European hopefuls Fiorentina have the home advantage against high-flying Atalanta on Sunday and we're predicting an exciting 90 minutes between the pair in Florance.
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Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction: Possible stalemate on the cards?
Key Stats
- Atalanta have been better on the road than they have in their own backyard this season, only losing two of their 15 away trips.
- Over 2.5 goals have been produced in 67% of Fiorentina's home games in Serie A this season.
- 60% of Atalanta's away games in the league this season have witnessed three or more goals.
Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta
With Fiorentina scoring an average of 1.73 goals per home game in Serie A this season and Atalanta averaging 2.27 goals on the road, you can see why we've backed Sunday's clash to end in a 2-2 draw.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing the visitors
- HOME: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- DRAW: 28/11 (3.55) – 28.2%
- AWAY: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Atalanta are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 47.6% but we are predicting a close and competitive 90 minutes between the pair.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Fiorentina in front
Sunday's hosts have won three and lost two of their last five encounters with Atalanta in league and cup, but it was Atalanta that claimed all three points when the pair locked horns in September.
Italy Serie A 15/09/24
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 02/06/24
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Coppa Italia 24/04/24
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Coppa Italia 03/04/24
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 17/03/24
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Fiorentina preview: Eased past Juve
Fiorentina put in a top-class performance in their final game before the international break at home against Juventus.
Two goals inside the opening 18 minutes from Robin Gosens and Rolando Mandragora saw the hosts lead 2-0 at the break and early in the second half, Albert Guomundsson made it 3-0 and ended any faint hopes of a Juventus comeback.
Michael Kayode is the major injury concern for Fiorentina this weekend. The defender isn't expected back in action until next month.
Predicted lineup: de Gea (GK), Marí, Gosens, Pongracic, Dodo, Ranieri, Cataldi, Mandragora, Fagioli, Guðmundsson & Kean
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
L
Venezia
2
Fiorentina
1
UEFA Conference League 08/05/25
D
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
L
Roma
1
Fiorentina
0
UEFA Conference League 01/05/25
L
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Empoli
1
Fiorentina
2
Atalanta preview: Beaten at home by Inter
Atalanta might have had the home advantage against the league leaders Inter Milan but it didn't count for anything in the end.
The two sides went in goalless at the interval but Inter soon broke the deadlock in the second half and went on to add a killer second goal late on to win the match 2-0.
Ederson got sent off during that Inter defeat and will now miss the trip to Fiorentina along with the injured Mateo Retegui, Juan Cuadrado, Gianluca Scamacca and Giorgio Scalvini
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Djimsiti, Kolasinac, Bellanova, Hien, de Roon, Zappacosta, Pasalic, De Ketelaere, Lookman & Retegui
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
W
Roma
1
Atalanta
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W
Monza
0
Atalanta
4
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
D
Lecce
1
Atalanta
1
Italy Serie A 20/04/25
W
AC Milan
0
Atalanta
1
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
W
Bologna
0
Atalanta
2
Player to watch: Ademola Lookman
Ademola Lookman has been excellent for Atalanta ever since he made the move to Italy from German side RB Leipzig in 2022.
Lookman scored 13 times in his debut season in Serie A, then followed that up with 11 goals last season and currently sits on 13 goals in 23 league games of the 2024/25 campaign.
Lookman is enjoying another fantastic season with Atalanta
The Nigerian international, who also has five assists to his name, has more pressure on his shoulders to score Atalanta's goals right now due to the injury to top scorer Mateo Retegui who has scored 22 times in Serie A this season.