Fiorentina vs Parma prediction, odds & betting tips 08/03/2026

Fiorentina’s battle for Serie A survival continues this Sunday when they welcome Parma to Stadio Artemio Franchi

Can the hosts shake off a poor run of results, or will the visitors extend their unbeaten run to five games? Read our Fiorentina vs Parma prediction and preview to find out, but don’t forget to also check out our other Serie A predictions, with latest odds provided by bet365.

Fiorentina vs Parma prediction: Desperate hosts face high-flying visitors

Key Stats

• Fiorentina have conceded seven goals across their last two games.
• Fiorentina has seen both teams score in a league-high 18 matches this season.
• Parma are on a four-match unbeaten run – their longest such streak this season.
• Parma have picked up 17 points in eight away matches since November.

Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 1-1 Parma

What an awful week this has been for Fiorentina, who not only squandered a 3-0 aggregate lead against Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Conference League, but also endured a 3-0 defeat to Udinese last Monday.

With back-to-back defeats under their belts and seven goals conceded during that time, confidence levels are once again at an all-time low.

Parma, on the other hand, are enjoying their best run of results so far this season, going four matches unbeaten and winning three of those games – including a 1-0 success over AC Milan.

Carlos Cuesta’s side have been excellent away from home, and we do not expect them to leave Florence empty-handed this weekend.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies back hosts

HOME: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%

DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%

*Odds from bet365, subject to change

Looking at those Fiorentina vs Parma odds, the bookmakers are ignoring the form book and are backing the home team to prevail.

If you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.

Most recent H2Hs: History of draws

When these two teams clashed last December, it was Parma who powered to a 1-0 victory in front of their own fans.

Prior to that, this fixture had produced five competitive draws, including a goalless draw last time in Florence.

Italy Serie A 27/12/25

Parma

1

Fiorentina

0

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

Fiorentina

0

Parma

0

Italy Serie A 17/08/24

Parma

1

Fiorentina

1

Coppa Italia 06/12/23

Fiorentina

2 (4)

Parma

2 (1)

Europe Friendlies 20/07/23

Fiorentina

1

Parma

1

Fiorentina preview: Couple of potential injury returns

Before the 3-0 thumping at the hands of Udinese, Fiorentina managed to pick up seven points from three Serie A games – the kind of run they will be looking to replicate.

When it comes to personnel, Daniele Rugani had a full debut to forget last Monday and he is expected to feature on the bench against Parma.

Fabiano Parisi has a one-match ban to serve meaning he will join the injured duo of Luca Lezzerini and Manor Solomon in the stands.

Robin Gosens could make his return from injury, while Moise Kean also hopes to feature after overcoming a shin problem.

Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Dodo, Pongracic, Ranieri, Gosens, Brescianini, Fagioli, Mandragora, Harrison, Kean & Gudmundsson

Last five matches

02/03/26: Udinese 3-0 Fiorentina (Serie A)
26/02/26: Fiorentina 2-4 Jagiellonia Bialystok (UEFA Conference League)
23/02/26: Fiorentina 1-0 Pisa (Serie A)
19/02/26: Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-3 Fiorentina (UEFA Conference League)
14/02/26: Como 1-2 Fiorentina (Serie A)

Parma preview: Unbeaten run growing

Parma followed up their three-match winning run in Serie A with a 1-1 draw against Cagliari last weekend – a result which continued their unbeaten run.

Sitting strongly in the middle of the standings, Parma have no relegation concerns. Instead, they are looking to strengthen their position in the middle of the standings.

When it comes to team news, Lautaro Valenti is suspended due to bookings accumulation, while Abdoulaye N'Diaye, Pontus Almqvist and Matija Frigan miss out through injury.

Predicted lineup: Corvi (GK), Delprato, Troilo, Circati, Britschgi, Bernabe, Keita, Ordonez, Valeri, Strefezza & Pellegrino

Last five matches

27/02/26: Parma 1-1 Cagliari (Serie A)
22/02/26: AC Milan 0-1 Parma (Serie A)
15/02/26: Parma 2-1 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
08/02/26: Bologna 0-1 Parma (Serie A)
01/02/26: Parma 1-4 Juventus (Serie A)

Player to watch: Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

Mateo Pellegrino has enjoyed a decent campaign for Parma, chipping in with eight goal contributions in Serie A, including seven goals.

The Argentine forward recently rattled the net against Verona, helping his side to a 2-1 victory. Fiorentina's defence will be keeping a close eye on him.