lazio vs fiorentina prediction
🔥 Our Hot tip

Lazio to win

Fiorentina haven't won any of their last seven matches in all competitions.

Lazio will take on Fiorentina at the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, 26 January in a big match in the race for the top four in Serie A.

Lazio come into the match in fourth position, two points clear of Juventus in fifth and six points clear of Fiorentina in sixth. A win here would see them nine points clear of Fiorentina and potentially five points clear of Juventus if they lose to Napoli.

The match is therefore arguably more important for Fiorentina who can ill afford to fall nine points behind at this stage of the season.

As part of our latest round of Serie A betting tips, here is our Lazio vs Fiorentina prediction.

Lazio vs Fiorentina prediction: Fiorentina's woes to continue

Key Stats

  • Lazio have lost just one of their last six matches in all competitions.
  • Fiorentina have picked up just one point from their last three league away matches.
  • Both teams have scored in five of Fiorentina's last six matches in all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Lazio 2-1 Fiorentina

Lazio come into this one in much better form than their opponents and home advantage should see them get the job done. The visitors have still been scoring goals in recent weeks despite their rocky form so we don't envisage Lazio running out as winners with a clean sheet.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Lazio are favourites

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Lazio vs Fiorentina odds show that the hosts are expected to come out on top on Sunday, but their price of 21/20 is perhaps a little generous to punters. Ladbrokes have given them a 48.8% chance of picking up the three points while Fiorentina have been given just a 27.8% chance of getting the win.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Honours even

The last five matches between Lazio and Fiorentina are an even split with both sides enjoying two wins each and the fifth match finishing all square. Fiorentina do have the most immediate bragging rights as they have won the two most recent clashes, however, they haven't beaten Lazio in the Stadio Olimpico in nine years.

Italy Serie A 22/09/24

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2
Lazio

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 26/02/24

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2
Lazio

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 30/10/23

Lazio

Lazio

1
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

Italy Serie A 29/01/23

Lazio

Lazio

1
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 10/10/22

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0
Lazio

Lazio

4

Lazio preview: On the cusp of a great season

Lazio are having a very good season so far, both in Serie A and in the Europa League and they are potentially just four months away from one of the greatest seasons in their history. A win over Fiorentina would be a huge step towards securing a top-four finish which could allow them to put more of their efforts into the Europa League.

Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Hysaj, Gila, Gigot, Tavares, Guendouzi, Rovella, Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni, Castellanos

Italy Serie A 10/05/25

D

Juventus

Juventus

1

Lazio

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

W

Empoli

Empoli

0

Lazio

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 28/04/25

D

Parma

Parma

2

Lazio

Lazio

2

Italy Serie A 23/04/25

W

Genoa

Genoa

0

Lazio

Lazio

2

UEFA Europa League 17/04/25

W

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt

1

Lazio

Lazio

3

Fiorentina preview: Need to stop the slide

Fiorentina had a brilliant first half of the season and this time last month they were still seen as dark horses in the title race. However, a dramatic drop in form and results has seen them slide down to sixth and they are now almost in must-win territory if they are to finish inside the top four at the end of the season.

Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Dodo, Ranieri, Comuzzo, Gosens, Adli, Mandragora, Folorunsho, Colpani, Gundmundsson, Kean

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

L

Venezia

Venezia

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

L

Roma

Roma

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

L

Real Betis

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Empoli

Empoli

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Player to watch: David de Gea

Question marks were raised when David de Gea took a year out from football last season after leaving Manchester United but the Spanish goalkeeper has proven to be a shrewd signing for Fiorentina. A particular highlight was his double penalty save against AC Milan earlier in the season and he remains one of the best shot stoppers in Europe.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.