Fiorentina will host Cagliari in a vital Serie A encounter at the Stadio Artemio Franchi this Saturday, as both teams look to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Fiorentina took a significant step forward by marking the passing of club president Rocco Commisso with a hard-fought 2–1 derby victory over Bologna, a result that finally pulled them clear of the relegation places after more than three months.
Signs of recovery are now evident, with La Viola putting together a four-match unbeaten run in Serie A for the first time this season and another positive result would see them go five league games without defeat for the first time since April.
Their resurgence has been reinforced by improved home performances, having lost just once in their last five matches at the Artemio Franchi across all competitions, while even their most recent home draw against AC Milan required a late equaliser from the title contenders.
On the other hand, Cagliari arrive buoyed by a rare high point in their campaign after edging Juventus 1–0 last weekend, a victory that was only their third in 18 league outings, but one that temporarily moved them eight points clear of the bottom three.
That win served as an immediate response to a heavy 3–0 defeat away to Genoa, which formed part of a run of four losses in their last six matches on the road.
Read our Fiorentina vs Cagliari predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Fiorentina vs Cagliari prediction: Home team to get narrow victory
Key statistics
- BTTS has been played in three of their last five meetings.
- A first-half draw was played in their last two encounters in the Serie A.
- Fiorentina have won four of their last five clashes with Cagliari.
Correct score prediction: Napoli 2-0 Sassuolo
We expect a hard-fought game between two sides fighting for survival, but believe the host will narrowly secure the victory. We predict a 2-1 victory for Fiorentina based on their recent performance.
While the visitors will be buoyed by their win against Juventus, we believe the attacking quality of the home side will eventually break down a resilient Sardinian defence as they look to extend their unbeaten sequence to four games.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Fiorentina tipped to win at home
- Home: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
- Draw: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- Away: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Fiorentina head into this fixture as favourites, with odds of 1.70 implying a 58.8% likelihood of a home victory. Cagliari are priced at 5.25, giving them just a 19.0% chance of pulling off an upset, while the draw is available at 3.60 (27.8%).
The odds point towards La Viola making home advantage count and getting the win, though a tight contest is not entirely ruled out, as the visitors will be brimming with confidence after last weekend’s win over Juventus.
Most recent head-to-head: Fiorentina dominate previous meetings
Looking at the head-to-head records, in the last five competitive meetings between these two clubs, Fiorentina have had the upper hand, winning four, with just one draw between them.
In their most recent encounter earlier in the 2025/26 season, the teams shared a 1-1 draw, which followed a 2-1 victory for Fiorentina. Overall, the recent history suggests that Fiorentina have an edge over their opponent.
Italy Serie A 24/08/25
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 08/12/24
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Italy Serie A 23/05/24
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 02/10/23
Fiorentina
Cagliari
After reviewing our key Fiorentina vs Cagliari predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Fiorentina preview: Fitness concerns and absentees
Fiorentina will have to cope without Fabiano Parisi and Tariq Lamptey, both sidelined through injury, while Moise Kean is also unavailable. These absences slightly restrict options in defence and attack.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Dodo, Comuzzo, Pongracic, Gosens, Mandragora, Fagioli, Ndour, Ranieri, Piccoli & Gudmundsson
Last five fixtures
- 14.01.26 – Napoli 0–0 Parma
- 11.01.26 – Inter 2–2 Napoli
- 07.01.26 – Napoli 2–2 Verona
- 04.01.26 – Lazio 0–2 Napoli
- 28.12.25 – Cremonese 0–2 Napoli
Cagliari preview: Squad availability update
Cagliari travel with several players unavailable, as Alessandro Deiola, Mattia Felici, Michael Folorunsho and Andrea Belotti are all ruled out due to injury, reducing depth in midfield and forward areas.
Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Zappa, Mina, Luperto, Palestra, Adopo, Gaetano, Mazzitelli, Obert, Kilicsoy & Esposito
Last five fixtures
- 17.01.26 – Cagliari 1–0 Juventus
- 12.01.26 – Genoa 3–0 Cagliari
- 08.01.26 – Cremonese 2–2 Cagliari
- 02.01.26 – Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
- 27.12.25 – Torino 1–2 Cagliari
Player to watch: Rolando Mandragora
Rolando Mandragora has been a shining light for the home side during a difficult season and will be the primary source of creativity in this match. With six goals this season, the midfielder has been central to most of the positive attacking moves for the Viola.
He was particularly impressive in the recent runs, with his team currently finding their feet. His ability to find space between the lines makes him the most dangerous player for the opposition to track on Saturday.