Fiorentina welcome Milan to the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Sunday as Serie A action continues into the new year, with both sides looking to carry forward the momentum gained from recent performances.
The home side's recent results suggest signs of life, even if their league position still looks worrying. They have been beaten just once in their last four Serie A matches, but the manner of their 2–2 draw with Lazio in midweek, conceding a penalty deep into stoppage time, will have been a bitter blow.
La Viola remain inside the relegation zone, sitting three points from safety, yet those wins over Udinese and Cremonese represent their only league victories of the season so far.
On the other hand, AC Milan were also involved in late drama during the week, rescuing a point against Genoa with a 92nd-minute equaliser before watching the hosts miss a penalty in added time.
That 1–1 draw kept the Rossoneri three points behind leaders Inter but, crucially, extended their unbeaten Serie A run to 17 matches. Milan have won their last three league games on the road, though each of those victories came by a single-goal margin.
Read our Fiorentina vs Milan predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Fiorentina vs Milan prediction: Away team to get a win
Key statistics
- Their last four meetings ended with both teams scoring against each other.
- Three of their last five encounters have been won by AC Milan.
- AC Milan have won their last two Serie A games.
Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 1-2 Milan
An intense game is expected in Tuscany, but a win is tipped to go the visitors’ way. Milan are backed to come through with a narrow win, with a 2-1 away victory the most likely outcome given their efficiency in front of goal and their encouraging recent record at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.
The Rossoneri have been impressive on their travels this season. With recent head-to-head meetings rarely short of goals and both sides in positive attacking form, another entertaining encounter featuring three goals looks well within reach.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Milan favoured in Florence
- Home: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- Draw: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- Away: 1/1 (2.00) – 50.0%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers see AC Milan as the stronger side going into this clash, pricing the visitors at 2.00, which suggests a 50.0% chance of taking all three points.
Fiorentina are outsiders at 3.75 (26.7%), reflecting their struggles despite recent improvement, while the draw is available at 3.40 (29.4%).
Overall, the odds point to Milan’s consistency and quality, giving them the edge, but they also acknowledge Fiorentina’s ability to make this a competitive encounter at home.
Most recent head-to-head: Milan edge record
The last five competitive meetings between these two clubs show that Milan have had the upper hand in the majority of encounters. They have won three of those matches, while Fiorentina have managed to secure two victories.
The most recent clash took place in the early stages of the 2025 season, where Milan secured a 2-1 victory at the San Siro. Prior to that, Fiorentina drew 2-2 with the Rossoneri and won 2-1 in Florence.
Italy Serie A 19/10/25
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 05/04/25
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 06/10/24
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 30/03/24
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 25/11/23
AC Milan
Fiorentina
After reviewing our key Fiorentina vs Milan predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Fiorentina preview: A few absences, but attacking options remain
Fiorentina will be without long-term absentee Tariq Lamptey, while Edin Dzeko could miss out again. Jacopo Fazzini is expected to return to the squad, providing a boost in midfield.
Up front, Roberto Piccoli has been leading the line in Dzeko’s absence, as Moise Kean continues to struggle with an ankle problem. Despite these setbacks, the team still has enough attacking options to pose a threat to AC Milan.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Dodo, Comuzzo, Pongracic, Gosens, Mandragora, Fagioli, Parisi, Ndour, Gudmundsson & Kean
Last five fixtures
- 07.01.26 – Lazio 2–2 Fiorentina
- 04.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–0 Cremonese
- 27.12.25 – Parma 1–0 Fiorentina
- 21.12.25 – Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese
- 18.12.25 – Lausanne 1–0 Fiorentina
Milan preview: Key defensive and attacking absences
AC Milan will be without suspended centre-back Fikayo Tomori, with Koni De Winter expected to slot into the back three alongside Strahinja Pavlovic and Matteo Gabbia.
Up front, Christian Pulisic is likely to partner with Rafael Leao, as Niclas Fullkrug lacks match fitness, Santiago Gimenez remains sidelined, and Christopher Nkunku is still managing an ankle injury. Despite these absences, Milan’s attacking quality remains a major threat.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), De Winter, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Saelemaekers, Loftus-Cheek, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi, Pulisic & Leao
Last five fixtures
- 08.01.26 – AC Milan 1–1 Genoa
- 02.01.26 – Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
- 28.12.25 – AC Milan 3–0 Verona
- 18.12.25 – Napoli 2–0 AC Milan
- 14.12.25 – AC Milan 2–2 Sassuolo
Player to watch: Christian Pulisic
Christian Pulisic continues to stand out as Milan’s most dangerous attacking presence ahead of this encounter, having firmly established himself as one of the league’s standout performers. The winger has been directly involved in 10 goals this season, underlining his growing influence on the Rossoneri’s attacking play.
With Milan looking to navigate a difficult trip away from home, much of their attacking threat is expected to flow through the American, whose ability to rise to the occasion could once again prove decisive.