Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction, odds & betting tips – 09/03/2025

Can a floundering Napoli get back to winning ways when they host Fiorentina at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Italy’s Serie A on Sunday, 9 March. View our Serie A betting tips for the match below.

Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction: Look to the BTTS markets for success

Key Stats

• Each of Napoli’s last seven fixtures in Serie A have produced goals at both ends and Antonio Conte’s side hasn’t kept a clean sheet in the league since January 12^th.
• BTTS has also landed in four of Fiorentina’s last five away assignments in the division.
• Fiorentina have lost three of their last four away matches in Serie A.
• Napoli have been winning an average of 5.85 corners per game in Serie A this season.

Correct score prediction: Napoli 2-1 Fiorentina

Both teams have registered in 100% of Napoli’s last seven league games, so expect action at both ends again here, however, the hosts should eventually be able to edge out a Fiorentina outfit that lost three of their last four away fixtures in Serie A.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Napoli are odds-on favourites

• HOME: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
• DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
• AWAY: 21/4 (6.25) – 16%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Napoli have relinquished top spot in Serie A following a five-game winless run, though they have a 65.2% chance of returning to winning ways on Sunday according to the latest probability figures.

Fiorentina eked out a 1-0 win over Lecce last time out, though they head to Naples as massive 21/4 underdogs on Sunday. Visit our latest football tips page for more free predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Napoli have had the better of it

Napoli cruised to a 3-0 win over Fiorentina when the teams last met and they have lost only one of their last six meetings with La Viola overall.

Italy Serie A 04/01/25

Fiorentina

0

Napoli

3

Italy Serie A 17/05/24

Fiorentina

2

Napoli

2

Italy Super Cup 18/01/24

Napoli

3

Fiorentina

0

Italy Serie A 08/10/23

Napoli

1

Fiorentina

3

Italy Serie A 07/05/23

Napoli

1

Fiorentina

0

Napoli preview: Neres and Mazzocchi are out

David Neres and Pasquale Mazzocchi are both out of action for Napoli and will miss Sunday's game. The title chasers scored late to rescue a point at home to leaders Iner Milan last weekend to keep their Scudetto hope alive.

Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Spinazzola, Gilmour, Lobotka, McTominay, Politano, Raspadori, Lukaku

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

D

Genoa

2

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

W

Lecce

0

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Torino

0

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

W

Monza

0

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 14/04/25

W

Empoli

0

Napoli

3

Fiorentina preview: Two suspended for visitors

Rolando Mandragora and Amir Richardson are both suspended for Fiorentina. La Viola boss has rotational decisions to make following his team's 3-2 loss at Panathinaikos in the Conference League on Thursday evening.

Predicted lineup: Terracciano (GK), Moreno, Comuzzo, Ranieri, Dodo, Fagioli, Mandragora, Gosens, Beltran, Kean

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

L

Venezia

2

Fiorentina

1

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

D

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

L

Roma

1

Fiorentina

0

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

L

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Empoli

1

Fiorentina

2

Player to watch – Romelu Lukaku

Romelu Lukaku is in the midst of a five-game dry spell in Serie A for Napoli, though the experienced Belgian striker needs just one more goal to hit double figures for the campaign, so he should be motivated on Sunday.

Lukaku has scored against La Viola before

Lukaku got in on the goal-scoring act when Napoli beat Fiorentina 3-0 in January and the centre-forward has notched four career goals against La Viola overall. The 31-year-old would love to enhance that record even further this weekend.