The Stadio Artemio Franchi will host the Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lecce on Sunday in the 10th game week.
The Viola enter the game deeply frustrated, having failed to secure a victory this season. Despite doing well in the UEFA Europa League, they suffered a narrow 3-1 defeat against Inter Milan in their last league outing.
Meanwhile, the Giallorossi have not had the best run of form in recent weeks, with just one win, two draws and two losses in their last five games. Their last league game ended in a 1-0 narrow loss to Napoli last weekend.
Read our Fiorentina vs Lecce predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Fiorentina vs Lecce prediction: Viola to claim first Serie A victory of the season
Key statistics
- The first-half of the encounters between both teams has been won four times by Fiorentina.
- The Viola have won three of their last five meetings.
- Three of Fiorentina’s last five games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 2-1 Lecce
This season, the Viola have not secured any victory in the Serie A, but we are predicting that they will secure a 2-1 win over the Salentini and claim their first win of the campaign.
Fiorentina have won three of their last five encounters with Lecce and will be looking to continue their winning streak. Considering Lecce have not beaten Fiorentina at home since 2005, we expect them to capitalise on their home advantage to secure a comfortable win.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Fiorentina are clear favourites
- Home: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
- Draw: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- Away: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The home side are firm favourites at 1.60, with bookmakers giving them a 62.5% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.80, translating to a 26.3% probability, while the away side sit at 5.75, reflecting just a 17.4% chance, indicating strong expectations of a home win.
Most recent head-to-head: Record favours Fiorentina
In their last five meetings, Fiorentina have dominated with three wins, while Lecce have only one win and just a draw separating them. Their last encounter ended in a 1-0 home win for the Viola in 2025 and a 6-0 thrashing of Lecce at their home ground in 2024
Italy Serie A 28/02/25
Fiorentina
Lecce
Italy Serie A 20/10/24
Lecce
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 02/02/24
Lecce
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 27/08/23
Fiorentina
Lecce
Italy Serie A 19/03/23
Fiorentina
Lecce
After reviewing our key Fiorentina vs Lecce predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Fiorentina preview: Injury concerns in the team
Stefano Pioli’s team will be without Mattia Viti, who is suspended after a red card. Tariq Lamptey remains sidelined with a knee injury and is expected to return in November.
Also, Christian Kouame is doubtful as he continues his recovery from a cruciate ligament injury. Also, Robin Gosens is a doubt after leaving the field in the last game.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Comuzzo, Mari, Viti, Dodo, Sohm, Mandragora, Ndour, Gosens, Dzeko & Kean
Last five fixtures
- 29.10.25 – Inter 3 – 0 Fiorentina
- 26.10.25 – Fiorentina 2 – 2 Bologna
- 23.10.25 – SK Rapid 0 – 3 Fiorentina
- 19.10.25 – AC Milan 2 – 1 Fiorentina
- 05.10.25 – Fiorentina 1 – 2 AS Roma
Lecce preview: Multiple injuries to worry about
Eusebio Di Francesco has several players unavailable through injury. Matias Perez is sidelined with a thigh injury and he is expected to return in November, while Gaby Jean continues to recover from a cruciate ligament injury, with a comeback anticipated in late December.
Filip Marchwinski is also ruled out due to a long-term cruciate ligament injury, and Riccardo Sottil is a doubt with a muscle problem, but could return for this clash.
Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Gaspar, Gabriel, Gallo, Coulibaly, Ramadani, Berisha, Veiga, Pierotti, Banda & Camarda
Last five fixtures
- 28.10.25 – Lecce 0 – 1 Napoli
- 25.10.25 – Udinese 3 – 2 Lecce
- 18.10.25 – Lecce 0 – 0 Sassuolo
- 04.10.25 – Parma 0 – 1 Lecce
- 28.09.25 – Lecce 2 – 2 Bologna
Player to watch: Edin Dzeko
Edin Dzeko will play a big role in Fiorentina’s game against Lecce. The forward was impressive in his last game, scoring one goal and securing an assist against Rapid Wien in the Europa League. He will be looking to help his team secure their first league win of the season and also add to his goal tally.