Everton vs Aston Villa prediction, odds & betting tips 14/01/2024

Everton
14/01/24 - 14:00

Finished

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Aston Villa

Everton - Aston Villa

England Premier League - Goodison Park

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Here are our Premier League predictions for Aston Villa's trip to Goodison Park to take on Everton this Sunday. The Toffees sit one place above the relegation zone due to a points deduction and they will have to be at their very best if they are going to get anything out of an Aston Villa side that are flying high in second place right now.

Everton vs Aston Villa prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in three of Everton's last five outings.
  • Five of Aston Villa's last six matches have ended with both teams scoring.

Another reason that we have backed BTTS as our main prediction is that the last time these two sides met in the League Cup back in September, both teams scored as Everton won 2-1.

Latest odds

Head to Head

27/09/23

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Everton

Everton

1

2

20/08/23

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Everton

Everton

4

0

25/02/23

England Premier League EPL

Everton

Everton

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

2

13/08/22

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Everton

Everton

2

1

22/01/22

England Premier League EPL

Everton

Everton

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

1

Last Five - Everton

21/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Everton

Everton

0

2

W

15/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Chelsea

Chelsea

Everton

Everton

6

0

L

06/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Burnley

Burnley

Everton

Everton

0

1

W

02/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Everton

Everton

1

1

D

30/03/24

England Premier League EPL

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Everton

Everton

2

1

L

Last Five - Aston Villa

21/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

3

W

18/04/24

UEFA Conference League CON

Lille

Lille

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2

1

D

14/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Arsenal

Arsenal

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

2

W

11/04/24

UEFA Conference League CON

Lille

Lille

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

2

W

06/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Brentford

Brentford

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

3

D

Win probability

  • HOME: 37/20 (2.85) – 35.1%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%

Aston Villa are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 40%, and we can see why the bookmakers are tipping an away win. If you want more football betting tips on this Premier League encounter, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Ollie Watkins is the favourite to score in Sunday's match at 17/10 (2.70) which has a probability of 37%, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin is priced at 9/4 (3.25) with a probability of 30.8%.

Everton vs Aston Villa prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 1-2

  • Aston Villa have won five of their last six games against Everton.
  • Everton have conceded at least two goals in three of their last four matches in all competitions.

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At least three goals have been scored in four of the last six head-to-heads between Everton and Aston Villa.
  • Three of Everton's and three of Aston Villa's last five matches in all competitions have produced over 2.5 goals.

everton vs aston villa

Everton vs Aston Villa team news

Everton

Everton were poor defensively in their last league game away at Wolves, going down by three goals to nil in the end. Sean Dyche will be hoping that performance was just a blip in what has been a decent run of form for the Toffees.

Bamidele Alli, Ashley Young and Dwight McNeil are out injured for Everton, while Idrissa Gana Gueye is at the Africa Cup of Nations.

Predicted Lineup: Pickford (GK), Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko, Coleman, Doucoure, Harrison, Garner, Onana, Calvert-Lewin & Danjuma

Aston Villa

Aston Villa claimed all three points in their five-goal thriller with Burnley at Villa Park in their last game of 2023. Leon Bailey opened the scoring before Burnley equalised but a goal from Moussa Diaby put the hosts in front at the interval. Burnley did get back on level terms in the seventy-fist minute but a late penalty from Douglas Luiz won the game for Aston Villa.

If that performance showed anything, it was that Aston Villa still need to add to their squad, especially in defence, if they are going to maintain a top-four finish, and Harry Maguire is the latest name to be linked with a move to the Midlanders. Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne, Youri Tielemans and Robin Olsen could all miss the trip to Goodison Park due to injury.

Predicted Lineup: Martínez (GK), Torres, Moreno, Carlos, Konsa, McGinn, Bailey, Luiz, Ramsey, Watkins & Diaby

Everton

Everton
4-2-3-1
1
Jordan Pickford
gb
23
Seamus Coleman
ie
6
James Tarkowski
gb
32
Jarrad Branthwaite
gb
19
Vitaliy Mykolenko
ua
8
Amadou Onana
be
37
James Garner
gb
10
Arnaut Danjuma
nl
16
Abdoulaye Doucoure
ml
11
Jack Harrison
gb
9
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
gb
Substitutes
14
Beto
pt
12
Joao Virginia
pt
7
Dwight McNeil
gb
22
Ben Godfrey
gb
2
Nathan Patterson
gb
5
Michael Keane
gb
61
Lewis Norman Dobbin
gb
28
Youssef Chermiti
pt
21
Andre Gomes
pt

Aston Villa

Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
1
Emiliano Martinez
ar
4
Ezri Konsa
gb
3
Diego Carlos
br
17
Clement Lenglet
fr
15
Alex Moreno
es
6
Douglas Luiz
br
44
Boubacar Kamara
fr
31
Leon Bailey
jm
7
John McGinn
gb
19
Moussa Diaby
fr
11
Ollie Watkins
gb
Substitutes
22
Nicolo Zaniolo
it
42
Filip Marshall
pl
32
Leander Dendoncker
be
8
Youri Tielemans
be
47
Tim Iroegbunam
gb
24
Jhon Jader Duran Palacio
co
2
Matty Cash
pl
64
James Wright
gb

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Ollie Watkins

Aston Villa's top goalscorer has netted nine times in the Premier League alone this season but it's not just goals that he offers Unai Emery's side.

Watkins has chipped in with eight assists so far this season, making him Aston Villa's most creative player ahead of Leon Bailey who has five assists to his name.

We're backing Watkins to impress once against this weekend when Villa make the trip to Goodison Park, a ground that has proven favourable to the Midlands club.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.