AC Milan vs Fiorentina prediction, odds & betting tips 05/04/2025

AC Milan will welcome Fiorentina to the San Siro on Saturday, 5 April in a big match in the race for European qualification in Serie A.

The two teams come into the match separated by just one place and four points in the league table and it's Fiorentina who hold the narrow advantage.

AC Milan, in particular, need a win here to keep alive any faint hopes of qualifying for next season's Champions League.

As part of this week's round of Serie A betting tips, check out our AC Milan vs Fiorentina prediction below.

AC Milan vs Fiorentina prediction: A bad day ahead for the hosts?

Key Stats

• AC Milan have lost four of their last six Serie A matches.
• Fiorentina won the reverse fixture earlier in the season 2-1.
• Both teams have scored in each of AC Milan's last eight matches in all competitions.

Correct score prediction: AC Milan 1-2 Fiorentina

This was the scoreline that Fiorentina won by when the two teams met earlier in the campaign and we are backing them to complete the double this weekend. Their form is significantly better than AC Milan's with the Rossoneri now in serious danger of missing out on all levels of European football next season.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fiorentina are underdogs

• HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
• DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
• AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The AC Milan vs Fiorentina odds are slightly in the favour of the home team which is a slight surprise given their recent run of losses. Ladbrokes have made AC Milan the favourites and have given them a 54.1% chance of winning while Fiorentina have been given just a 25% chance of coming out on top.

For more from the upcoming games in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: An up-and-down fixture

Over the last five meetings between these two sides, AC Milan have won three and Fiorentina have won two, illustrating that things could go either way on Saturday night. Fiorentina have the bragging rights at the moment as they came out on top in the reverse fixture earlier in the season.

Italy Serie A 06/10/24

Fiorentina

2

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 30/03/24

Fiorentina

1

AC Milan

2

Italy Serie A 25/11/23

AC Milan

1

Fiorentina

0

Italy Serie A 04/03/23

Fiorentina

2

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 13/11/22

AC Milan

2

Fiorentina

1

AC Milan preview: A team that is far more comfortable in the cup

AC Milan earned themselves a 1-1 draw in their Coppa Italia semi-final first leg with Inter Milan in midweek and their performances in that competition have been the complete opposite of how they have fared in the league. With the second leg to come at the end of the month, they will want to use their next three league games to build momentum.

Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Walker, Gabbia, Thiaw, Hernandez, Fofana, Bondo, Pulisic, Reijnders, Leao, Abraham

Italy Serie A 09/05/25

W

Bologna

1

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 05/05/25

W

Genoa

1

AC Milan

2

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Venezia

0

AC Milan

2

Coppa Italia 23/04/25

W

Inter Milan

0

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 20/04/25

L

Atalanta

1

AC Milan

0

Fiorentina preview: Back on an upwards trajectory

It's been a rollercoaster of a season for Fiorentina who, at one point, were involved in the title race in Serie A. However, a slump in form after Christmas saw them plummet down the league table but they are now on track to rescue the campaign. Champions League football is still within grasp but they can't afford to lose this one if that is their aim.

Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Pongracic, Ranieri, Mari, Dodo, Fagioli, Cataldi, Mandragora, Gosens, Kean, Gudmundsson

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

L

Venezia

2

Fiorentina

1

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

D

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

L

Roma

1

Fiorentina

0

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

L

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Empoli

1

Fiorentina

2

Player to watch: Christian Pulisic

Christian Pulisic started the season in fine form for AC Milan but he has failed to replicate those levels in recent months which is a big reason why AC Milan's league season is all but over. The talented American will be needed if they are to topple Inter in the Coppa Italia but first things first, he needs to find the back of the net in Serie A.