serie A than Udinese (four).
- Fiorentina have kept four clean sheets on their last seven trips to Udine, as many as they had managed in the previous 31.
- Udinese have taken just one point from their last four matches at the Bluenergy Stadium.
- The Bianconeri have won just eight points from nine matches at home to clubs in the top half of the table this season.
Correct score prediction: Udinese 0-2 Fiorentina
Udinese's players are already on the beach, and Fiorentina have to take all three points if they want any chance of playing continental football next season, so Raffaele Palladino's men should come into the game with plenty of encouragement.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors slight favourites with the bookmakers
- HOME: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 1/1 (2.00) – 50.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Fiorentina are fancied to take home all three points, with the bookies giving them exactly a 50% chance to do so.
Udinese have been in woeful form, taking four points from their last nine games, and there is very little value in backing them to take the win, even at 27/10.
Also, feel free to check out our expert predictions and football betting tips today.
Most recent H2Hs: Fiorentina seeking revenge
Fiorentina had picked up seven points from the last three meetings with Udinese before the clash in December, but the Bianconeri went to Florence and won 2-1 in the reverse fixture, thanks to second-half goals from Lorenzo Lucca and Florian Thauvin.
Italy Serie A 14/01/24
Fiorentina
Udinese
Italy Serie A 24/09/23
Udinese
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 14/05/23
Fiorentina
Udinese
Italy Serie A 31/08/22
Udinese
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 27/04/22
Fiorentina
Udinese
Udinese preview: Looking to bow out with pride
Udinese have been hugely disappointing since securing their top-flight status, but in front of their own fans, they should be keen to put in a better performance than they did against bottom-of-the-table Monza last time out here.
Lorenzo Lucca and Arthur Atta are available again after serving bans last week, but Sandi Lovric and Thomas Kristensen will both be suspended this time around, while Florian Thauvin is the most notable injury absentee.
Predicted lineup: Okoye (GK), Ehizibue, Kabasele, Solet, Modesto, Zarraga, Karlstrom, Zemura, Atta, Lucca & Ekkelenkamp
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
L
Monza
2
Udinese
1
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
W
Cagliari
1
Udinese
2
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
D
Bologna
0
Udinese
0
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
L
Torino
2
Udinese
0
Italy Serie A 11/04/25
L
AC Milan
4
Udinese
0
Fiorentina preview: Three points the minimum requirement
Fiorentina beat Bologna 3-2 last weekend to keep alive their slim hopes of a top-six finish, and they will have Nicolo Zaniolo, Michael Folorunsho and Lucas Beltran all back from suspension this weekend.
Albert Gudmundsson also recovered from injury to make the bench a week ago, but Danilo Cataldi and Pietro Comuzzo remain out.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Pongracic, Mari, Ranieri, Dodo, Mandragora, Richardson, Fagioli, Gosens, Kean & Gudmundsson
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
L
Venezia
2
Fiorentina
1
UEFA Conference League 08/05/25
D
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
L
Roma
1
Fiorentina
0
UEFA Conference League 01/05/25
L
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Empoli
1
Fiorentina
2
Player to watch: Moise Kean
Even though Kean will miss out on the Serie A Capocannoniere award to Mateo Retegui this season, he will still be keen to add another to his tally in this one, which will take him to 25 for the season.
The Italy international netted the winner last week against Bologna to keep those European dreams alive, and he also scored Fiorentina's goal in the reverse fixture with Parma back in December.
