On Saturday evening, Fiorentina and Napoli face off at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in the Italian Serie A.
The home side, Fiorentina, will be looking to capitalise on their home advantage, while the visiting Napoli will be aiming to continue their impressive recent form in the league.
La Viola’s last league match before the international break saw them secure a 0-0 away draw against Torino. On the other hand, Antonio Conte's Napoli come into this game, having won their last league game with a 1-0 victory over Cagliari, a result which solidifies their position at the top of the league table.
Read our Fiorentina vs Napoli predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction: Blues to win in tight encounter
Key statistics
- In two of Fiorentina’s last four home games, the first half have ended in a draw.
- Napoli have won three of their last five away trips to Fiorentina
- Three of their last four meetings have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 1-2 Napoli
With both teams facing each other this weekend, we believe the Blues are the favourites based on their form and we have predicted a 2–1 win for the visitors. They are in great form right now, especially in the league. Their strong attack, combined with solid defence, gives them the edge.
In their last five meetings with Fiorentina, Napoli have won three, drawn one, and lost one, which indicates that they usually come out on top. Fiorentina are a strong side as well, but we think they may struggle to stop Napoli’s attacking power for the full ninety minutes.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Tight odds from bookmarkers
- Home: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- Draw: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- Away: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The Blues are seen as the most likely winners with decimal odds of 2.20, which translates to a 45.5% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.10, suggesting a 32.3% probability. La Viola are considered the underdog, with decimal odds of 3.40, giving them a 29.4% chance of victory.
Most recent head-to-head: Napoli secure more wins in previous encounters
The last five head-to-head encounters between Fiorentina and Napoli have seen a clear advantage for the Neapolitan side. In these meetings, Antonio Conte’s men have won three, drawn once and lost just once to their opponents.
This includes a recent Serie A victory for Napoli with a three-nil scoreline back in January and a 2-1 win in March. The previous season's matches also favoured Napoli, with a 2-2 draw and a 1-3 away victory for Vincenzo Italiano’s team.
Italy Serie A 09/03/25
Napoli
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 04/01/25
Fiorentina
Napoli
Italy Serie A 17/05/24
Fiorentina
Napoli
Italy Super Cup 18/01/24
Napoli
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 08/10/23
Napoli
Fiorentina
After reviewing our key Fiorentina vs Napoli predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Fiorentina preview: Two key players not available
Fiorentina will be without midfielder Antonin Barak and forward Christian Kouame due to injury. Additionally, there are concerns over the fitness of Albert Gudmundsson, who recently returned from international duty with an ankle issue. The player is expected to undergo further tests to determine his availability. Coach Italiano's side will be hoping to continue their strong start to the season and overcome these setbacks in front of their home fans.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Ranieri, Pongracic, Dodo, Comuzzo, Mandragora, Gosens, Sohm, Kean, Fazzini & Piccoli
Last five fixtures
- 31.08.25 – Torino 0 – 0 Fiorentina
- 28.08.25 – Fiorentina 3 – 2 Polissya Zhytomyr
- 24.08.25 – Cagliari 1 – 1 Fiorentina
- 21.08.25 – Polissya Zhytomyr 0 – 3 Fiorentina
- 09.08.25 – Manchester Utd 2 – 1 Fiorentina
Napoli preview: Few injuries in the team
Napoli also have some injury concerns heading into this match. Romelu Lukaku and Miguel Gutierrez are both out with injuries. Napoli's manager, Conte, will be looking to his squad to step up and maintain their impressive form despite these absences. The team has shown great depth this season and will be relying on their collective strength to secure a result.
Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Juan Jesus, Spinazzola, Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, De Bruyne, Lobotka, McTominay, Anguissa, Politano & Lucca
Last five fixtures
- 30.08.25 – Napoli 1 – 0 Cagliari
- 23.08.25 – Sassuolo 0 – 2 Napoli
- 14.08.25 – Napoli 2 – 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
- 10.08.25 – Napoli 4 – 0 Sorrento
- 09.08.25 – Napoli 3 – 2 Girona
Player to watch: Kevin De Bruyne
One of the biggest names to watch in this match is Kevin De Bruyne. The Belgian star just joined Napoli and is already making his presence felt, scoring once in his first two league games.
He is well known for his excellent vision, passing and creativity on the ball, which means he can turn a game with just one moment of quality. De Bruyne will likely be the main source of Napoli’s attacking ideas, linking play and setting up teammates, while also being a direct goal threat himself.