The UEFA Conference League league phase resumes on Thursday as Italian side Fiorentina welcome Greek giants AEK Athens to the Stadio Artemio Franchi. Both teams are vying for crucial points to climb the table and secure their spot in the knockout stages of the competition.
The home team enter this fixture looking to turn a corner after a difficult run of form. They displayed grit and determination in their recent 1-1 draw against rivals Juventus in Serie A, a result that extended their winless run to five matches in a row.
The away team, meanwhile, are brimming with confidence heading into the game. AEK Athens have been resilient in recent weeks, securing a narrow 1-0 victory over Aris in their last domestic outing and battling to a 1-1 draw against Shamrock Rovers in their previous Conference League tie.
Read our Fiorentina vs AEK Athens predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Conference League predictions.
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Fiorentina vs AEK Athens prediction: Expect a draw
Key statistics
- A 1-1 scoreline has been played by both teams in one of their last five games.
- Both teams played a full-time draw in their last encounter.
- BTTS was played in their only European meeting.
Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 1-1 AEK Athens
We expect a draw in this encounter despite the home team's struggles this season. Fiorentina have been inconsistent, but their performance against Juventus could give them a boost.
With the backing of the Viola faithful and the individual quality of players like Moise Kean and Rolando Mandragora, they have the firepower to avoid a defeat at home against the Greek side.
AEK Athens are a disciplined unit capable of frustrating opponents and we expect them to cause problems for the underperforming Fiorentina side. However, we believe the game is going to be tight and we predict a 1-1 draw outcome.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Fiorentina are favourites
- Home: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
- Draw: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- Away: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Fiorentina enter this match as the favourites, with home odds of 1.70 giving them a 58.8% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.70 (27.0%), while an away win for AEK Athens is offered at 4.80, translating to a 20.8% probability of an upset.
Most recent head-to-head: Just one meeting between the two teams
These two historic clubs have met just once before in European competition, dating back to the 2007/08 UEFA Cup group stage, with the encounter taking place in Athens and ending in a 1-1 draw
With nearly two decades having passed since that meeting, there is little recent history to draw upon, making this a fresh battle between the two sides in this new league format.
After reviewing our key Fiorentina vs AEK Athens predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Fiorentina preview: New injury worries for Conte
Fiorentina face injury concerns ahead of this match, as Dodo is sidelined with a thigh injury and is expected to miss several weeks. Tariq Lamptey and Christian Kouame are both doubtful, the former due to a knee injury and the latter recovering from a cruciate ligament issue. Robin Gosens is also out with a thigh injury, targeting a return in the coming weeks.
Predicted lineup: de Gea (GK), Pongracic, Mari, Ranieri, Ndour, Mandragora, Fagioli, Sohm, Parisi, Piccoli & Kean
Last five fixtures
- 22.11.25 – Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus
- 09.11.25 – Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina
- 06.11.25 – Mainz 2–1 Fiorentina
- 02.11.25 – Fiorentina 0–1 Lecce
- 29.10.25 – Inter 3–0 Fiorentina
AEK Athens preview: No new injury
AEK Athens will be without Alexander Callens, who is sidelined due to heart problems. Dereck Kutesa is out with a muscle injury, Frantzdy Pierrot is also sidelined with a muscle problem for a few weeks and Niclas Eliasson remains unavailable due to a muscle injury.
Predicted lineup: Strakosha (GK), Zini, Jovic, Joao Mario, Kaloskamis, Pineda, Mantalos, Penrice, Relvas, Moukoudi & Rota
Last five fixtures
- 23.11.25 – AEK Athens FC 1–0 Aris
- 09.11.25 – OFI Crete 0–1 AEK Athens FC
- 06.11.25 – AEK Athens FC 1–1 Shamrock Rovers
- 02.11.25 – AEK Athens FC 1–0 Panetolikos
- 29.10.25 – Ilioupoli 0–1 AEK Athens FC
Player to watch: Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour has been one of Fiorentina’s top goalscorers this season in the Conference League, despite their poor form. The midfielder has scored two goals and provided one assist for the Viola. He will be the main goal threat in this game and will play a key role if they are to get a win.