European hopefuls Fiorentina will be looking to make the most of their home advantage against Patrick Vieira's mid-table Genoa side when the pair lock horns in Serie A on Sunday.
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Fiorentina vs Genoa prediction: Goals at both ends of the pitch?
Key Stats
- Both teams have scored in five of the hosts' last six fixtures.
- Three of Genoa's last six outings have ended with both teams scoring.
- Moise Kean top scores for Fiorentina this season with 12 Serie A goals.
Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 2-1 Genoa
Fiorentina have a good recent record against Genoa, picking up four wins from the pair's last five encounters and haven't lost against this particular opponent since 2019.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Fiorentina the clear favourite
- HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Fiorentina are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 60%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this prediction.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Fiorentina dominate
Sunday's hosts have won four and drawn one of their last five meetings with Genoa, picking up a 1-0 win in the pair's reverse league meeting in October.
Italy Serie A 31/10/24
Genoa
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 15/04/24
Fiorentina
Genoa
Italy Serie A 19/08/23
Genoa
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 17/01/22
Fiorentina
Genoa
Italy Serie A 18/09/21
Genoa
Fiorentina
Fiorentina preview: Back to winning ways
Raffaele Palladino's side made the tricky trip to Lazio last weekend, where a goal from Yacine Adli put the visitors in front after just 11 minutes.
Lucas Beltran doubled Fiorentina's lead in the 17th minute after good work from Dodo and although Lazio pulled a goal back in second-half stoppage time, the visitors held firm to secure all three points.
Interestingly, Adli was booked, substituted seconds later and then shown a second yellow card after he had left the field of play, all in the 63rd minute, so he will now miss the Genoa game along with the injured Michael Kayode, Jonathan Ikone and Pablo Mari.
Predicted lineup: de Gea (GK), Gosens, Pongracic, Dodo, Ranieri, Mandragora, Comuzzo, Folorunsho, Guomundsson, Kean & Beltran
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
L
Venezia
2
Fiorentina
1
UEFA Conference League 08/05/25
D
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
L
Roma
1
Fiorentina
0
UEFA Conference League 01/05/25
L
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Empoli
1
Fiorentina
2
Genoa preview: Ten points behind Fiorentina
Genoa put in another solid home performance last time out against Monza as Vieria's side claimed all three points.
The deadlock wasn't broken until just after the hour mark when Koni De Winter fired in his second Serie A goal of the season and towards the end of the 90 minutes, another defender, Johan Vasquez made it 2-0.
Mario Balotelli, Sebastian Otoa, Mattia Bani and Ruslan Malinovsky are expected to miss the trip to Florence this weekend through injury.
Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Sabelli, Martín, Vasquez, De Winter, Thorsby, Frendrup, Miretti, Masini, Kassa & Pinamonti
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D
Napoli
2
Genoa
2
Italy Serie A 05/05/25
L
AC Milan
2
Genoa
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L
Como
1
Genoa
0
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
L
Lazio
2
Genoa
0
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
D
Verona
0
Genoa
0
Player to watch – Moise Kean
Moise Kean has had a troubled career but the Italian international seems to have found a home at Fiorentina.
The former Everton and PSG striker has reached double figures in league goals this season for just the second time in his professional career, netting 12 times so far in Serie A for Fiorentina.
Top scores for Fiorentina in Serie A this season
Kean has scored three times in his last six league games and we're backing the talented 24-year-old to put in another impressive performance on Sunday against Genoa.