Feyenoord are set to face SK Sturm Graz in a vital UEFA Europa League league phase encounter at the iconic De Kuip stadium this Thursday.
The home team face an uphill battle to reach the UEFA Europa League knockout play-offs, sitting four points behind with only six points remaining to play for.
Three consecutive losses in the UEL have all but ended their hopes of progression, and the 16-time Dutch champions are looking to turn a disappointing start to the year around.
They were beaten 4-3 at home by Sparta Rotterdam on Sunday, extending their winless run in competitive matches to six.
Sturm Graz, meanwhile, are slightly better off, sitting one point clear of Feyenoord ahead of this fixture. That advantage could prove decisive if they secure a positive result, though the Austrian side have failed to win in their last four UEL games.
Travelling away does not inspire confidence, as Sturm Graz have lost each of their last eight European away matches. Adding to their challenges, this will be their first competitive match in over a month due to the Austrian Bundesliga’s winter break.
Read our Feyenoord vs SK Sturm Graz predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other UEFA Europa League predictions.
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Feyenoord vs SK Sturm Graz prediction: A draw is expected
Key statistics
- Feyenoord’s last home meeting with Sturm Graz ended with over 2.5 goals scored.
- Both teams' last two games in their respective leagues ended in a full-time draw.
- Each team played a 2-2 scoreline in one of their last two games.
Correct score prediction: Feyenoord 2-2 Sturm Graz
Neither team have had the best of runs in their last five games, so we expect a draw in this game. We predict a 2-2 draw for the game based on their form. We also expect a lot of goals in this fixture, with each team playing over 2.5 goals in three of their last five games.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Feyenoord heavy favourites
- Home: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
- Draw: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
- Away: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Bookmakers rate Feyenoord as strong favourites ahead of this contest, with odds of 1.40 translating to a 71.4% implied chance of victory. Sturm Graz are the underdogs at 6.50, giving them a 15.4% probability of an away success, while the draw is priced at 5.00 (20.0%).
The market expectation points towards a home win, reflecting Feyenoord’s advantage, though a competitive encounter cannot be ruled out.
Most recent head-to-head: Balance record
The historical record between these two clubs shows a very balanced competitive encounter over their last few meetings. Looking at their last four encounters in UEFA competitions, Feyenoord have managed one victory while Sturm Graz have also secured two wins, with one draw separating them.
Their most famous modern meetings came in the 2022 Europa League group stages, where Feyenoord secured a dominant 6-0 home win before suffering a narrow 1-0 defeat in the return fixture in Austria.
UEFA Europa League 27/10/22
SK Sturm Graz
Feyenoord
UEFA Europa League 15/09/22
Feyenoord
SK Sturm Graz
After reviewing our key Feyenoord vs SK Sturm Graz predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Feyenoord preview: Injury-hit squad
Feyenoord will be without Gaoussou Diarra, Gernot Trauner, Givairo Read, Jakub Moder, Malcolm Jeng, Shiloh Zand, and Thomas Beelen, all sidelined due to various injury issues.
Their absence leaves the squad short in both defence and midfield, forcing the head coach to adjust his options for this crucial fixture.
Predicted lineup: Wellenreuther (GK), Lotomba, Watanabe, Ahmedhodzic, Bos, Hwang, Valente, Sauer, Steijn, Hadj Moussa & Tengstedt
Last five fixtures
- 18.01.26 – Feyenoord 3–4 Sparta Rotterdam
- 11.01.26 – Heerenveen 2–2 Feyenoord
- 21.12.25 – Feyenoord 1–1 Twente
- 17.12.25 – Feyenoord 2–3 Heerenveen (KNV)
- 14.12.25 – Ajax 2–0 Feyenoord
Sturm Graz will be missing Dimitri Lavalee and Leon Grgic through injury. Both players are key squad members and their unavailability could limit the Austrian side's performance in this clash.
Predicted lineup: Malic (GK), Mitchell, Geyrhofer, Karic, Gorenc Stankovic, Horvat, Kiteishvili, Hodl, Malone & Jatta
Last five fixtures
- 14.01.26 – Sturm Graz 4–4 FC Copenhagen (CF)
- 08.01.26 – Club Brugge KV 2–2 Sturm Graz (CF)
- 14.12.25 – Austria Vienna 3–1 Sturm Graz
- 11.12.25 – Sturm Graz 0–1 Crvena zvezda (EL)
- 07.12.25 – Sturm Graz 2–1 Grazer AK
Player to watch: Ayase Ueda
Ayase Ueda has been Feyenoord’s key attacking figure this season, sitting clear at the top of the Eredivisie goalscoring rankings with 18 strikes. The Japan international remains the main reference point up front and has been ruthless whenever chances fall his way inside the area.
Even during periods when Feyenoord have lacked consistency, Ueda has continued to deliver, underlining his dependability in front of goal. His intelligent off-the-ball runs and sharp finishing are likely to be decisive if the Rotterdam side are to unlock Sturm Graz’s back line and come out on top.