Fiorentina ended their four-match winless streak across all competitions with a 2-0 victory over Sigma Olomouc in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday evening, and will now hope they build on that when they take on Roma in the Serie A on Sunday.
The Giallorossi have started the season well under new manager Gian Piero Gasperini, and are currently level on points with the league leaders AC Milan, only third due to an inferior goal difference.
Here is a quick overview of Fiorentina vs Roma prediction, including correct score, lineups and key statistics.
After you digest this, remember to also check out our other Serie A tips and predictions for today.
Contents
- 1 Fiorentina vs Roma prediction: Fiorentina have enjoyed the upper hand in recent meetings, but are struggling this season
- 2 Most recent H2H: Finely balanced in recent times
- 3 Fiorentina preview: A couple of injuries and a potential change in attack
- 4 Roma preview: The capital club hoping to bounce back
- 5 Player to Watch: Matias Soule
Fiorentina vs Roma prediction: Fiorentina have enjoyed the upper hand in recent meetings, but are struggling this season
Key stats:
- Fiorentina are unbeaten in four of their last five matches against Roma (2W, 2D, 1L).
- Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last four home matches against Roma (3W, 1D).
- Fiorentina are one of five teams without a win in Serie A this season (3D, 2L).
Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 0-1 Roma
Fiorentina may have enjoyed the upper hand in recent meetings, but they head into this clash in poor shape, while Roma arrive in strong form.
The Giallorossi are on a four-match winning run away from home, having triumphed in all three of their league trips so far this season.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma are slight favourites based on the odds
- Home (Fiorentina): 19/10 – 2.90 (34.5%)
- Draw: 23/10 – 3.30 (30.3%)
- Away (Roma): 11/8 – 2.38 (42.0%)
*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes; subject to change.
These odds suggest that Roma head into the clash as slight favourites, with a 42% implied chance of victory.
Fiorentina are given around a 35% chance of winning, while the draw sits at just over 30%.
It is worth highlighting that seven of Fiorentina’s last eight games at home have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
On the other hand, Roma have shown great strength on their travels, winning eight of their last ten Serie A away fixtures without conceding, while drawing once and losing just once in that run.
A 1-0 victory for Roma is our correct score prediction, priced attractively at 7.50, and with five of their seven matches this season ending with that exact scoreline, the odds offer strong value and align perfectly with their recent trend.
Most recent H2H: Finely balanced in recent times
The recent head-to-head record between these sides has been evenly matched, with two wins apiece and two draws.
Notably, both teams have found the net in eight of the last nine clashes at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.
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Fiorentina preview: A couple of injuries and a potential change in attack
Fiorentina will remain without Tariq Lamptey and Christian Kouame who are both injured, while Simon Sohm is doubtful
Veteran Edin Dzeko is still in search of his first Fiorentina league goal, and though he started on Thursday alongside Roberto Piccoli, he is expected to be displaced by Moise Kean in the XI.
Predicted XI: De Gea (GK), Pongracic, Mari, Ranieri, Dodo, Caviglia, Mandragora, Gosens, Fazzini, Gudmundsson & Kean
Fiorentina’s last five fixtures
- 02/10/25 – Fiorentina 2-0 Sigma Olomouc
- 28/09/25 – Pisa 0-0 Fiorentina
- 21/09/25 – Fiorentina 1-2 Como
- 13/09/25 – Fiorentina 1-3 Napoli
- 31/08/25 – Torino 0-0 Fiorentina
Roma preview: The capital club hoping to bounce back
Roma will remain without former Aston Villa forward Leon Bailey, while Paulo Dybala is battling to make the match day squad by recovering in time from a muscle issue.
Edoardo Bove has been sidelined since February due to heart problems, and he is recovering.
The visitors were dealt a blow on Thursday, losing 1-0 to Lille in the Europa League, as they failed to convert the same penalty three times, ending a run of three successive wins.
Predicted XI: Svilar (GK), Hermoso, Mancini, Ndicka, Wesley, Cristante, Kone, Angelino, Pellegrini, Soule & Ferguson
Roma’s last five fixtures
- 02/10/25 – AS Roma 0-1 Lille
- 28/09/25 – AS Roma 2-0 Verona
- 24/09/25 – Nice 1-2 AS Roma
- 21/09/25 – Lazio 0-1 AS Roma
- 14/09/25 – AS Roma 0-1 Torino
Player to Watch: Matias Soule
Matias Soule rounded off the scoring against Verona, with Roma having won five of his last six goalscoring appearances to nil, while drawing one.
The Argentine winger has scored the most league goals for Roma (2) and directly contributed to the most goals (3), making him the man to watch as he pairs with former Brighton forward Evan Ferguson in attack.