Atalanta and Fiorentina meet at the Gewiss Stadium to to end the Serie A season on Sunday, 2 June.
With both teams coming off European football finals, who will prevail in this match? Read our Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction to find out, but remember to also check out our Serie A betting tips.
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Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction: Atalanta to end the season with a win
Key Stats
- Atalanta have won nine of their last 11 matches in all competitions.
- Fiorentina enter this match after a loss to Olympiakos in the Europa Conference League final.
- Atalanta have won their last duel with Fiorentina 4-1.
- We saw both teams score in three of the last five H2H meetings between these teams.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atalanta the clear favourite
- HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.20%
- DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.70%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.70%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
If we look at these Atalanta vs Fiorentina odds, we can see the the hosts are the expected winners and by a big margin, which is understandable looking at their recent form.
On top of that, Atalanta enter this match in a much better mood after beating the “invincible” Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League final to claim their first European trophy, while Fiorentina have lost their second UECL final in a row.
Our football betting tips have also backed La Dea to succeed on their own patch.
Last five H2Hs: Home advantage has been key
These two teams have each won twice in their last five H2H meetings and all of those wins have come at home. Meanwhile, when it comes to their overall H2H record, Fiorentina have the advantage: 54-41-34.
Coppa Italia 24/04/24
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Coppa Italia 03/04/24
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 17/03/24
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 17/09/23
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 17/04/23
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Atalanta preview: Hoping to claim third spot in the standings
While Atalanta have already secured Champions League for next season both in Serie A and by winning the Europa League, they will want to mark this spectacular season with one final win in front of their faithful fans. Given their impressive form and nine wins in the last 11 games, they certainly have reasons to be optimistic.
Meanwhile, Marten De Roon and Sead Kolasinac are out with injuries, while Hans Hateboer has to serve a suspension.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi – Toloi, Djimsiti, Scalvini – Zappacosta, Koopmeiners, Ederson, Ruggeri – De Ketelare, Lookman – Scamacca
Italy Serie A 30/08/24
L
Inter Milan
4
Atalanta
0
Italy Serie A 25/08/24
L
Torino
2
Atalanta
1
Italy Serie A 19/08/24
W
Lecce
0
Atalanta
4
UEFA Super Cup 14/08/24
L
Real Madrid
2
Atalanta
0
Elite Club Friendlies 09/08/24
L
St Pauli
3
Atalanta
0
Fiorentina preview: Nothing on the line for Viola
Regardless of what happens in this match, Fiorentina are bound to finish eighth in the standings in Serie A. That being said, Fiorentina will be looking for a good result to somewhat alleviate the sting of another loss in the UECL finals, their second in two years.
When it comes to team news, Fiorentina will only miss Riccardo Sottil through injury.
Predicted lineup: Terracciano – Kayode, Quarta, Milenkovic, Parisi – Lopez, Duncan, Ikone, Castrovilli, Beltran – Barak
Italy Serie A 01/09/24 D Monza 2 Fiorentina 2 UEFA Conference League Qualifying 29/08/24 W Puskas Academy 1 (4) Fiorentina 1 (5) Italy Serie A 25/08/24 D Venezia 0 Fiorentina 0 UEFA Conference League Qualifying 22/08/24 D Puskas Academy 3 Fiorentina 3 Italy Serie A 17/08/24 D Parma 1 Fiorentina 1
Player to watch – Teun Koopmeiners
Koopmeiners is believed to be on the radar of a number of Premier League clubs and the 26-year-old will have another opportunity to shine in his team's last game of the season.
Koopmeiners is a potential match winner
The Dutch midfielder has been a consistent source of goals and assists for Atalanta this season and the versatile midfielder has notched 12 goals in Serie A and laid on another five assists for his teammates this term.